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Explaining Cointegration Analysis: Part II Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics David F. Hendry
Katarina Juselius
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We describe the concept of cointegration, its implications in modelling and forecasting, and discuss inference procedures appropriate in integrated-cointegrated vector autoregressive processes (VARs). Particular attention is paid to the properties of VARs, to the modelling of deterministic terms, and to the determination of the number of cointegration vectors. The analysis is illustrated by empirical examples.
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Article provided by International Association for Energy Economics in its journal The Energy Journal .
Volume (Year): 22 (2001)
Issue (Month): 1 ()
Pages: 75-120
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Find related papers by JEL classification: F0 - International Economics - - General
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Hendry, David F., 2000.
"On detectable and non-detectable structural change ,"
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics ,
Elsevier, vol. 11(1-2), pages 45-65, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Engle, Robert F & Granger, Clive W J, 1987.
"Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing ,"
Econometrica ,
Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 251-76, March.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Juselius, Katarina, 1998.
"A Structured VAR for Denmark under Changing Monetary Regimes ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 16(4), pages 400-411, October.
Granger, Clive W J, 1986.
"Developments in the Study of Cointegrated Economic Variables ,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics ,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 48(3), pages 213-28, August.
Johansen, S., 2000.
"A Small Sample Correction of the Test for Cointegrating Rank in the Vector Autoregressive Model ,"
Economics Working Papers
eco2000/15, European University Institute.
Harbo, Ingrid, et al, 1998.
"Asymptotic Inference on Cointegrating Rank in Partial Systems ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 16(4), pages 388-99, October.
Doornik, Jurgen A & Hendry, David F & Nielsen, Bent, 1998.
" Inference in Cointegrating Models: UK M1 Revisited ,"
Journal of Economic Surveys ,
Blackwell Publishing, vol. 12(5), pages 533-72, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Søren Johansen & Rocco Mosconi & Bent Nielsen, 2000.
"Cointegration analysis in the presence of structural breaks in the deterministic trend ,"
Econometrics Journal ,
Royal Economic Society, vol. 3(2), pages 216-249.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Gonzalo, Jesus, 1994.
"Five alternative methods of estimating long-run equilibrium relationships ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 60(1-2), pages 203-233.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Ericsson, Neil R & Hendry, David F & Mizon, Grayham E, 1998.
"Exogeneity, Cointegration, and Economic Policy Analysis ,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics ,
American Statistical Association, vol. 16(4), pages 370-87, October.
Other versions: Banerjee, A & Hendry, D-F & Mizon, G-E, 1996.
"The Econometric Analysis of Economic Policy ,"
Economics Working Papers
eco96/34, European University Institute.
Other versions:
Banerjee, Anindya & Hendry, David F & Mizon, Grayham E, 1996.
"The Econometric Analysis of Economic Policy ,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics ,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 58(4), pages 573-600, November.
Johansen, Søren & Juselius, Katarina, 1992.
"Testing structural hypotheses in a multivariate cointegration analysis of the PPP and the UIP for UK ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 53(1-3), pages 211-244.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
David Hendry, 1995.
"On the interactions of unit roots and exogeneity ,"
Economics Papers
7., Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: Johansen, Soren, 1992.
"Testing weak exogeneity and the order of cointegration in UK money demand data ,"
Journal of Policy Modeling ,
Elsevier, vol. 14(3), pages 313-334, June.
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Other versions: Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990.
"Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money ,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics ,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
Søren Johansen, 1994.
"The role of the constant and linear terms in cointegration analysis of nonstationary variables ,"
Econometric Reviews ,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 205-229.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Juselius, Katarina, 1995.
"Do purchasing power parity and uncovered interest rate parity hold in the long run? An example of likelihood inference in a multivariate time-series model ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 69(1), pages 211-240, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Nielsen, Bent & Rahbek, Anders, 2000.
" Similarity Issues in Cointegration Analysis ,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics ,
Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 62(1), pages 5-22, February.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Clements, M.P. & Hendry, D.F., 1992.
"Forecasting in Cointegrated Systems ,"
Economics Series Working Papers
99139, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1994.
"Identification of the long-run and the short-run structure an application to the ISLM model ,"
Journal of Econometrics ,
Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 7-36, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: Michael P. Clements & David F. Hendry, 2001.
"Forecasting Non-Stationary Economic Time Series ,"
MIT Press Books ,
The MIT Press,
edition 1, volume 1, number 0262531895.
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