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Ambiguity and the historical equity premium

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  1. Ambiguity and the historical equity premium
    by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2011-06-01 19:15:29

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Fabio Maccheroni & Massimo Marinacci & Doriana Ruffino, 2013. "Alpha as Ambiguity: Robust Mean‐Variance Portfolio Analysis," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 81(3), pages 1075-1113, May.
  2. Chiaki Hara & Toshiki Honda, 2016. "Mutual Fund Theorem for Ambiguity-Averse Investors and the Optimality of the Market Portfolio," KIER Working Papers 943, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
  3. Qi Nan Zhai, 2015. "Asset Pricing Under Ambiguity and Heterogeneity," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 16, July-Dece.
  4. Meglena Jeleva & Jean-Marc Tallon, 2016. "Ambiguïté, comportements et marchés financiers," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 92(1-2), pages 351-383.
  5. Nengjiu Ju & Jianjun Miao, 2012. "Ambiguity, Learning, and Asset Returns," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 80(2), pages 559-591, March.
  6. Manel Baucells & Rakesh K. Sarin, 2019. "The Myopic Property in Decision Models," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 16(2), pages 128-141, June.
  7. Bayer, Péter & Guerdjikova, Ani, 2024. "Optimism leads to optimality: Ambiguity in network formation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
  8. Karantounias, Anastasios G., 2023. "Doubts about the model and optimal policy," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
  9. Klaus Adam & Albert Marcet & Juan Pablo Nicolini, 2016. "Stock Market Volatility and Learning," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 71(1), pages 33-82, February.
  10. Martin Ellison & Andreas Tischbirek, 2021. "Beauty Contests and the Term Structure [Risk Premia and Term Premia in General Equilibrium]," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 19(4), pages 2234-2282.
  11. Laurent Denant-Boemont & Olivier L’Haridon, 2013. "La rationalité à l'épreuve de l'économie comportementale," Revue française d'économie, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(2), pages 35-89.
  12. Backus, David & Ferriere, Axelle & Zin, Stanley, 2015. "Risk and ambiguity in models of business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 42-63.
  13. Guidolin, Massimo & Liu, Hening, 2016. "Ambiguity Aversion and Underdiversification," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 51(4), pages 1297-1323, August.
  14. repec:hal:wpaper:hal-03005107 is not listed on IDEAS
  15. Philipp K. Illeditsch & Jayant V. Ganguli & Scott Condie, 2021. "Information Inertia," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(1), pages 443-479, February.
  16. Guerdjikova, Ani & Sciubba, Emanuela, 2015. "Survival with ambiguity," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 50-94.
  17. Thimme, Julian & Völkert, Clemens, 2015. "High order smooth ambiguity preferences and asset prices," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 1-15.
  18. Christensen, Timothy M., 2022. "Existence and uniqueness of recursive utilities without boundedness," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
  19. Michèle Cohen & Jean-Marc Tallon & Jean-Christophe Vergnaud, 2011. "An experimental investigation of imprecision attitude and its relation with risk attitude and impatience," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 71(1), pages 81-109, July.
  20. repec:esx:essedp:719 is not listed on IDEAS
  21. Elisa Cavatorta & David Schröder, 2019. "Measuring ambiguity preferences: A new ambiguity preference survey module," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 58(1), pages 71-100, February.
  22. Sumru Altug & Cem Cakmakli & Fabrice Collard & Sujoy Mukerji & Han Ozsoylev, 2020. "Ambiguous Business Cycles: A Quantitative Assessment," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 38, pages 220-237, October.
  23. Michael Johannes & Lars Lochstoer & Pierre Collin-Dufresne, 2015. "Parameter Learning in General Equilibrium: The Asset Pricing Implications," 2015 Meeting Papers 647, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  24. Stefania Minardi & Andrei Savochkin, 2017. "Characterizations of Smooth Ambiguity Based on Continuous and Discrete Data," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 42(1), pages 167-178, January.
  25. Massimo Guidolin & Francesca Rinaldi, 2013. "Ambiguity in asset pricing and portfolio choice: a review of the literature," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 74(2), pages 183-217, February.
