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Zuwanderung nach der EU-Osterweiterung: Wo liegen die Probleme?

Author Info

  • Hans-Werner Sinn
  • Martin Werding

Abstract

In den Verhandlungen zur EU-Osterweiterung steht im ersten Halbjahr 2001 die Regelung zur Arbeitnehmerfreizügigkeit auf der Tagesordnung. Mittlerweile liegen mehrere Schätzungen des Zuwanderungspotentials vor, das nach der EU-Erweiterung für Deutschland oder ganz Westeuropa wirksam werden kann. Die öffentliche Diskussion konzentriert sich dabei vor allem auf das jeweils projizierte Migrationsvolumen, das für Deutschland nach Ablauf von 15 Jahren auf Werte zwischen 2 und 6 Mill. Personen geschätzt wird. Letztlich sind es aber nicht so sehr die nur schwer vorauszuschätzenden Zuwanderungszahlen, sondern in erster Linie die bestehenden ökonomischen und rechtlichen Rahmenbedingungen für Wanderungen innerhalb einer erweiterten EU, die als eigentliche Ursache möglicher Folgeprobleme anzusehen sind.

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File URL: http://www.cesifo-group.de/portal/page/portal/DocBase_Content/ZS/ZS-ifo_Schnelldienst/zs-sd-2001/ifosd_2001_8_3.pdf
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Article provided by Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Schnelldienst.

Volume (Year): 54 (2001)
Issue (Month): 08 (05)
Pages: 18-27

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Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:54:y:2001:i:08:p:18-27
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Keywords: EU-Erweiterung; Osteuropa; Internationale Arbeitsmobilität; Wohlfahrt; Arbeitsmarkt; Deutschland;

Find related papers by JEL classification:

  • J39 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Other
  • J40 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - General
  • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
  • O20 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - General

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Hans-Werner Sinn, 1996. "Social insurance, incentives and risk taking," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer, vol. 3(3), pages 259-280, July.
  2. George J. Borjas, 1995. "The Economic Benefits from Immigration," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 9(2), pages 3-22, Spring.
  3. Bauer, Thomas K. & Zimmermann, Klaus F., 1999. "Report No. 3: Assessment of Possible Migration Pressure and its Labour Market Impact Following EU Enlargement to Central and Eastern Europe," IZA Research Reports 3, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  4. Hans-Werner Sinn, 1999. "EU Enlargement, Migration, and Lessons from German Unification," CESifo Working Paper Series 182, CESifo Group Munich.
  5. George J. Borjas, 1998. "Immigration and Welfare Magnets," NBER Working Papers 6813, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. Clemens Fuest & Marcel Thum, 2001. "Zuwanderungsgewinne bei unvollständigen Arbeitsmärkten?," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 54(08), pages 28-31, 05.
  7. Hans-Werner Sinn, 1991. "Macroeconomic Aspects of German Unification," NBER Working Papers 3596, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  8. Sinn, Hans-Werner, 1995. "A Theory of the Welfare State," CEPR Discussion Papers 1278, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  9. Sinn, Hans-Werner, 2002. "EU enlargement and the future of the welfare state," Munich Reprints in Economics 19736, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  10. Zimmermann, Klaus F., 1998. "Immigration und Arbeitsmarkt: Eine oekonomische Perspektive," IZA Discussion Papers 7, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).
  11. Hans-Werner Sinn & Gebhard Flaig & Martin Werding & Sonja Munz & Nicola Düll & Herbert Hofmann, 2001. "EU-Erweiterung und Arbeitskräftemigration : Wege zu einer schrittweisen Annäherung der Arbeitsmärkte," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 2, May.
  12. Wolfgang Ochel, 2000. "Mittel- und osteuropäische Einwohner in Westdeutschland," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 53(19-20), pages 49-49, 07.
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Cited by:

  1. Hans-Werner Sinn, 2013. "Das demographische Defizit – die Fakten, die Folgen, die Ursachen und die Politikimplikationen," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(21), pages 03-23, November.
  2. Klaus Prettner & Alfred Stiglbauer, 2007. "Effects of the Full Opening of the Austrian Labor Market to EU-8 Citizens," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 4, pages 50–66.
  3. Hans-Werner Sinn, 2005. "Europe’s Demographic Deficit A Plea For A Child Pension System," De Economist, Springer, vol. 153(1), pages 1-45, December.
  4. Möllers, Judith, 2006. "Außerlandwirtschaftliche Diversifikation im Transformationsprozzess: Diversifikationsentscheidungen und -strategien ländlicher Haushalte in Slowenien und Mazedonien," Studies on the Agricultural and Food Sector in Central and Eastern Europe, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Central and Eastern Europe (IAMO), volume 35, number 92495.
  5. Hans-Werner Sinn, 2003. "Das demographische Defizit - die Fakten, die Folgen, die Ursachen und ihre Politikimplikationen," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 56(05), pages 20-36, 03.
  6. Sinn, Hans-Werner, 2005. "Europe's Demographic Deficit," Munich Reprints in Economics 934, University of Munich, Department of Economics.
  7. Richter, Wolfram F., 2002. "Social Security and Taxation of Labour Subject to Subsidiarity and Freedom of Movement," IZA Discussion Papers 490, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA).

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