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The impacts of digital transformation on the labour market: Substitution potentials of occupations in Germany

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  1. Mauro Caselli & Andrea Fracasso & Arianna Marcolin & Sergio Scicchitano, 2023. "The reassuring effect of firms' technological innovations on workers' job insecurity," International Journal of Manpower, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 45(4), pages 754-778, October.
  2. Lan, Sen & Cui, Maosheng, 2024. "Enterprise digital transformation and employment: Spillover effect within supply chains," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
  3. Egana-delSol, Pablo & Bustelo, Monserrat & Ripani, Laura & Soler, Nicolas & Viollaz, Mariana, 2022. "Automation in Latin America: Are Women at Higher Risk of Losing Their Jobs?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
  4. Andreas Stöckl & Olaf Struck, 2025. "Continuous vocational education and training and new technologies: on the importance of educational level and technology in the workplace," Journal for Labour Market Research, Springer;Institute for Employment Research/ Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), vol. 59(1), pages 1-21, December.
  5. Akaev, Askar & Devezas, Tessaleno & Ichkitidze, Yuri & Sarygulov, Askar, 2021. "Forecasting the labor intensity and labor income share for G7 countries in the digital age," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
  6. Matt, Dominik T. & Pedrini, Giulio & Bonfanti, Angelo & Orzes, Guido, 2023. "Industrial digitalization. A systematic literature review and research agenda," European Management Journal, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 47-78.
  7. Gao, Peng & Zhang, Kunpeng & Zheng, Peng, 2024. "The impact of industrial digitization on the global value chains position: Evidence from China’ s industry sectors," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 147-162.
  8. Uwe Blien & Oliver Ludewig & Anja Rossen, 2023. "Contradictory effects of technological change across developed countries," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(2), pages 580-608, May.
  9. Xiaowen Li & Yiming Tan & Desheng Xue, 2022. "From World Factory to Global City-Region: The Dynamics of Manufacturing in the Pearl River Delta and Its Spatial Pattern in the 21st Century," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-19, April.
  10. Caselli, Mauro & Fracasso, Andrea & Scicchitano, Sergio & Traverso, Silvio & Tundis, Enrico, 2025. "What workers and robots do: An activity-based analysis of the impact of robotization on changes in local employment," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 54(1).
  11. Wang, Huijuan & Ding, Lin & Guan, Rong & Xia, Yan, 2020. "Effects of advancing internet technology on Chinese employment: a spatial study of inter-industry spillovers," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
  12. Heluo, Yuxi & Fabel, Oliver, 2024. "Job computerization, occupational employment and wages: A comparative study of the United States, Germany, and Japan," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
  13. Fedorets Alexandra & Kirchner Stefan & Adriaans Jule & Giering Oliver, 2022. "Data on Digital Transformation in the German Socio-Economic Panel," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 242(5-6), pages 691-705, December.
  14. Ivanov, Stanislav & Kuyumdzhiev, Mihail & Webster, Craig, 2020. "Automation fears: Drivers and solutions," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
  15. Manita, Riadh & Elommal, Najoua & Baudier, Patricia & Hikkerova, Lubica, 2020. "The digital transformation of external audit and its impact on corporate governance," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
  16. Caselli, Mauro & Fracasso, Andrea & Traverso, Silvio, 2021. "Robots and risk of COVID-19 workplace contagion: Evidence from Italy," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
  17. Nadeem, Kashif & Wong, Sut I. & Za, Stefano & Venditti, Michelina, 2024. "Digital transformation and industry 4.0 employees: Empirical evidence from top digital nations," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
  18. Ehlert, Martin, 2020. "No Future, No Training? Explaining Cross-national Variation in the Effect of Job Tasks On Training Participation [Keine Zukunft, keine Weiterbildung? Zur Erklärung von Länderunterschieden im Effekt von Tätigkeiten auf die Weiterbildungsbeteiligung," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 72(S1), pages 483-510.
