IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/eec/wpaper/2507.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The Taxonomy of Climate Change: How Rising Temperatures Unequally Impact Nations’ Discomfort

Author

Listed:
  • Alejandra Martínez-Martínez

    (University of Valencia and INTECO Research Group)

  • Rafael Llorca-Vivero

    (University of Valencia and INTECO Research Group)

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to analyse the extent to which the increase in global temperatures affects both the level of citizens' discomfort and energy consumption. We use countries' yearly average temperatures, the summation of cooling and heating degree-days, and primary energy consumption as the variables of interest on a sample of 67 countries over the period 1986-2016. The descriptive analysis reveals that the increase in global temperatures is widespread but shows distinct geographical patterns. Specifically, the increase is most pronounced in Europe and least significant in the Americas, while Africa and Asia hold an intermediate position, albeit experiencing the highest levels of heat stress. Our findings reveal that higher temperatures primarily reduce discomfort levels in cooler regions, such as European countries and North America, while they predominantly increase discomfort in warmer areas of the Americas, Africa, and Asia. This phenomenon has consequences for energy consumption efficiency, generally improving for the former and worsening for the latter. From this perspective, there are winners and losers from climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Alejandra Martínez-Martínez & Rafael Llorca-Vivero, 2025. "The Taxonomy of Climate Change: How Rising Temperatures Unequally Impact Nations’ Discomfort," Working Papers 2507, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
  • Handle: RePEc:eec:wpaper:2507
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://repecsrv.uv.es/paper/RePEc/pdf/eec_2507.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2507
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ciulla, G. & D'Amico, A., 2019. "Building energy performance forecasting: A multiple linear regression approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C), pages 1-1.
    2. Trotter, Ian M. & Bolkesjø, Torjus Folsland & Féres, José Gustavo & Hollanda, Lavinia, 2016. "Climate change and electricity demand in Brazil: A stochastic approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 596-604.
    3. Dombaycı, Ö. Altan, 2009. "Degree-days maps of Turkey for various base temperatures," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(11), pages 1807-1812.
    4. Craig, Christopher A., 2016. "Energy consumption, energy efficiency, and consumer perceptions: A case study for the Southeast United States," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 660-669.
    5. Baier, Scott L. & Yotov, Yoto V. & Zylkin, Thomas, 2019. "On the widely differing effects of free trade agreements: Lessons from twenty years of trade integration," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 206-226.
    6. Du, Kerui & Yu, Ying & Wei, Chu, 2020. "Climatic impact on China's residential electricity consumption: Does the income level matter?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    7. Bas J. van Ruijven & Enrica De Cian & Ian Sue Wing, 2019. "Amplification of future energy demand growth due to climate change," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-12, December.
    8. Eshita Gupta, 2012. "Global warming and electricity demand in the rapidly growing city of Delhi: A Semi-parametric variable coefficient approach," Discussion Papers 12-02, Indian Statistical Institute, Delhi.
    9. Li, Jianglong & Yang, Lisha & Long, Houyin, 2018. "Climatic impacts on energy consumption: Intensive and extensive margins," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 332-343.
    10. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Peng, Hua-Rong, 2017. "Exploring the direct rebound effect of residential electricity consumption: An empirical study in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 132-141.
    11. Gupta, Eshita, 2012. "Global warming and electricity demand in the rapidly growing city of Delhi: A semi-parametric variable coefficient approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 1407-1421.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yang, Shubo & Jahanger, Atif & Awan, Ashar, 2024. "Temperature variation and urban electricity consumption in China: Implications for demand management and planning," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    2. Alejandra Martínez – Martínez & Silviano Esteve – Pérez & Salvador Gil – Pareja & Rafael Llorca - Vivero, 2023. "In search of factors that explain the impact of climate change on international trade," Working Papers 2310, Department of Applied Economics II, Universidad de Valencia.
    3. Hongliang Zhang & Jianhong E. Mu & Bruce A. McCarl & Jialing Yu, 2022. "The impact of climate change on global energy use," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 1-19, January.
    4. Du, Kerui & Yu, Ying & Wei, Chu, 2020. "Climatic impact on China's residential electricity consumption: Does the income level matter?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    5. Thangjam Aditya & Sanjita Jaipuria & Pradeep Kumar Dadabada, 2025. "A Review of Methods for Long‐Term Electric Load Forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(4), pages 1403-1423, July.
    6. Ang, B.W. & Wang, H. & Ma, Xiaojing, 2017. "Climatic influence on electricity consumption: The case of Singapore and Hong Kong," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 534-543.
    7. Ouyang, Xiaoling & Yang, Yuchuan & Du, Kerui & Cheng, Zhenyu, 2022. "How does residential electricity consumption respond to electricity efficiency improvement? Evidence from 287 prefecture-level cities in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    8. Harish, Santosh & Singh, Nishmeet & Tongia, Rahul, 2020. "Impact of temperature on electricity demand: Evidence from Delhi and Indian states," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    9. Byrne, Paul & Fournaison, Laurence & Delahaye, Anthony & Ait Oumeziane, Yacine & Serres, Laurent & Loulergue, Patrick & Szymczyk, Anthony & Mugnier, Daniel & Malaval, Jean-Luc & Bourdais, Romain & Gue, 2015. "A review on the coupling of cooling, desalination and solar photovoltaic systems," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 703-717.
    10. Wei, Kai & Zhang, Zuopeng Justin & Lin, Boqiang, 2024. "Does news propaganda really affect residents’ electricity rebound effect: New evidence of non-price information," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 300(C).
    11. Francesco Pietro Colelli & Johannes Emmerling & Giacomo Marangoni & Malcolm N. Mistry & Enrica Cian, 2022. "Increased energy use for adaptation significantly impacts mitigation pathways," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12, December.
    12. Lin, Boqiang & Zhu, Penghu, 2021. "Measurement of the direct rebound effect of residential electricity consumption: An empirical study based on the China family panel studies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    13. Wang, Yaoping & Bielicki, Jeffrey M., 2018. "Acclimation and the response of hourly electricity loads to meteorological variables," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 473-485.
    14. Xu, Bin & Lin, Boqiang, 2015. "How industrialization and urbanization process impacts on CO2 emissions in China: Evidence from nonparametric additive regression models," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 188-202.
    15. Marilyn A. Brown & Matt Cox & Ben Staver & Paul Baer, 2016. "Modeling climate-driven changes in U.S. buildings energy demand," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 134(1), pages 29-44, January.
    16. Eshita Gupta, 2016. "The Effect Of Development On The Climate Sensitivity Of Electricity Demand In India," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 7(02), pages 1-49, May.
    17. Xu, Bin & Lin, Boqiang, 2016. "Reducing CO2 emissions in China's manufacturing industry: Evidence from nonparametric additive regression models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 161-173.
    18. Waite, Michael & Cohen, Elliot & Torbey, Henri & Piccirilli, Michael & Tian, Yu & Modi, Vijay, 2017. "Global trends in urban electricity demands for cooling and heating," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 786-802.
    19. Ye, Yuxiang & Koch, Steven F. & Ye, Xianming, 2025. "The effect of temperature on household hourly electricity consumption: Evidence from South Africa," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 319(C).
    20. Matthew Ranson & Lauren Morris & Alex Kats-Rubin, 2014. "Climate Change and Space Heating Energy Demand: A Review of the Literature," NCEE Working Paper Series 201407, National Center for Environmental Economics, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, revised Dec 2014.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eec:wpaper:2507. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Vicente Esteve (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/dsvales.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.