IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecofin/v79y2025ics1062940825001032.html

Hedging downside risk for REITs

Author

Listed:
  • Zhou, Jian

Abstract

As an alternative investment class, REITs possess a unique ‘duality’ feature and have been experiencing strong downside movements recently. The paper aims to investigate a timely research subject on hedging downside risk for REITs. We consider a variety of downside risk measures and assess the hedging performance of minimum-downside-risk (MDR) strategies relative to the benchmark minimum-variance (MV) approach. Our study reveals two important findings that are distinctive from those reported in other markets: first, the MV approach leads to under-hedging compared with various MDR approaches. Second, a simpler historical simulation method generally outperforms the more complex Monte Carlo simulation method in estimating optimal hedge ratios. Our study also yields similar results as in other markets. We find that a decent amount of tail risk would still remain even after hedging whereas other types of down risk can be largely hedged away. Moreover, as the hedger becomes more concerned with tail risk, the hedging performance would deteriorate.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhou, Jian, 2025. "Hedging downside risk for REITs," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:79:y:2025:i:c:s1062940825001032
    DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2025.102463
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1062940825001032
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.najef.2025.102463?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Donald Lien & Yiu Kuen Tse, 2000. "Hedging downside risk with futures contracts," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 163-170.
    2. Hoesli, Martin & Oikarinen, Elias, 2012. "Are REITs real estate? Evidence from international sector level data," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(7), pages 1823-1850.
    3. Fishburn, Peter C, 1977. "Mean-Risk Analysis with Risk Associated with Below-Target Returns," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 67(2), pages 116-126, March.
    4. Chyi Lin Lee & Ming‐Long Lee, 2012. "Hedging effectiveness of REIT futures," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 30(3), pages 257-281, April.
    5. Gabriel J. Power & Dmitry Vedenov, 2010. "Dealing with downside risk in a multi‐commodity setting: A case for a “Texas hedge”?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(3), pages 290-304, March.
    6. Chris Brooks & Olan T. Henry & Gita Persand, 2002. "The Effect of Asymmetries on Optimal Hedge Ratios," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 75(2), pages 333-352, April.
    7. Clayton, Jim & MacKinnon, Greg, 2003. "The Relative Importance of Stock, Bond and Real Estate Factors in Explaining REIT Returns," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 27(1), pages 39-60, July.
    8. Richard D. F. Harris & Jian Shen, 2006. "Hedging and value at risk," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 369-390, April.
    9. Chyi Lin Lee & Ming‐Long Lee, 2012. "Hedging effectiveness of REIT futures," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 30(3), pages 257-281, April.
    10. Babak Eftekhari, 1998. "Lower partial moment hedge ratios," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(6), pages 645-652.
    11. Massimiliano Barbi & Silvia Romagnoli, 2014. "A Copula‐Based Quantile Risk Measure Approach to Estimate the Optimal Hedge Ratio," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(7), pages 658-675, July.
    12. Ederington, Louis H, 1979. "The Hedging Performance of the New Futures Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 34(1), pages 157-170, March.
    13. Zhou, Jian, 2016. "Hedging performance of REIT index futures: A comparison of alternative hedge ratio estimation methods," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 690-698.
    14. Bawa, Vijay S., 1975. "Optimal rules for ordering uncertain prospects," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 95-121, March.
    15. Steffen Grønneberg & Nils Lid Hjort, 2014. "The Copula Information Criteria," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 41(2), pages 436-459, June.
    16. repec:arz:wpaper:eres2012-232 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Bawa, Vijay S., 1978. "Safety-First, Stochastic Dominance, and Optimal Portfolio Choice," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(2), pages 255-271, June.
    18. Philippe Artzner & Freddy Delbaen & Jean‐Marc Eber & David Heath, 1999. "Coherent Measures of Risk," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(3), pages 203-228, July.
    19. Ubukata, Masato, 2018. "Dynamic hedging performance and downside risk: Evidence from Nikkei index futures," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 270-281.
    20. Odusami, Babatunde O. & Akinsomi, Omokolade, 2024. "Diversifying and hedging REIT portfolios with cryptocurrencies: Evidence from global and regional REIT indices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    21. Sukcharoen, Kunlapath & Leatham, David J., 2017. "Hedging downside risk of oil refineries: A vine copula approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 493-507.