  19. Beier, Grischa & Matthess, Marcel & Shuttleworth, Luke & Guan, Ting & de Oliveira Pereira Grudzien, David Iubel & Xue, Bing & Pinheiro de Lima, Edson & Chen, Ling, 2022. "Implications of Industry 4.0 on industrial employment: A comparative survey from Brazilian, Chinese, and German practitioners," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
  20. Zhihui Dai & Yue Niu & Hongru Zhang & Xiaodi Niu, 2022. "Impact of the Transforming and Upgrading of China’s Labor-Intensive Manufacturing Industry on the Labor Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-25, October.
  21. Li, Chengming & Huo, Peng & Wang, Zeyu & Zhang, Weiguang & Liang, Feiyan & Mardani, Abbas, 2023. "Digitalization generates equality? Enterprises’ digital transformation, financing constraints, and labor share in China," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
  22. Michael Otto & Martin Abraham, 2025. "Robotisation and Workforce Dynamics: Analysing Employment and Wage Effects within Manufacturing Establishments," Work, Employment & Society, British Sociological Association, vol. 39(6), pages 1486-1512, December.
  23. Huang, Xuanhao & Zhu, Linping & Yang, Qiuyi & Xiong, Xuemei, 2024. "Enterprise digital transformation and employee treatment: Evidence from China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(PC).
  24. Friedrich, Teresa Sophie & Laible, Marie-Christine & Pollak, Reinhard & Schongen, Sebastian & Schulz, Benjamin & Vicari, Basha, 2021. "Grasping Digitalization in the Working World: An Example From the German National Educational Panel Study [Die Erfassung von Digitalisierung in der Arbeitswelt: Ein Beispiel aus dem Nationalen Bildungspanel]," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 72(4), pages 415-452.
  25. Emil Mihaylov & Kea Tijdens, 2019. "Measuring the Routine and Non-Routine Task Content of 427 Four-Digit ISCO-08 Occupations," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 19-035/IV, Tinbergen Institute.
  26. Yuan, Sai & Zhou, Ran & Li, Mengna & Lv, Chengchao, 2023. "Investigating the influence of digital technology application on employee compensation," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
  27. Wang, Qian & Du, Zhuo-Ya, 2022. "Changing the impact of banking concentration on corporate innovation: The moderating effect of digital transformation," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  28. Grenz, Sabrina & Gregory, Terry & Lehmer, Florian, 2026. "AI-Powered Skill Classification: Mapping Technology Intensity in the German Labor Market," IZA Discussion Papers 18415, IZA Network @ LISER.
  29. Marek Jabłoński & Adam Jabłoński, 2019. "Social Factors as a Basic Driver of the Digitalization of the Business Models of Railway Companies," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-29, June.
  30. Stanislav Ivanov, 2020. "The impact of automation on tourism and hospitality jobs," Information Technology & Tourism, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 205-215, June.
  31. Egana-delSol, Pablo & Cruz, Gabriel & Micco, Alejandro, 2022. "COVID-19 and automation in a developing economy: Evidence from Chile," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
  32. Su, Chi-Wei & Yuan, Xi & Umar, Muhammad & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2022. "Does technological innovation bring destruction or creation to the labor market?," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
  33. Lingmont, Derek N.J. & Alexiou, Andreas, 2020. "The contingent effect of job automating technology awareness on perceived job insecurity: Exploring the moderating role of organizational culture," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
  34. Pablo Casas & Jos㉠L. Torres, 2026. "Automation, Taxation, and Social Security Sustainability," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 256(1), pages 69-104, March.
  35. Stähler, Nikolai, 2021. "The Impact of Aging and Automation on the Macroeconomy and Inequality," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
  36. Dengler, Katharina & Hiesinger, Karolin & Tisch, Anita, 2022. "Digital transformation: The role of computer use in employee health," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 46(C).
