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Savings and investments in the OECD, 1970–2007: A test of panel cointegration with regime changes

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  • Iorio, Francesca Di
  • Fachin, Stefano

Abstract

In this paper we test for the existence of a long-run relationship between investment and savings (the Feldstein–Horioka puzzle) in a panel of 18 OECD countries, 1970–2007, allowing for heterogenous breaks in the coefficients. For this purpose we develop a bootstrap panel cointegration with breaks robust to cross-section dependence, shown by simulation to enjoy good size and power properties provided that some care is applied in its use. The tests suggest that, even allowing for parameter shifts in the countries where capital control regulations changed in the sample period, there is no evidence of an investment–savings long-run relationship for the panel as a whole.

Suggested Citation

  • Iorio, Francesca Di & Fachin, Stefano, 2014. "Savings and investments in the OECD, 1970–2007: A test of panel cointegration with regime changes," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 59-76.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:28:y:2014:i:c:p:59-76
    DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2014.01.003
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    Cited by:

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    2. Phiri, Andrew, 2019. "The Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle and the Global Financial Crisis: Evidence from South Africa using Asymmetric Cointegration Analysis," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 72(2), pages 139-170.
    3. Assibey-Yeboah, Mark & Mohsin, Mohammed, 2014. "The real effects of inflation in a developing economy with external debt and sovereign risk," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 40-55.
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    5. Phiri, Andrew, 2017. "The Feldstein-Horioka puzzle and the global recession period: Evidence from South Africa using asymmetric cointegration analysis," MPRA Paper 79096, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Ketenci, Natalya, 2018. "Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on the Level of Capital Mobility in EU Members," MPRA Paper 100075, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Feldstein–Horioka puzzle; Panel cointegration; Stationary bootstrap; Breaks; OECD;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General

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