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Causality of geopolitical risk on food prices: Considering the Russo–Ukrainian conflict

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  1. Wang, Xiao-Qing & Wu, Tong & Zhong, Huaming & Su, Chi-Wei, 2023. "Bubble behaviors in nickel price: What roles do geopolitical risk and speculation play?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  2. Wang, Yong & Li, Fang & Dou, Jiali, 2023. "Revisiting resources allocation for slow-moving economies: A way forward for low-income economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  3. António Miguel Martins, 2024. "Short‐term market impact of Black Sea Grain Initiative on four grain markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(4), pages 619-630, April.
  4. Li, Beibei & Chen, Yiming & Wu, Haipeng & Mao, Xuefeng, 2025. "Macroeconomics, geopolitical risk, and resource commodity price bubbles," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
  5. Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Lucey, Brian M. & Kumar, Satish, 2023. "Border disputes, conflicts, war, and financial markets research: A systematic review," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
  6. Karaś, Marta Anita & Boda, Michał, . "Stabilność i wyniki finansowe banków w krajach Europy graniczących z konfliktem militarnym w Ukrainie," Gospodarka Narodowa-The Polish Journal of Economics, Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie / SGH Warsaw School of Economics, vol. 2024(2).
  7. Su, Chi Wei & Dong, Rongrong & Qin, Meng, 2025. "Do geopolitical risks impede the global supply chain?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
  8. Shroff, Sumita & Agrawal, Nidhi & Paliwal, Udai Lal & Yadav, Miklesh Prasad, 2025. "How do selected asset classes react to sudden shocks? Evidence from Israel-Hamas conflict using Event Study approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  9. Parnes, Dror & Parnes, Sapir S., 2025. "Hedging geopolitical risks with diverse commodities," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
  10. Goodell, John W. & Gurdgiev, Constantin & Paltrinieri, Andrea & Piserà, Stefano, 2023. "Global energy supply risk: Evidence from the reactions of European natural gas futures to Nord Stream announcements," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
  11. Raza, Syed Ali & Guesmi, Khaled & Benkraiem, Ramzi & Anwar, Rija, 2024. "Precious metals and currency markets during the Russia-Ukraine conflict’s inflationary periods," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
  12. Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Shahzad, Umer & Ghaemi Asl, Mahdi & Ben Jabeur, Sami, 2023. "Investigating the spillovers between energy, food, and agricultural commodity markets: New insights from the quantile coherency approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 63-80.
  13. Zhang, Yi & Zhang, Leilei & Yu, Hang & Tu, Yanhong, 2023. "Does Geopolitical risk drive natural resources extraction globally? A Case of Global," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  14. Leirvik, Thomas, 2025. "Interactive effects of economic, geopolitical, and climate risks on commodity volatility," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
  15. Klein, Tony, 2024. "Investor behavior in times of conflict: A natural experiment on the interplay of geopolitical risk and defense stocks," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 294-313.
  16. Belanes, Amel & Saâdaoui, Foued & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2024. "Potential diversification benefits: A comparative study of Islamic and conventional stock market indexes," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
  17. Goodell, John W. & Corbet, Shaen, 2023. "Commodity market exposure to energy-firm distress: Evidence from the Colonial Pipeline ransomware attack," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
  18. Cao, Yan & Cheng, Sheng & Li, Xinran, 2024. "Co-movements between heterogeneous crude oil and food markets: Does temperature change really matter?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
  19. Phoebe Koundouri & Konstantinos Dellis & Christopher Deranian & Theofanis Zacharatos, 2025. "Towards a sustainable Agri-food System for Greece: Insights from the FABLE Calculator," DEOS Working Papers 2556, Athens University of Economics and Business.