  37. Culot, Giovanna & Orzes, Guido & Sartor, Marco & Nassimbeni, Guido, 2020. "The future of manufacturing: A Delphi-based scenario analysis on Industry 4.0," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
  38. Uma RANI & Damian GRIMSHAW, 2019. "Introduction: What does the future promise for work, employment and society?," International Labour Review, International Labour Organization, vol. 158(4), pages 577-592, December.
  39. Benner, Niklas & Heuer, Felix & Kamb, Rebecca & Storm, Eduard, 2025. "Do economic crises reshape the skill content of Jobs? Evidence from organizational changes in the post-pandemic era," Ruhr Economic Papers 1195, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
  40. Andreas Eder & Wolfgang Koller & Bernhard Mahlberg, 2022. "Economy 4.0: employment effects by occupation, industry, and gender," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 49(4), pages 1063-1088, November.
  41. Francesco Carbonero & Sergio Scicchitano, 2025. "Labour and technology at the time of COVID-19: can artificial intelligence mitigate the need for proximity?," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 15(4), pages 1167-1203, December.
  42. Sharfaei, Shahab & Bittner, Jan, 2024. "Technological employment: Evidence from worldwide robot adoption," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
  43. Xuejun Jin & Xiao Pan, 2023. "Government Attention, Market Competition and Firm Digital Transformation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-27, June.
  44. Gerli, Paolo & Clement, Jessica & Esposito, Giovanni & Mora, Luca & Crutzen, Nathalie, 2022. "The hidden power of emotions: How psychological factors influence skill development in smart technology adoption," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
  45. Jin, Yu & Ma, Yuan-Yuan & Yuan, Li-Bin, 2024. "How does digital finance affect the total factor productivity of listed manufacturing companies?," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 84-94.
  46. Walkowiak, Emmanuelle, 2021. "Neurodiversity of the workforce and digital transformation: The case of inclusion of autistic workers at the workplace," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
  47. Ashraf Elsafty & Ahmed Elzeftawy, 2021. "The New Era of Digital Transformation and COVID-19 Effect on The Employment in Mobile Operators in Egypt," Business and Management Studies, Redfame publishing, vol. 7(1), pages 74-99, March.
  48. Arias-Pérez, José & Vélez-Jaramillo, Juan, 2022. "Ignoring the three-way interaction of digital orientation, Not-invented-here syndrome and employee's artificial intelligence awareness in digital innovation performance: A recipe for failure," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
  49. Zhang, Ruchuan & Gao, Weiyan & Chen, Shanshan & Zhou, Li & Li, Aijun, 2024. "Dose digital transformation contribute to improving financing efficiency? Evidence and implications for energy enterprises in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 300(C).
  50. Marco Capasso & Michael Spjelkavik Mark, 2021. "The Evolving Economic Employment of ICT Education: The Case of Norway," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-18, July.
  51. Storm, Eduard & Gonschor, Myrielle & Schmidt, Marc Justin, 2025. "AI in demand: How expertise shapes its (early) impact on workers," Ruhr Economic Papers 1185, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
  52. Mr. Andrew Berg & Lahcen Bounader & Nikolay Gueorguiev & Hiroaki Miyamoto & Mr. Kenji Moriyama & Ryota Nakatani & Luis-Felipe Zanna, 2021. "For the Benefit of All: Fiscal Policies and Equity-Efficiency Trade-offs in the Age of Automation," IMF Working Papers 2021/187, International Monetary Fund.
  53. Silvia Vannutelli & Sergio Scicchitano & Marco Biagetti, 2022. "Routine-biased technological change and wage inequality: do workers’ perceptions matter?," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 12(3), pages 409-450, September.
  54. Ludvík Eger, 2022. "The demands on competencies for digital transformation and the perception of business students," International Journal of Teaching and Education, European Research Center, vol. 10(1), pages 10-26, April.
