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Le projet d'Union Monétaire dans le Mercosur :Etude de la position actuelle dans les pays par rapport à une carte de critères de soutenabilité

  • Céline Gimet
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    Les crises financières récentes ont fragilisé les économies du Mercosur. Pour juger de leur évolution depuis 2001, cet article étudie la position actuelle de ces pays par rapport à une nouvelle carte de critères de soutenabilité venant en complément de la théorie des zones monétaires optimales, en y intégrant une nouvelle dimension financière et régionale. La méthode multicritère d'aide à la décision, transposée à l'échelle macroéconomique et financière, permet ainsi de souligner les efforts entrepris par un noyau de pays dans la perspective de la mise en place d'une union monétaire. / The Mercosur countries have been weakened by the recent financial crises. In order to evaluate their evolution since 2001, this article studies the current countries position with regard to a new set of sustainability criteria, which complete the optimum currency area theory in including a new financial and regional dimension. The multicriteria decision aid method, transposed onto the macroeconomic and financial scale, shows the real efforts that are made by a core of countries in order to adopt a monetary union.

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    Article provided by ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles in its journal Brussels economic review.

    Volume (Year): 50 (2007)
    Issue (Month): 2 ()
    Pages: 249-273

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    Handle: RePEc:bxr:bxrceb:2013/80317
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    1. Roberto Chang & Andrés Velasco, 1999. "Liquidity Crises in Emerging Markets: Theory and Policy," Documentos de Trabajo 59, Centro de Economía Aplicada, Universidad de Chile.
    2. T. Todd Smith & Garry J. Schinasi, 1999. "Portfolio Diversification, Leverage, and Financial Contagion," IMF Working Papers 99/136, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Ranil Salgado & Luca Antonio Ricci & Francesco Caramazza, 2000. "Trade and Financial Contagion in Currency Crises," IMF Working Papers 00/55, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Sebastian Edwards, 2006. "Monetary Unions, External Shocks and Economic Performance: A Latin American Perspective," Working Papers 43, Bank of Greece.
    5. Van Rijckeghem, Caroline & Weder, Beatrice, 2001. "Sources of contagion: is it finance or trade?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 293-308, August.
    6. Reinhart, Carmen & Kaminsky, Graciela, 1998. "On crises, contagion, and confusion," MPRA Paper 13709, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Mongelli, Francesco Paolo, 2002. "ìNew" Views on the Optimum Currency Area Theory: What is EMU Telling US?," Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2002 140, Royal Economic Society.
    8. Sebastian Edwards, 2006. "Monetary Unions, External Shocks and Economic Performance," Working Papers 126, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank).
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