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Conditions necessary for the sustainability of an emerging area: The importance of banking and financial regional criteria

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  • Gimet, Celine

Abstract

The last financial crises have revealed the vulnerability of many emerging countries. Yet, within an economically integrated area, some groups of countries have been spared the disastrous consequences of these crises. The purpose of this article is to underline the similarities between these countries in order to draw up a set of regional criteria that would protect an area against speculative attacks. Using a probit analysis, we show that the convergence of some banking and financial indicators towards reference levels guarantees theconfidence of international lenders, which in turn limits financial contagion. A narrow margin between the amount of external debt, in particular the short term debt of the country and a reference level constitutes a protection against the risk of illiquidity. Similarly, a low domestic credit in comparison with the international reserves of the economy is also an indicator of thesustainability of an area for international lenders. It is these factors that have ensured the stock exchange stability that some emerging areas have enjoyed during the different crisis episodes
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  • Gimet, Celine, 2007. "Conditions necessary for the sustainability of an emerging area: The importance of banking and financial regional criteria," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 317-335, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:mulfin:v:17:y:2007:i:4:p:317-335
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    Cited by:

    1. Andrea Bonilla, 2014. "External vulnerabilities and economic integration. Is the Union of South American Nations a promising project ?," Working Papers halshs-00945044, HAL.
    2. Andrea Bonilla Bolanos, 2014. "External Vulnerabilities And Economic Integration: Is The Union Of South American Nations A Promising Project?," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 39(2), pages 97-131, June.
    3. Céline Gimet, 2009. "The spread of international financial shocks to Asean countries," Working Papers 0928, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Étienne (GATE Lyon St-Étienne), Université de Lyon.
    4. Céline Gimet, 2007. "Le projet d'Union Monétaire dans le Mercosur :Etude de la position actuelle dans les pays par rapport à une carte de critères de soutenabilité," Brussels Economic Review, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, vol. 50(2), pages 249-273.
    5. Shen, Pei-Long & Li, Wen & Wang, Xiao-Ting & Su, Chi-Wei, 2015. "Contagion effect of the European financial crisis on China's stock markets: Interdependence and pure contagion," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 193-199.
    6. Ferreira, Fernando A.F. & Jalali, Marjan S. & Ferreira, João J.M., 2016. "Integrating qualitative comparative analysis (QCA) and fuzzy cognitive maps (FCM) to enhance the selection of independent variables," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 69(4), pages 1471-1478.
    7. Karpetis Christos & Papadamou Stefanos & Varelas Erotokritos, 2017. "The Role of the Number of Banks on Debt Dynamics: Evidence from Eurozone Countries," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 68(1), pages 41-62, April.
    8. Céline Gimet, 2009. "The spread of international financial schocks on East Asian Countries," Post-Print halshs-00450825, HAL.

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