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Oil and debt

Author

Listed:
  • Dietrich Domanski
  • Jonathan Kearns
  • Marco Jacopo Lombardi
  • Hyun Song Shin

Abstract

The total debt of the oil and gas sector globally stands at roughly $2.5 trillion, two and a half times what it was at the end of 2006. The recent fall in the oil price represents a significant decline in the value of assets backing this debt, introducing a new element to price developments. In common with other episodes of retrenchment induced by rapid declines in asset values, greater leverage may have amplified the dynamics of the oil price decline. The high debt burden of the oil sector also complicates the assessment of the macroeconomic effects of the oil price decline because of its impact on capital expenditure and government budgets, and due to the interaction with a stronger dollar.

Suggested Citation

  • Dietrich Domanski & Jonathan Kearns & Marco Jacopo Lombardi & Hyun Song Shin, 2015. "Oil and debt," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bis:bisqtr:1503f
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Gharib, Cheima & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Jabeur, Sami Ben, 2021. "The bubble contagion effect of COVID-19 outbreak: Evidence from crude oil and gold markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    3. Gevorkyan, Arkady & Semmler, Willi, 2016. "Oil price, overleveraging and shakeout in the shale energy sector — Game changers in the oil industry," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 244-259.
    4. Donders, Pablo & Jara, Mauricio & Wagner, Rodrigo, 2018. "How sensitive is corporate debt to swings in commodity prices?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 237-258.
    5. Endri Endri & M. Iqbal Rasyid Supeni & Yanti Budiasih & Matdio Siahaan & A. Razak & Sudjono Sudjono, 2021. "Oil Price and Leverage for Mining Sector Companies in Indonesia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(4), pages 24-30.
    6. Ferriani, Fabrizio & Veronese, Giovanni, 2018. "U.S. shale producers: a case of dynamic risk management?," MPRA Paper 88279, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Fantazzini, Dean, 2016. "The oil price crash in 2014/15: Was there a (negative) financial bubble?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 383-396.
    8. Zhu, Bo & Lin, Renda & Liu, Jiahao, 2020. "Magnitude and persistence of extreme risk spillovers in the global energy market: A high-dimensional left-tail interdependence perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    9. Khan, Muhammad Imran & Yasmeen, Tabassam & Shakoor, Abdul & Khan, Niaz Bahadur & Muhammad, Riaz, 2017. "2014 oil plunge: Causes and impacts on renewable energy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 68(P1), pages 609-622.
    10. Grace Taylor & Rod Tyers, 2017. "Secular Stagnation: Determinants and Consequences for Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 93(303), pages 615-650, December.
    11. Restrepo, Natalia & Uribe, Jorge M. & Manotas, Diego F., 2020. "Dynamic capital structure under changing market conditions in the oil industry: An empirical investigation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    12. W. Blake Marsh & David Rodziewicz & Rajdeep Sengupta, 2017. "Do Adverse Oil Price Shocks Change Loan Contract Terms for Energy Firms?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, issue Q IV, pages 59-86.
    13. Lips, Johannes, 2018. "Debt and the Oil Industry - Analysis on the Firm and Production Level," VfS Annual Conference 2018 (Freiburg, Breisgau): Digital Economy 181504, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    14. Filippo Natoli, 2021. "Financialization Of Commodities Before And After The Great Financial Crisis," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(2), pages 488-511, April.
    15. Aramonte, Sirio & Szerszeń, Paweł J., 2020. "Cross-market liquidity and dealer profitability: Evidence from the bond and CDS markets," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    16. Ferriani, Fabrizio & Veronese, Giovanni, 2022. "Hedging and investment trade-offs in the U.S. oil industry," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    17. Zhao, Zhao & Wen, Huwei & Li, Ke, 2021. "Identifying bubbles and the contagion effect between oil and stock markets: New evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 780-788.
    18. Tokic, Damir, 2015. "The 2014 oil bust: Causes and consequences," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 162-169.
    19. Fabrizio Ferriani & Filippo Natoli & Giovanni Veronese & Federica Zeni, 2019. "Risk premium in the era of shale oil," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1215, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    20. Daniel Bierbaumer & Malte Rieth & Anton Velinov, 2018. "Nonlinear Intermediary Pricing in the Oil Futures Market," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1722, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D24 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Production; Cost; Capital; Capital, Total Factor, and Multifactor Productivity; Capacity
    • L71 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction - - - Mining, Extraction, and Refining: Hydrocarbon Fuels
    • Q02 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - - Commodity Market
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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