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A structural VARX modelling of international parities between China and Japan in the liberalization era

  • Tze-Haw Chan

    ()

    (School of Management, Universiti Sains Malaysia)

  • Chee-Wooi Hooy

    ()

    (School of Management, Universiti Sains Malaysia)

  • Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah

    ()

    (Faculty of Economics and Management, Universiti Putra Malaysia)

This study systemically investigates the international parity conditions for China and Japan in the liberalization era (1990:Q1-2010:Q2). Advanced econometric procedures including the structural VARX and persistent profiles are utilized in the empirical analysis. The finding upholds support for both purchasing power (PPP) and uncovered interest parity (UIP) conditions, when structural breaks due to the Asian and subprime crises were taken into accounts. By comparing the persistent profiles, we find shocks to real sector are more likely to lead to the establishment of parity at faster rate than capital market. This seems to suggest sequencing problem in market integration is not an issue.

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Article provided by AccessEcon in its journal Economics Bulletin.

Volume (Year): 32 (2012)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 730-736

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Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-11-00438
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  1. Pomfret, Richard, 2005. "Sequencing trade and monetary integration: issues and application to Asia," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 105-124, February.
  2. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Aggarwal, Raj & Chan, Tze-Haw, 2005. "East Asian Real Exchange Rates and PPP: New Evidence from panel-data tests," MPRA Paper 2023, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2007.
  3. Pesaran, M. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol & Smith, Richard J., 2000. "Structural analysis of vector error correction models with exogenous I(1) variables," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 97(2), pages 293-343, August.
  4. Pesaran, M. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 1996. "Cointegration and speed of convergence to equilibrium," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 71(1-2), pages 117-143.
  5. C. Emre Alper & Oya Pinar Ardic, 2010. "covered interest parity," The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, Palgrave Macmillan.
  6. Virginie Coudert & C├ęcile Couharde, 2005. "Real Equilibrium Exchange Rate in China," Working Papers 2005-01, CEPII research center.
  7. Juselius, Katarina, 1995. "Do purchasing power parity and uncovered interest rate parity hold in the long run? An example of likelihood inference in a multivariate time-series model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 69(1), pages 211-240, September.
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