  26. Makarov, Dmitry, 2021. "Optimal portfolio under ambiguous ambiguity," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
  27. Doriana Ruffino, 2014. "A Robust Capital Asset Pricing Model," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-01, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  28. Sujoy Mukerji & Han N. Ozsoylev & Jean‐Marc Tallon, 2023. "Trading Ambiguity: A Tale Of Two Heterogeneities," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 64(3), pages 1127-1164, August.
  29. Christian Gollier, 2011. "Portfolio Choices and Asset Prices: The Comparative Statics of Ambiguity Aversion," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 78(4), pages 1329-1344.
  30. Anagol, Santosh & Balasubramaniam, Vimal & Ramadorai, Tarun, 2021. "Learning from noise: Evidence from India’s IPO lotteries," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(3), pages 965-986.
  31. Pierre Collin-Dufresne & Michael Johannes & Lars A. Lochstoer, 2013. "Parameter Learning in General Equilibrium: The Asset Pricing Implications," NBER Working Papers 19705, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  32. Jewitt, Ian & Mukerji, Sujoy, 2017. "Ordering ambiguous acts," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 213-267.
  33. Hua Chen & Michael Sherris & Tao Sun & Wenge Zhu, 2013. "Living With Ambiguity: Pricing Mortality-Linked Securities With Smooth Ambiguity Preferences," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 80(3), pages 705-732, September.
  34. Chiaki Hara, 2023. "Arrow-Pratt-Type Measure of Ambiguity Aversion," KIER Working Papers 1097, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
  35. Bin Wei, 2021. "Ambiguity, Long-Run Risks, and Asset Prices," FRB Atlanta Working Paper 2021-21, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
  36. Eric André & Antoine Bommier & François Le Grand, 2022. "The impact of risk aversion and ambiguity aversion on annuity and saving choices," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 33-56, August.
  37. Simon Quemin, 2016. "Intertemporal abatement decisions under ambiguity aversion in a cap and trade," Working Papers 1604, Chaire Economie du climat.
  38. Alan Guoming Huang & Eric Hughson & J. Chris Leach, 2016. "Generational Asset Pricing, Equity Puzzles, and Cyclicality," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 22, pages 52-71, October.
  39. Hening Liu & Yuzhao Zhang, 2022. "Financial Uncertainty with Ambiguity and Learning," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(3), pages 2120-2140, March.
  40. Christophe Courbage & Beatrice Rey, 2016. "On ambiguity apportionment," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 118(3), pages 265-275, July.
  41. Cosmin L. Ilut & Martin Schneider, 2022. "Modeling Uncertainty as Ambiguity: a Review," NBER Working Papers 29915, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  42. repec:esx:essedp:770 is not listed on IDEAS
  43. Jackson T. Anderson & Scott Gibson & Kimberly F. Luchtenberg & Michael J. Seiler, 2022. "How Much Are Borrowers Willing to Pay to Remove Uncertainty Surrounding Mortgage Defaults?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 64(4), pages 500-522, May.
  44. A Ronald Gallant & Mohammad R Jahan-Parvar & Hening Liu, 2019. "Does Smooth Ambiguity Matter for Asset Pricing?," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 32(9), pages 3617-3666.
  45. Michael Greinecker & Christoph Kuzmics, 2022. "Limit Orders and Knightian Uncertainty," Papers 2208.10804, arXiv.org.
  46. Liu, Liu, 2022. "Learning about the persistence of recessions under ambiguity aversion," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
  47. Andreas Friedl & Patrick Ring & Ulrich Schmidt, 2017. "Gender differences in ambiguity aversion under different outcome correlation structures," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 82(2), pages 211-219, February.
  48. Hansen, Lars Peter & Sargent, Thomas J., 2011. "Robustness and ambiguity in continuous time," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 146(3), pages 1195-1223, May.
  49. Julian Thimme & Clemens Völkert, 2015. "High order smooth ambiguity preferences and asset prices," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 27(1), pages 1-15, November.
