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When and why do countries break their national fiscal rules?

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Cronin, David & McQuinn, Kieran, 2020. "Are official forecasts of output growth in the EU still biased? Evidence from stability and convergence programmes and the European Commission s Spring forecasts," Papers WP681, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
  2. Janeba, Eckhard & Steinbach, Armin, 2019. "Compliance effects of sovereign debt cuts," International Review of Law and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
  3. Brändle, Thomas & Elsener, Marc, 2023. "Do fiscal rules matter? A survey on recent evidence," Working papers 2023/07, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel.
  4. Beetsma, Roel & Debrun, Xavier & Sloof, Randolph, 2022. "The political economy of fiscal transparency and independent fiscal councils," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
  5. Sawadogo, Pegdéwendé Nestor, 2020. "Can fiscal rules improve financial market access for developing countries?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
  6. Larch, Martin & Busse, Matthias & Jankovics, László, 2021. "Enforcement of fiscal rules: Lessons from the fiscal compact," ZEW Discussion Papers 21-085, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
  7. Carnazza, Giovanni & Liberati, Paolo & Sacchi, Agnese, 2025. "Does politics matter? A comparative assessment of discretionary fiscal policies in the euro area," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 90(PA).
  8. Ardanaz, Martín & Ulloa-Suárez, Carolina & Valencia, Oscar, 2024. "Why don't we follow the rules? Drivers of compliance with fiscal policy rules in emerging markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
  9. Heinemann, Friedrich & Janeba, Eckhard & Todtenhaupt, Maximilian, 2022. "Incumbency and expectations of fiscal rule compliance: Evidence from surveys of German policy makers," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
  10. Giovanni Carnazza & Thomas I. Renström & Luca Spataro, 2023. "Is public debt environmentally friendly? The role of EU fiscal rules on environmental quality: An empirical assessment," Working Papers 2023.26, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
  11. Carolina Ulloa-Suárez, 2023. "Determinants of compliance with fiscal rules: Misplaced efforts or hidden motivations?," Post-Print hal-04171829, HAL.
  12. Carolina Ulloa-Suárez, 2022. "Determinants of compliance with fiscal rules: misplaced efforts or hidden motivations?," AMSE Working Papers 2220, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
  13. Rapetti, Martin & Libman, Emiliano & Carrera, Gonzalo, 2024. "Latin America in the New Millennium: A Region of Macroeconomic Forking Paths," MPRA Paper 122482, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  14. Jocelyne Zoumenou & Antonia Lopez Villavicencio, 2024. "Do Binding Fiscal Rules Enhance Fiscal Stability? Evidence from European Union Countries," Working Papers hal-04730739, HAL.
  15. Afonso, António & Huart, Florence & Tovar Jalles, João & Stanek, Piotr, 2022. "Twin deficits revisited: A role for fiscal institutions?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
  16. Kea BARET, 2021. "Fiscal rules’ compliance and Social Welfare," Working Papers of BETA 2021-38, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
  17. Amélie Barbier-Gauchard & Kea Baret & Alexandru Minea, 2021. "National fiscal rules and fiscal discipline in the European Union," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(20), pages 2337-2359, April.
  18. European Fiscal Board (EFB), 2017. "2017 annual report of the European Fiscal Board," Annual reports 2017, European Fiscal Board.
  19. Philipp Heimberger & Branimir Jovanović & Sanja Madzarevic-Sujster & Tim Pionteck & Dragan Tevdovski, 2024. "Fiscal governance in the Western Balkans: An analysis of fiscal rules, fiscal councils, and medium-term budgetary frameworks," wiiw Research Reports 478, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
  20. Amelie BARBIER-GAUCHARD & Kea BARET & Alexandru MINEA, 2019. "National Fiscal Rules Adoption and Fiscal Discipline in the European Union," Working Papers of BETA 2019-40, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
  21. Carolina Ulloa-Suárez & Oscar M. Valencia & Jorge Guerra & Gustavo Sánchez, 2025. "Rules Met, Goals Missed: The Compliance–Sustainability Gap," Working Papers of BETA 2025-23, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
  22. Dimitra Mitsi & Constantina Kottaridi, 2022. "Fiscal and non-fiscal institutional context effects and foreign direct investment: empirical evidence in developing countries," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 72(1-2), pages 11-33, January-J.
