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Reducing CO2 emissions in China's manufacturing industry: Evidence from nonparametric additive regression models

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  • Xu, Bin
  • Lin, Boqiang

Abstract

Identifying the drivers of carbon dioxide emissions in the manufacturing industry is vital for developing effective environmental policies. This study adopts provincial panel data from 2000 to 2013 and uses nonparametric additive regression models to analyze the drivers of CO2 emissions in the industry. The results show that the nonlinear effect of economic growth on CO2 emissions supports the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis. Energy structure has an inverted “U-shape” effect owing to massive coal consumption in the early stages and the optimization of energy structure in the later stage. The inverted “U-shaped” impact of industrialization may be due to the priority development of heavy industry in the early stages and the optimization of industrial structure in the later stages. The impact of urbanization also exhibits an inverted “U-shaped” pattern because of mass consumption of steel and cement products in the early stages and the advancement in clean energy technologies at the later stages. However, specific energy consumption has a positive “U-shaped” impact because of the difference in the speed of technological progress at different times. Thus, the differential effects of these indicators at different times should be taken into consideration when discussing reduction of CO2 emissions in China's manufacturing industry.

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  • Xu, Bin & Lin, Boqiang, 2016. "Reducing CO2 emissions in China's manufacturing industry: Evidence from nonparametric additive regression models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 161-173.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:101:y:2016:i:c:p:161-173
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2016.02.008
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    5. Xu, Bin & Lin, Boqiang, 2018. "Do we really understand the development of China's new energy industry?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 733-745.
    6. Chen Ya & Zhang Xintian & Liu Haoxiang, 2021. "Investigating the Impact of Capacity Utilization on Carbon Dioxide Emission: Evidence from China’s Iron and Steel Industry," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 9(6), pages 681-703, December.
    7. Myo Myo Htike & Anil Shrestha & Makoto Kakinaka, 2022. "Investigating whether the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis holds for sectoral CO2 emissions: evidence from developed and developing countries," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(11), pages 12712-12739, November.
    8. Muhammad Shahbaz & Avik Sinha, 2019. "Environmental Kuznets curve for CO2emissions: a literature survey," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 46(1), pages 106-168, January.
    9. Xu, Bin & Lin, Boqiang, 2017. "Assessing CO2 emissions in China's iron and steel industry: A nonparametric additive regression approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 325-337.
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    16. Ahmad, Najid & Du, Liangsheng & Lu, Jiye & Wang, Jianlin & Li, Hong-Zhou & Hashmi, Muhammad Zaffar, 2017. "Modelling the CO2 emissions and economic growth in Croatia: Is there any environmental Kuznets curve?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 164-172.
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    19. Xia Wang & Lijun Zhang & Yaochen Qin & Jingfei Zhang, 2020. "Analysis of China’s Manufacturing Industry Carbon Lock-In and Its Influencing Factors," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-15, February.
    20. Rafiq, Shuddhasattwa & Nielsen, Ingrid & Smyth, Russell, 2017. "Effect of internal migration on the environment in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 31-44.
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