IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jpolmo/v44y2022i5p920-942.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Computable General Equilibrium assessment of mega-events: Issues and possible solutions

Author

Listed:
  • MASSIANI, Jérôme

Abstract

Mega-events are often perceived as opportunities to foster regional development. To assist policy makers in deciding whether to host such events, Computable General Equilibrium models are increasingly used. The literature has recently begun reviewing these studies and has shown that they are at risk of providing misleading policy recommendations if they do not pay more attention to the various specificities of mega-events. This paper identifies 13 modelling issues, examines their implications and discusses how they could be overcome. Fostering a discussion of these issues among scientists could be beneficial for the progress of policy modelling in this specific area.

Suggested Citation

  • MASSIANI, Jérôme, 2022. "Computable General Equilibrium assessment of mega-events: Issues and possible solutions," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 44(5), pages 920-942.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jpolmo:v:44:y:2022:i:5:p:920-942
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2022.09.015
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0161893822000710
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2022.09.015?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dixon, Peter B. & Koopman, Robert B. & Rimmer, Maureen T., 2013. "The MONASH Style of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling: A Framework for Practical Policy Analysis," Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, in: Peter B. Dixon & Dale Jorgenson (ed.), Handbook of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 0, pages 23-103, Elsevier.
    2. Francesca Mameli & Alessandra Faggian & Philip Mccann, 2014. "Estimation of Local Employment Growth: Do Sectoral Aggregation and Industry Definition Matter?," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(11), pages 1813-1828, November.
    3. Choong-Ki Lee & Seogwoong Moon & James W. Mjelde, 2010. "Disentangling the Effects on the Korean Economy of the 9/11 Terrorist Attacks from the Short-Run Effects of Hosting the 2002 World Cup, Using the Cge Model," Tourism Economics, , vol. 16(3), pages 611-628, September.
    4. Peter B. Dixon, 2009. "Comments on the Productivity Commission’s Modelling of the Economy‐Wide Effects of Future Automotive Assistance," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 28(1), pages 11-18, March.
    5. James A. Giesecke & John R. Madden, 2011. "Modelling the Economic Impacts of the Sydney Olympics in Retrospect – Game Over for the Bonanza Story?," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 30(2), pages 218-232, June.
    6. Pierre Boulanger & Hasan Dudu & Emanuele Ferrari & George Philippidis, 2016. "Russian Roulette at the Trade Table: A Specific Factors CGE Analysis of an Agri-food Import Ban," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 67(2), pages 272-291, June.
    7. Don Fullerton, 1983. "Transition Losses of Partially Mobile Industry-Specific Capital," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 98(1), pages 107-125.
    8. Christophe Kamps, 2006. "New Estimates of Government Net Capital Stocks for 22 OECD Countries, 1960-2001," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 53(1), pages 1-6.
    9. Admir Antonio Betarelli Junior & Edson Paulo Domingues & Aline Souza Magalhães, 2011. "Quanto Vale O Show? Impactos Econômicosregionais Da Copa Do Mundo 2014 No Brasil," Anais do XXXVIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 38th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 188, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    10. Shoven, John B, 1976. "The Incidence and Efficiency Effects of Taxes on Income from Capital," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 84(6), pages 1261-1283, December.
    11. Burfisher,Mary E., 2011. "Introduction to Computable General Equilibrium Models," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521766968, December.
    12. Glomm, Gerhard & Ravikumar, B., 1994. "Public investment in infrastructure in a simple growth model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 18(6), pages 1173-1187, November.
    13. Grant Allan & Patrizio Lecca & Kim Swales, 2014. "The impacts of temporary and anticipated tourism spending," Working Papers 1406, University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics.
    14. Shina Li & Adam Blake & Chris Cooper, 2011. "Modelling the Economic Impact of International Tourism on the Chinese Economy: A CGE Analysis of the Beijing 2008 Olympics," Tourism Economics, , vol. 17(2), pages 279-303, April.
    15. John Madden & Matthew Crowe, 1998. "Estimating the economic impact of the Sydney Olympic Games," ERSA conference papers ersa98p498, European Regional Science Association.
    16. Shoven, John B & Whalley, John, 1984. "Applied General-Equilibrium Models of Taxation and International Trade: An Introduction and Survey," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 22(3), pages 1007-1051, September.
    17. Wladimir Andreff, 2012. "The winner's curse: why is the cost of sports mega-events so often underestimated?," Post-Print halshs-00703466, HAL.
    18. Farmer, Karl & Wendner, Ronald, 2004. "Dynamic multi-sector CGE modeling and the specification of capital," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 469-492, December.
    19. Ferran Sancho, 2009. "Calibration Of Ces Functions For Real-World Multisectoral Modeling," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(1), pages 45-58.
    20. H. R. Bohlmann & Moses J.H. van Heerden, 2005. "The Impact of Hosting a Major Sport Event on the South African Economy," Working Papers 200509, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Klaus Conrad, 1997. "Traffic, transportation, infrastructure and externalities A theoretical framework for a CGE analysis," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 31(4), pages 369-389.
    22. Simon Koesler & Michael Schymura, 2015. "Substitution Elasticities In A Constant Elasticity Of Substitution Framework - Empirical Estimates Using Nonlinear Least Squares," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(1), pages 101-121, March.
    23. Devarajan, Shantayanan & Offerdal, Erik, 1989. "Capital markets and computable general equilibrium models: Comparative statics without apology?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 191-212.
    24. Burfisher,Mary E., 2011. "Introduction to Computable General Equilibrium Models," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521139779, December.