  50. Balasubramaniam, Vimal & Anagol, Santosh, 2018. "Learning from Noise: Evidence from India’s IPO Lotteries," CEPR Discussion Papers 13314, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  51. Chen, Heng & Li, Xu & Pei, Guangyu & Xin, Qian, 2024. "Heterogeneous overreaction in expectation formation: Evidence and theory," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
  52. Julian Thimme & Clemens Völkert, 2015. "Ambiguity in the Cross-Section of Expected Returns: An Empirical Assessment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(3), pages 418-429, July.
  53. Alonso, Irasema & Prado, Mauricio, 2015. "Ambiguity aversion, asset prices, and the welfare costs of aggregate fluctuations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 78-92.
  54. Massimo Marinacci, 2015. "Model Uncertainty," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 13(6), pages 1022-1100, December.
  55. Costis Skiadas, 2013. "Smooth Ambiguity Aversion toward Small Risks and Continuous-Time Recursive Utility," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 121(4), pages 000.
  56. Yang Hao, 2023. "Financial Market with Learning from Price under Knightian Uncertainty," Working Papers hal-03686748, HAL.
  57. Jianjun Miao & Bin Wei & Hao Zhou, 2019. "Ambiguity Aversion and the Variance Premium," Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(02), pages 1-36, June.
  58. Qi Nan Zhai, 2015. "Asset Pricing Under Ambiguity and Heterogeneity," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 1-2015, January-A.
  59. Guangyu PEI, 2019. "Uncertainty, Pessimism and Economic Fluctuations," 2019 Meeting Papers 1494, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  60. Kocher, Martin G. & Lahno, Amrei Marie & Trautmann, Stefan T., 2018. "Ambiguity aversion is not universal," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 268-283.
  61. Zhang, Jian & Kong, Dongmin & Liu, Hening & Wu, Ji, 2019. "Asset pricing with time varying pessimism and rare disasters," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 165-175.
  62. Oliver Walker & Simon Dietz, 2011. "A representation result for choice under conscious unawareness," GRI Working Papers 59, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
  63. A. Ronald Gallant & Mohammad Jahan-Parvar & Hening Liu, 2015. "Measuring Ambiguity Aversion," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-105, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  64. Giulia Piccillo & Poramapa Poonpakdee, 2023. "Ambiguous Business Cycles, Recessions and Uncertainty: A Quantitative Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 10646, CESifo.
  65. Alistair Macaulay & Chenchuan Shi, 2025. "Ambiguity Aversion, Portfolio Choice, and Life Expectancy," School of Economics Discussion Papers 0425, School of Economics, University of Surrey.
  66. Balter, Anne G. & Mahayni, Antje & Schweizer, Nikolaus, 2021. "Time-consistency of optimal investment under smooth ambiguity," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 293(2), pages 643-657.
  67. Timothy M. Christensen, 2020. "Existence and uniqueness of recursive utilities without boundedness," Papers 2008.00963, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
  68. Milo Bianchi & Jean-Marc Tallon, 2019. "Ambiguity Preferences and Portfolio Choices: Evidence from the Field," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(4), pages 1486-1501, April.
  69. Daniele Pennesi, 2013. "Asset Prices in an Ambiguous Economy," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 315, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
  70. Chiaki Hara & Toshiki Honda, 2018. "ImpliedAmbiguity:Mean-Variance Efficiency andPricingErrors," KIER Working Papers 1004, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
  71. Monica Billio & Massimo Guidolin & Francesco Rocciolo, 2024. "Responsible Investing under Climate Change Uncertainty," Working Papers 2024: 15, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
  72. Wang, Tao & Chen, Zhiping, 2024. "Optimal portfolio and insurance strategy with biometric risks, habit formation and smooth ambiguity," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 195-222.
  73. Chiaki Hara & Toshiki Honda, 2022. "Implied Ambiguity: Mean-Variance Inefficiency and Pricing Errors," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(6), pages 4246-4260, June.
  74. Johanna Etner & Meglena Jeleva & Olivier Renault, 2024. "Dynamic decision-making when ambiguity attitudes depend on exogenous events," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 96(2), pages 269-295, March.
  75. Chiaki Hara, 2020. "A Ranking over "More Risk Averse Than" Relations and its Application to the Smooth Ambiguity Model," KIER Working Papers 1019, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
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