  23. Hansen, Daniel, 2020. "The effectiveness of fiscal institutions: International financial flogging or domestic constraint?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
  24. Westerhout, Ed & Beetsma, Roel, 2019. "A comparison of nominal and indexed debt under fiscal constraints," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 177-194.
  25. Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Kamps, Christophe, 2022. "Debt policies in the aftermath of COVID-19 — The SGP’s debt benchmark revisited," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  26. European Fiscal Board (EFB), 2019. "Assessment of EU fiscal rules with a focus on the six and two-pack legislation," Reports 2019, European Fiscal Board.
  27. Robert Kraemer & Jonne Lehtimäki, 2024. "Government debt, European Institutions and fiscal rules: a synthetic control approach," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 31(4), pages 1112-1157, August.
  28. Kea BARET & Theophilos PAPADIMITRIOU, 2019. "On the Stability and Growth Pact compliance: what is predictable with machine learning?," Working Papers of BETA 2019-48, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
  29. Thomas Brändle & Marc Elsener, 2024. "Do fiscal rules matter? A survey of recent evidence," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 160(1), pages 1-38, December.
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  31. Carolina Ulloa-Suárez, 2022. "Determinants of compliance with fiscal rules: misplaced efforts or hidden motivations?," Working Papers hal-03788589, HAL.
  32. Maximilian Langer & Joshua Hassib & Lars P. Feld & Daniel Nientiedt, 2025. "Evaluating the Effects of the German Debt Brake: A Synthetic Control Approach," CESifo Working Paper Series 11933, CESifo.
  33. Mihaela Onofrei & Tudorel Toader & Anca Florentina Vatamanu & Florin Oprea, 2021. "Impact of Governments’ Fiscal Behaviors on Public Finance Sustainability: A Comparative Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, March.
  34. Kolmer Simon & Schmitz Sebastian, 2025. "Brüssel vs. Berlin: Wie die EU-Fiskalregeln und die Schuldenbremse die Fiskalpolitik herausfordern," Wirtschaftsdienst, Sciendo, vol. 105(10), pages 738-744.
  35. Luc Eyraud & Xavier Debrun & Andrew Hodge & Victor Duarte Lledo & Catherine A Pattillo, 2018. "Second-Generation Fiscal Rules; Balancing Simplicity, Flexibility, and Enforceability," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 18/04, International Monetary Fund.
  36. Carnazza, Giovanni & Renström, Thomas I. & Spataro, Luca, "undated". "Is public debt environmentally friendly? The role of EU fiscal rules on environmental quality: An empirical assessment," FEEM Working Papers 339126, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
  37. Carolina Ulloa-Suárez & Oscar Valencia & Jorge Guerra, 2025. "Flexible Boundaries: Evaluating the Effect of Escape Clause Activation," Working Papers of BETA 2025-05, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
  38. Potrafke, Niklas, 2025. "The economic consequences of fiscal rules," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
  39. Caselli, Francesca & Wingender, Philippe, 2021. "Heterogeneous effects of fiscal rules: The Maastricht fiscal criterion and the counterfactual distribution of government deficits✰," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
  40. Dotti, Valerio & Janeba, Eckhard, 2023. "Consistent flexibility: Enforcement of deficit rules through political incentives," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  41. Haroutunian, Stephan & Bańkowski, Krzysztof & Bischl, Simeon & Bouabdallah, Othman & Hauptmeier, Sebastian & Leiner-Killinger, Nadine & O'Connell, Marguerite & Oleaga, Iñigo Arruga & Abraham, Laurent , 2024. "The path to the reformed EU fiscal framework: a monetary policy perspective," Occasional Paper Series 349, European Central Bank.
  42. Ryota Nakatani, 2019. "A Possible Approach to Fiscal Rules in Small Islands — Incorporating Natural Disasters and Climate Change," IMF Working Papers 2019/186, International Monetary Fund.
  43. Caselli, Francesca & Reynaud, Julien, 2020. "Do fiscal rules cause better fiscal balances? A new instrumental variable strategy," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
  44. Ryota Nakatani, 2021. "Fiscal Rules for Natural Disaster- and Climate Change-Prone Small States," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-26, March.