    25. Benjamin H. Mitra-Kahn, 2008. "WP 2008-1 Debunking the Myths of Computable General Equilibrium Models," SCEPA working paper series. 2008-1, Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA), The New School.
    26. Li, ShiNa & Blake, Adam & Thomas, Rhodri, 2013. "Modelling the economic impact of sports events: The case of the Beijing Olympics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 235-244.
    27. McKitrick, Ross R., 1998. "The econometric critique of computable general equilibrium modeling: the role of functional forms," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 543-573, October.
    28. Massiani, Jérôme, 2018. "Assessing the economic impact of mega events using Computable General Equilibrium models: Promises and compromises," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 1-9.
    29. Eduardo A. Haddad & Paulo R. Haddad, 2010. "Major sport events and regional development: the case of the Rio de Janeiro 2016 Olympic Games," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 2(1), pages 79-95, June.
    30. James A Giesecke & John R Madden, 2007. "The Sydney Olympics, seven years on: an ex-post dynamic CGE assessment," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-168, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    31. Peter Abelson, 2011. "Evaluating Major Events and Avoiding the Mercantilist Fallacy," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 30(1), pages 48-59, March.
    32. Martina Sartori, 2017. "Hosting a Mega-Event: Is it Good or Bad for the Economy? General Equilibrium Models as a Litmus Paper Test," Working Papers 2017: 21, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    33. Adam Blake, 2008. "Economic Modelling of Tourism," Tourism Economics, , vol. 14(4), pages 669-671, December.
    34. Christophe Kamps, 2006. "New Estimates of Government Net Capital Stocks for 22 OECD Countries, 1960-2001," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 53(1), pages 1-6.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Massiani, Jérôme, 2018. "Assessing the economic impact of mega events using Computable General Equilibrium models: Promises and compromises," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 1-9.
    2. Massiani, Jerome, 2019. "CGE Analysis of Mega Events: A Timely Issue," Conference papers 333109, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    3. Allan, Grant J. & Lecca, Patrizio & Swales, Kim, 2017. "The impacts of temporary but anticipated tourism spending: An application to the Glasgow 2014 Commonwealth Games," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 325-337.
    4. Pratt, Stephen, 2015. "The economic impact of tourism in SIDS," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 148-160.
    5. Li, ShiNa & Blake, Adam & Thomas, Rhodri, 2013. "Modelling the economic impact of sports events: The case of the Beijing Olympics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 235-244.
    6. Niccolò Comerio & Fernanda Strozzi, 2019. "Tourism and its economic impact: A literature review using bibliometric tools," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(1), pages 109-131, February.
    7. Tien Duc Pham & Son Nghiem & Larry Dwyer, 2018. "The economic impacts of a changing visa fee for Chinese tourists to Australia," Tourism Economics, , vol. 24(1), pages 109-126, February.
    8. Li, ShiNa & Li, Hengyun & Song, Haiyan & Lundberg, Christine & Shen, Shujie, 2017. "The economic impact of on-screen tourism: The case of The Lord of the Rings and the Hobbit," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 177-187.
    9. Matthew K. Heun & João Santos & Paul E. Brockway & Randall Pruim & Tiago Domingos & Marco Sakai, 2017. "From Theory to Econometrics to Energy Policy: Cautionary Tales for Policymaking Using Aggregate Production Functions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-44, February.
    10. Rose, Adam & Chen, Zhenhua & Wei, Dan & Prager, Fynn, 2015. "Estimating the Macroeconomic Impacts of U.S. Anti-Dumping Enforcement," Conference papers 332572, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    11. Takeo Hori & Noritaka Maebayashi & Keiichi Morimoto, 2018. "Tax Evasion and Optimal Corporate Income Tax Rates in a Growing Economy," Discussion Papers 41, Meisei University, School of Economics.
    12. Bom, Pedro R.D. & Ligthart, Jenny E., 2014. "Public infrastructure investment, output dynamics, and balanced budget fiscal rules," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 334-354.
    13. Robson, Edward N. & Wijayaratna, Kasun P. & Dixit, Vinayak V., 2018. "A review of computable general equilibrium models for transport and their applications in appraisal," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 31-53.
    14. Pedro R.D. Bom & Jenny E. Ligthart, 2014. "What Have We Learned From Three Decades Of Research On The Productivity Of Public Capital?," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(5), pages 889-916, December.
    15. Javier Barbero & Martin Christensen & Andrea Conte & Patrizio Lecca & Andrés Rodríguez‐Pose & Simone Salotti, 2023. "Improving Government Quality in the Regions of the EU and its System‐Wide Benefits for Cohesion Policy," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(1), pages 38-57, January.
    16. Bhattarai, Keshab & Bachman, Paul & Conte, Frank & Haughton, Jonathan & Head, Michael & Tuerck, David G., 2018. "Tax plan debates in the US presidential election: A dynamic CGE analysis of growth and redistribution trade-offs," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 529-542.
    17. Perez Sebastian,Fidel & Steinbuks,Jevgenijs & Feres,Jose Gustavo & Trotter,Ian Michael, 2020. "Electricity Access and Structural Transformation : Evidence from Brazil's Electrification," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9182, The World Bank.
    18. Manuel Alejandro Cardenete & Ferran Sancho, 2012. "The Role Of Supply Constraints In Multiplier Analysis," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(1), pages 21-34, June.
    19. Martina Sartori, 2017. "Hosting a Mega-Event: Is it Good or Bad for the Economy? General Equilibrium Models as a Litmus Paper Test," Working Papers 2017: 21, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    20. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Sharma, Susan Sunila & Bannigidadmath, Deepa, 2013. "Does tourism predict macroeconomic performance in Pacific Island countries?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 780-786.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jpolmo:v:44:y:2022:i:5:p:920-942. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/505735 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.