IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ces/ifosdt/v70y2017i15p42-46.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Über die richtige Interpretation des ifo Geschäftsklimas als konjunktureller Frühindikator

Author

Listed:
  • Klaus Wohlrabe

    ()

  • Timo Wollmershäuser

    ()

Abstract

Aufgrund der Rekordjagd des ifo Geschäftsklimaindex in den vergangenen Monaten wurde vereinzelt die Aussagekraft des Konjunkturindikators in Frage gestellt. Der Artikel gibt einen kurzen Überblick, wie dieser richtig zu interpretieren ist. Es zeigt sich, dass vor allem die Veränderung des ifo Geschäftsklimaindex betrachtet werden muss, wenn eine Aussage über den Verlauf des Bruttoinlandsprodukts getroffen werden soll.

Suggested Citation

  • Klaus Wohlrabe & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2017. "Über die richtige Interpretation des ifo Geschäftsklimas als konjunktureller Frühindikator," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(15), pages 42-46, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:70:y:2017:i:15:p:42-46
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.cesifo-group.de/DocDL/sd-2017-15-wohlrabe-wollmershaeuser-ifo-index-2017-08-10.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Klaus Abberger & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2006. "Einige Prognoseeigenschaften des ifo Geschäftsklimas - Ein Überblick über die neuere wissenschaftliche Literatur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 59(22), pages 19-26, November.
    2. Kai Carstensen & Steffen Henzel & Johannes Mayr & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2009. "IFOCAST: Methoden der ifo-Kurzfristprognose," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 62(23), pages 15-28, December.
    3. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 1999. "Aus dem Instrumentenkasten der Konjunkturanalyse : Veränderungen im Vergleich," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 52(27), pages 11-19, October.
    4. Klaus Abberger, 2007. "Forecasting Quarter-on-Quarter Changes of German GDP with Monthly Business Tendency Survey Results," ifo Working Paper Series 40, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    5. Christian Seiler & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Das ifo Geschäftsklima und die deutsche Konjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(18), pages 17-21, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. repec:ces:ifosdt:v:71:y:2018:i:23:p:22-28 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. repec:ces:ifosdt:v:72:y:2019:i:09:p:45-49 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. repec:ces:ifosdt:v:71:y:2018:i:07:p:54-60 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. repec:ces:ifodre:v:26:y:2019:i:01:p:23-28 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Konjunktur; Frühindikator; Wirtschaftsindikator; Unternehmen; Deutschland;

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:70:y:2017:i:15:p:42-46. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Klaus Wohlrabe). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/ifooode.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.