  45. MATSUOKA, Hideaki & 松岡, 秀明, 2024. "Real-Time Detection of Hidden Fiscal Unsustainability : Lessons from the Eurozone Crisis," Discussion Papers 2024-02, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University.
  46. Reuter, Wolf Heinrich & Tkačevs, Oļegs & Vilerts, Kārlis, 2018. "On the design of stabilising fiscal rules," Working Papers 11/2018, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
  47. Yvonne Hegele & Valbona Karakaçi & Achim Lang & Arberesha Mushani, 2024. "Compliance with national standards of decentralized public services: The case of preschool services in Albania," Public Administration & Development, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(2), pages 75-90, May.
  48. Jochimsen, Beate & Raffer, Christian, 2020. "Local Government Fiscal Regulation in the EU: The Impact of Balanced Budget Rules," VfS Annual Conference 2020 (Virtual Conference): Gender Economics 224566, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  49. Marina Halac & Pierre Yared, 2022. "Fiscal Rules and Discretion Under Limited Enforcement," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(5), pages 2093-2127, September.
  50. Daniel Riera-Crichton & Guillermo Vuletin, 2024. "Public Spending Policies in Latin America and the Caribbean," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 42022, April.
  51. Kéa Baret & Amélie Barbier-Gauchard & Théophilos Papadimitriou, 2021. "Forecasting the Stability and Growth Pact compliance using Machine Learning," Working Papers of BETA 2021-01, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
  52. Christofzik, Désirée I. & Märtz, Oliver, 2026. "Distance matters: Geographical proximity and fiscal rules enforcement," ZEW Discussion Papers 26-008, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
  53. Maltritz Dominik & Wüste Sebastian, 2024. "Creative Accounting and Fiscal Rules in EU Member States: An Analysis Based on Stock Flow Adjustments," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 75(2), pages 163-191.
  54. Andrián, Leandro & Hirs-Garzon, Jorge & Urrea, Ivan Leonardo & Valencia, Oscar, 2024. "Fiscal rules and economic cycles: Quality (always) Matters," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
  55. Beetsma, Roel & Debrun, Xavier & Fang, Xiangming & Kim, Young & Lledó, Victor & Mbaye, Samba & Zhang, Xiaoxiao, 2019. "Independent fiscal councils: Recent trends and performance," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 53-69.
  56. Larch Martin & Malzubris Janis & Santacroce Stefano, 2023. "Numerical Compliance with EU Fiscal Rules: Facts and Figures from a New Database," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Sciendo, vol. 58(1), pages 32-42, January.
  57. López-Villavicencio, Antonia & Zoumenou, Jocelyne, 2025. "Do commitment and enforcement of fiscal rules enhance fiscal stability? Evidence from European Union countries," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
  58. Ulloa-Suárez, Carolina, 2023. "Determinants of compliance with fiscal rules: Misplaced efforts or hidden motivations?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  59. Slawomir Franek & Marta Postula, 2020. "Does Eurozone Membership Strengthen the Significance of Fiscal Instruments?," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 21(1), pages 131-151, May.
  60. Aldama, Pierre & Creel, Jérôme, 2022. "Real-time fiscal policy responses in the OECD from 1997 to 2018: Procyclical but sustainable?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
  61. Oscar Valencia & Alfredo Villca & Carolina Ulloa-Suárez & Gustavo Sánchez, 2025. "Rules Met, Goals Missed: The Compliance–Sustainability Gap," Working Papers of BETA 2025-50, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
  62. Philipp Mohl & Gilles Mourre & Sven Langedijk & Martijn Hoogeland, 2021. "Does Media Visibility Make EU Fiscal Rules More Effective?," European Economy - Discussion Papers 155, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
  63. Wolf Heinrich Reuter, 2016. "Design of fiscal frameworks and compliance with fiscal rules in CESEE," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 3, pages 29-40.
  64. Mr. Julien Acalin & Mr. Leonardo Martinez & Mr. Francisco Roch, 2025. "Fiscal Rules, Robust Correction Mechanisms, and Sovereign Spreads," IMF Working Papers 2025/195, International Monetary Fund.
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