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The Effect of Terrorist Incidents on Capital Flows

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  • Randall K. Filer
  • Dragana Stanišić

Abstract

The current literature shows a significant negative impact of terrorism on countries' economies. We explore this relationship in more detail. Using an unbalanced panel of over 160 countries for up to 25 years and the Global Terrorism Database (GTD) we show a decrease in FDI as a consequence of terrorism. We also find evidence that FDI flows are more sensitive to terrorism than either portfolio investments or external debt flows. Finally, we test the hypothesis that terrorism has negative spill-over effects on FDI flows into neighboring countries and find evidence that cultural but not geographical closeness matters.
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Suggested Citation

  • Randall K. Filer & Dragana Stanišić, 2016. "The Effect of Terrorist Incidents on Capital Flows," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(2), pages 502-513, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:rdevec:v:20:y:2016:i:2:p:502-513
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/rode.12246
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    Cited by:

    1. Daniel Osberghaus, 2019. "The Effects of Natural Disasters and Weather Variations on International Trade and Financial Flows: a Review of the Empirical Literature," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 3(3), pages 305-325, October.
    2. Hashmat Ali & Zulfiqar Ali Menon & Ajab Khan & Muhammad Muddassar Khan & Imad Ali & Khan Baz & Muhammad Arif & Manzoor Hussain & Waqar Jalal, 2020. "Terrorist Activities, Investor Sentiment, and Stock Returns: Evidence from Pakistan," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 10(3), pages 139-148.
    3. Serhan Cevik & John Ricco, 2020. "Shock and awe? Fiscal consequences of terrorism," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 723-748, February.
    4. Metaxas, Theodore & Kechagia, Polyxeni, 2017. "FDI and Terrorism in developing Asia: Approaches and Discussion," MPRA Paper 78165, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
    • H56 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - National Security and War

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