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On the Estimation and Inference of a Panel Cointegration Model with Cross-Sectional Dependence

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Author Info
Jushan Bai () (Department of Economics, New York University, New York, NY 10003, and Department of Economics, Tsinghua University, Beijing 10084, China)
Chihwa Kao () (Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY 13244-1020)

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Abstract

Most of the existing literature on panel data cointegration assumes cross-sectional independence, an assumption that is difficult to satisfy. This paper studies panel cointegration under cross-sectional dependence, which is characterized by a factor structure. We derive the limiting distribution of a fully modified estimator for the panel cointegrating coefficients. We also propose a continuous-updated fully modified (CUP-FM) estimator). Monte Carlo results show that the CUP-FM estimator has better small sample properties than the two-step FM (2S-FM) and OLS estimators.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University in its series Center for Policy Research Working Papers with number 75.

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Length: 33 pages
Date of creation: Dec 2005
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:max:cprwps:75

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Related research
Keywords: panel data cointegration cross-sectional independence cross-sectional dependence continuous updated fully modified (CUP-FM) estimator Monte Carlo results two-step FM (2S-FM) estimator OLS estimator

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Estimation
C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods
C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data

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References listed on IDEAS
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    Other versions:
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    Other versions:
  3. M. Hashem Pesaran, 2004. "Estimation and Inference in Large Heterogeneous Panels with a Multifactor Error Structure," CESifo Working Paper Series CESifo Working Paper No. , CESifo GmbH. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. MOON, Hyungsik Roger & PERRON, Benoit., 2002. "Testing for a Unit Root in Panels with Dynamic Factors," Cahiers de recherche 2002-18, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques. [Downloadable!]
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