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Modelling the unit root properties of electricity data—A general note on time-domain applications

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  • Schneider, Nicolas
  • Strielkowski, Wadim

Abstract

The logic of identifying the stationary features of energy series lays in the policy potentials contained within unit root-related information. By providing an overview of unit root testing frameworks applied on electricity data, this paper underlines why knowledge derived from integration order can benefit to electricity consumption/production forecasting, modelling, and planning. In a methodological discussion, empirical divergences reported in the literature are linked to the variety of unit root testing baselines employed, and the heterogeneous manners through which past stationarity analyses approached identification caveats in time-series econometrics, and threats to internal validity. Further, we argue that time-series model specifications and data choices do matter. They co-determine the external validity of the empirics and may hinder the quality of policy recommendations if mis-considered. Doors for future examinations of stochastic features of electricity series are finally opened, with research opportunities for both theorists and empiricists.

Suggested Citation

  • Schneider, Nicolas & Strielkowski, Wadim, 2023. "Modelling the unit root properties of electricity data—A general note on time-domain applications," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 618(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:618:y:2023:i:c:s0378437123002406
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2023.128685
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Electricity generation; Integration properties; Time-series analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices

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