    22. Campbell R. Harvey & Akhtar Siddique, 2000. "Conditional Skewness in Asset Pricing Tests," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(3), pages 1263-1295, June.
    23. Conlon, Thomas & Cotter, John, 2013. "Downside risk and the energy hedger's horizon," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 371-379.
    24. Chyi Lee & Simon Stevenson & Ming-Long Lee, 2014. "Futures Trading, Spot Price Volatility and Market Efficiency: Evidence from European Real Estate Securities Futures," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 48(2), pages 299-322, February.
    25. Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2015. "Simple versus complex forecasting: The evidence," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(8), pages 1678-1685.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Müller, Fernanda Maria & Spindler, Leonardo Teixeira & Righi, Marcelo Brutti, 2025. "Comparative analysis of risk measures for optimal hedge ratio determination," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    2. Sukcharoen, Kunlapath & Leatham, David J., 2017. "Hedging downside risk of oil refineries: A vine copula approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 493-507.
    3. John Cotter & Jim Hanly, 2012. "Hedging effectiveness under conditions of asymmetry," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(2), pages 135-147, February.
    4. Kuang, Wei, 2023. "The equity-oil hedge: A comparison between volatility and alternative risk frameworks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).
    5. Arunanondchai, Panit & Sukcharoen, Kunlapath & Leatham, David J., 2020. "Dealing with tail risk in energy commodity markets: Futures contracts versus exchange-traded funds," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 20(C).
    6. Ubukata, Masato, 2018. "Dynamic hedging performance and downside risk: Evidence from Nikkei index futures," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 270-281.
    7. Tehrani, Reza & Veisizadeh, Vahid, 2021. "Dynamic Cross Hedging Effectiveness between Gold and Stock Market Based on Downside Risk Measures: Evidence from Iran Emerging Capital Market," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 16(1), pages 43-70, March.
    8. Power, Gabriel J. & Vedenov, Dmitry, 2023. "Who's afraid of a Texas hedge?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    9. Ahmedov, Zafarbek & Woodard, Joshua D., 2012. "Do RIN Mandates and Blender's Tax Credit Affect Blenders' Hedging Strategies?," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124980, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    10. Vedenov, Dmitry & Power, Gabriel J., 2022. "We don't need no fancy hedges! Or do we?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    11. Barbi, Massimiliano & Romagnoli, Silvia, 2018. "Skewness, basis risk, and optimal futures demand," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 14-29.
    12. Capitani, Daniel H.D. & Mattos, Fabio, 2015. "Feasibility of new agricultural futures contract: a study in the Brazilian rice market," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205565, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    13. Lee, Chyi Lin & Stevenson, Simon & Cho, Hyunbum, 2022. "Listed real estate futures trading, market efficiency, and direct real estate linkages: International evidence," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    14. Basu, Anup K. & Drew, Michael E., 2010. "The appropriateness of default investment options in defined contribution plans: Australian evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 290-305, June.
    15. Yang (Greg) Hou & Mark Holmes, 2020. "Do higher order moments of return distribution provide better decisions in minimum-variance hedging? Evidence from US stock index futures," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 45(2), pages 240-265, May.
    16. Yu, Xing & Zhang, Wei Guo & Liu, Yong Jun & Wang, Xinxin & Wang, Chao, 2020. "Hedging the exchange rate risk for international portfolios," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 85-104.
    17. Schuhmacher, Frank & Auer, Benjamin R., 2014. "Sufficient conditions under which SSD- and MR-efficient sets are identical," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 239(3), pages 756-763.
    18. Jonathan Dark, 2005. "A Critique of Minimum Variance Hedging," Accounting Research Journal, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 18(1), pages 40-49, June.
    19. Chen, Sheng-Syan & Lee, Cheng-few & Shrestha, Keshab, 2008. "Do the pure martingale and joint normality hypotheses hold for futures contracts: Implications for the optimal hedge ratios," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 153-174, February.
    20. Jui-Cheng Hung & Chien-Liang Chiu & Ming-Chih Lee, 2006. "Hedging with zero-value at risk hedge ratio," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(3), pages 259-269.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:79:y:2025:i:c:s1062940825001032. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620163 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.