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An Empirical Investigation on the Determinants of the Saving-Investment Interaction

Author

Listed:
  • Timur Han Gur

    () (Department of Economics, Hacettepe University, Turkey)

  • Lutfi Erden

    () (Department of Economics, Hacettepe University, Turkey)

  • Ibrahim Ozkan

    () (Department of Economics, Hacettepe University, Turkey)

Abstract

This study aims to shed light on the Feldstein-Horioka (F-H) puzzle, making use of the potential explanations put forward in the related literature. To this end, the study takes a distinct empirical route, combining a cointegration technique and regression analysis. In the first step, we obtain three definitions for the dependent variable that represent the degree of the interaction between domestic saving and investment (S-I), employing a cointegration analysis for 86 countries in the sample. In the second step, each definition of the dependent variable is regressed on potential explanations for the co-movement of the S-I such as openness, country size, productivity shocks, and real interest rate differentials. After examining a number of potential variables for their explanatory power on this puzzle, however, none of the posited variables are found to be statistically significant determinants of the S-I interaction. The results indicate that the size of the economy, productivity shocks or interest rate differentials have almost no role in explaining the S-I behavior. Further, the findings show that openness has no influence on the S-I interaction, suggesting that it is not plausible to view the S-I correlation as an indicator of international capital mobility as F-H did.

Suggested Citation

  • Timur Han Gur & Lutfi Erden & Ibrahim Ozkan, 2011. "An Empirical Investigation on the Determinants of the Saving-Investment Interaction," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 58(3), pages 343-353, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:voj:journl:v:58:y:2011:i:3:p:343-353
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Feldstein-Horioka puzzle; Saving-Investment relations; International capital mobility; Cointegration;

    JEL classification:

    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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