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Evidence of Wagner's law from Indian states

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  • Narayan, Seema
  • Rath, Badri Narayan
  • Narayan, Paresh Kumar

Abstract

In this paper, we test for Wagner's law for 15 Indian states. We consider nine panels of states based on geography and level of economic development. Using panel unit-root, panel-cointegration, and panel-Granger causality analysis, we unravel strong evidence of Wagner's law. However, we find that the Wagner's law relationship is consumption rather than capital expenditure driven. This is a fresh revelation and our results are robust to different model specifications.

Suggested Citation

  • Narayan, Seema & Rath, Badri Narayan & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2012. "Evidence of Wagner's law from Indian states," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 1548-1557.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:29:y:2012:i:5:p:1548-1557
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.05.004
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    1. Pedro Henrique Martins Prado & Cleomar Gomes da Silva, 2020. "Wagner’s Law and Fiscal Illusion: An analysis of state government finances in Brazil," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(2), pages 628-643, May.
    2. M.V. Sergeeva, 2020. "Relationship Between Transport Infrastructure Development and Price Formation," Journal of Applied Economic Research, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, vol. 19(4), pages 543-564.
    3. Nayak, Dinesh Kumar & Hazarika, Bhabesh, 2022. "Linkage between Income and Government Expenditure at Indian Sub-nationals: A Second Generation Panel Co-integration Techniques," Working Papers 22/374, National Institute of Public Finance and Policy.
    4. Maparu, Tuhin Subhra & Mazumder, Tarak Nath, 2021. "Investigating causality between transport infrastructure and urbanization: A state-level study of India (1991–2011)," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 46-55.
    5. Yaya Keho, 2016. "Testing Wagner's Law in the Presence of Structural Changes: New Evidence from Six African Countries (1960-2013)," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(1), pages 1-6.
    6. Rashmi Rastogi & Sangeeta Chakravarty & Basanta K. Pradhan, 2019. "GWagner’s Law for Low Income States in India," IEG Working Papers 383, Institute of Economic Growth.
    7. Devi Prasad DASH & Debi Prasad BAL & Manoranjan SAHOO, 2016. "Nexus between defense expenditure and economic growth in BRIC economies: An empirical investigation," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(1(606), S), pages 89-102, Spring.
    8. Funashima, Yoshito & Hiraga, Kazuki, 2016. "Wagner's law, fiscal discipline, and intergovernmental transfer: Empirical evidence at the U.S. and German state levels," MPRA Paper 73551, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Yoshito Funashima, 2017. "Wagner’s law versus displacement effect," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(7), pages 619-634, February.
    10. Maparu, Tuhin Subhra & Mazumder, Tarak Nath, 2017. "Transport infrastructure, economic development and urbanization in India (1990–2011): Is there any causal relationship?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 319-336.
    11. Suzana Balaban & Dejan Živkov, 2021. "Validity of Wagner’s Law in Transition Economies: A Multivariate Approach," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 236(1), pages 105-131, March.
    12. Phu Nguyen-Van & Thi Kim Cuong Pham, 2017. "Croissance économique et taille du secteur public," Post-Print hal-03999890, HAL.
    13. Cavicchioli, Maddalena & Pistoresi, Barbara, 2016. "Testing threshold cointegration in Wagner's Law: The role of military spending," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 23-31.
    14. Arfat Ahmad Sofi & Subash Sasidharan, 2018. "Do Indian States Mimic, Compete or Interact in Local Public Spending? A Spatial Econometric Analysis," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 32(2), pages 187-213, June.
    15. Akram, Vaseem & Rath, Badri Narayan, 2020. "What do we know about fiscal sustainability across Indian states?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 307-321.
    16. Funashima, Yoshito, 2015. "Wagner's law versus displacement effect," MPRA Paper 68390, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Yoshito Funashima & Kazuki Hiraga, 2017. "Wagner’s law, fiscal discipline, and intergovernmental transfer: empirical evidence at the US and German state levels," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 24(4), pages 652-677, August.
    18. Thi Kim Cuong Pham & Phu Nguyen-Van, 2017. "Croissance économique et taille du secteur public," Bulletin de l'Observatoire des politiques économiques en Europe, Observatoire des Politiques Économiques en Europe (OPEE), vol. 36(1), pages 21-24, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Wagner's Law; Indian states; Unit root; Cointegration; Panel data; Heterogeneous;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • H72 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Budget and Expenditures
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

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