  55. Cao, Yuqiang & Hu, Yong & Liu, Qian & Lu, Meiting & Shan, Yaowen, 2023. "Job creation or disruption? Unraveling the effects of smart city construction on corporate employment in China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
  56. Adam Jabłoński & Marek Jabłoński, 2020. "Social Perspectives in Digital Business Models of Railway Enterprises," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-20, December.
  57. Consoli, Davide & Marin, Giovanni & Rentocchini, Francesco & Vona, Francesco, 2023. "Routinization, within-occupation task changes and long-run employment dynamics," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(1).
  58. Arntz, Melanie & Gregory, Terry & Zierahn, Ulrich, 2019. "Digitalization and the future of work: Macroeconomic consequences," ZEW Discussion Papers 19-024, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
  59. Mauro Caselli & Andrea Fracasso & Sergio Scicchitano & Silvio Traverso & Enrico Tundis, 2021. "Stop worrying and love the robot: An activity-based approach to assess the impact of robotization on employment dynamics," DEM Working Papers 2021/06, Department of Economics and Management.
  60. Fossen, Frank M. & Sorgner, Alina, 2022. "New digital technologies and heterogeneous wage and employment dynamics in the United States: Evidence from individual-level data," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
  61. Oliver Giering & Stefan Kirchner, 2025. "Artificial intelligence and autonomy at work: empirical insights from Germany," Journal for Labour Market Research, Springer;Institute for Employment Research/ Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), vol. 59(1), pages 1-15, December.
  62. Tobias Maier, 2022. "Change in occupational tasks and its implications: evidence from a task panel from 1973 to 2011 for Western Germany," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 889-921, June.
  63. Junjie Lu & Delong Xiao & Haiwei Fu, 2025. "The Reconstruction of China’s Population Mobility Pattern Under Digital Technology Evolution: A Pathway to Urban Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(20), pages 1-17, October.
  64. Živilė Stankevičiūtė & Eglė Staniškienė & Joana Ramanauskaitė, 2021. "The Impact of Job Insecurity on Employee Happiness at Work: A Case of Robotised Production Line Operators in Furniture Industry in Lithuania," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-20, February.
  65. Živilė Stankevičiūtė & Eglė Staniškienė & Joana Ramanauskaitė, 2021. "The Impact of Job Insecurity on Organisational Citizenship Behaviour and Task Performance: Evidence from Robotised Furniture Sector Companies," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(2), pages 1-17, January.
  66. Martin Krzywdzinski, 2021. "Automation, digitalization, and changes in occupational structures in the automobile industry in Germany, Japan, and the United States: a brief history from the early 1990s until 2018 [Managing flexible automation]," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 30(3), pages 499-535.
  67. Filippi, Emilia & Bannò, Mariasole & Trento, Sandro, 2023. "Automation technologies and their impact on employment: A review, synthesis and future research agenda," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
  68. Ding, Xiangan & Appolloni, Andrea & Shahzad, Mohsin & Liu, Yue & Han, Shaojie, 2025. "Digital transformation and total factor productivity in manufacturing firms: Evidence of corporate public responsibilities in China," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  69. Eduard Storm, 2023. "On the measurement of tasks: does expert data get it right?," Journal for Labour Market Research, Springer;Institute for Employment Research/ Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), vol. 57(1), pages 1-24, December.
  70. Kolade, Oluwaseun & Owoseni, Adebowale, 2022. "Employment 5.0: The work of the future and the future of work," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  71. Xue, Kunkun & Cui, Ziyi & Sun, Zepeng & Sun, Peipei, 2026. "Does digital technology increase the labor income share of enterprises?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
  72. Zhu, Lin & Cunningham, Scott W., 2022. "Unveiling the knowledge structure of technological forecasting and social change (1969–2020) through an NMF-based hierarchical topic model," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
  73. Camiña, Ester & Díaz-Chao, Ángel & Torrent-Sellens, Joan, 2020. "Automation technologies: Long-term effects for Spanish industrial firms," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
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