  20. Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Goodell, John W. & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Chishti, Muhammad Zubair & Gozgor, Giray, 2024. "Impact of climate risk shocks on global food and agricultural markets: A multiscale and tail connectedness analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
  21. Li, Xin & Tong, Yan & Zhong, Kai & Xu, Guoquan & Zhao, Wenyi, 2024. "Geopolitical risk and foreign subsidiary performance of emerging market multinationals," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
  22. L. Kornher & T. Balezentis & F. G. Santeramo, 2024. "EU food price inflation amid global market turbulences during the COVID‐19 pandemic and the Russia–Ukraine War," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 46(4), pages 1563-1584, December.
  23. Ben Jabeur, Sami & Boubaker, Sabri & Carmona, Pedro & Stef, Nicolae, 2025. "How do environmental concerns and global economic conditions affect energy prices?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
  24. Aloui, Riadh & Ben Jabeur, Sami & Rezgui, Hichem & Ben Arfi, Wissal, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and commodity future returns: Fresh insights from dynamic copula conditional value-at-risk approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
  25. Urak, Faruk & Bilgic, Abdulbaki & Florkowski, Wojciech J., 2023. "The Covid-19 pandemic, Russia-Ukraine War, and Price Uncertainty of Staples: An Application of the VECM-Asymmetric GARCH-M BEKK Method," 2023 Annual Meeting, July 23-25, Washington D.C. 335748, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  26. Yousaf, Imran & Riaz, Yasir & Goodell, John W., 2023. "The impact of the SVB collapse on global financial markets: Substantial but narrow," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
  27. Xin, Baogui & Zhang, Mengwei, 2023. "Evolutionary game on international energy trade under the Russia-Ukraine conflict," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
  28. Alsagr, Naif, 2024. "Revisiting the natural resources rent and financial development nexus: Does geopolitical risk and corruption really matters?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  29. Hassen Mohamed & Youcef Meriane, 2025. "Fossil and renewable energy, conflict, economic growth, and military expenditure: the case of algeria," Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, Springer;Society for Environmental Economics and Policy Studies - SEEPS, vol. 27(4), pages 661-681, October.
  30. Saâdaoui, Foued & Ben Jabeur, Sami, 2023. "Analyzing the influence of geopolitical risks on European power prices using a multiresolution causal neural network," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
  31. Xuewei Zhou & Zisheng Ouyang & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2026. "Time-varying multilayer networks analysis of frequency connectedness in commodity futures markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 70(2), pages 1-41, February.
  32. Khan, Nasir & Mejri, Sami & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2024. "How do global commodities react to increasing geopolitical risks? New insights into the Russia-Ukraine and Palestine-Israel conflicts," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
  33. Ghorbali, Bassem & Kaabia, Olfa & Naoui, Kamel & Urom, Christian & Slimane, Ikrame Ben, 2023. "Wheat as a hedge and safe haven for equity investors during the Russia–Ukraine war," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
  34. Al-Nassar, Nassar S. & Assaf, Rima & Chaibi, Anis & Makram, Beljid, 2024. "The nexus between mineral, renewable commodities, and regional stock sectors during health and military crises," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
  35. Silva, Thiago Christiano & Wilhelm, Paulo Victor Berri & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda, 2023. "Trade matters except to war neighbors: The international stock market reaction to 2022 Russia’s invasion of Ukraine," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
  36. Goodell, John W. & Ben Jabeur, Sami & Saâdaoui, Foued & Nasir, Muhammad Ali, 2023. "Explainable artificial intelligence modeling to forecast bitcoin prices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
  37. Wei Hu & Yue Shan & Yun Deng & Ningning Fu & Jian Duan & Haining Jiang & Jianzhen Zhang, 2023. "Geopolitical Risk Evolution and Obstacle Factors of Countries along the Belt and Road and Its Types Classification," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(2), pages 1-24, January.
  38. Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Gozgor, Giray & Goodell, John W., 2023. "Impact of Russia-Ukraine war attention on cryptocurrency: Evidence from quantile dependence analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  39. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Lou, Runchi & Wang, Fuhao, 2023. "Geopolitical risk and the sustainable utilization of natural resources: Evidence from developing countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
  40. Raza, Syed Ali & Guesmi, Khaled & Belaid, Fateh & Shah, Nida, 2022. "Time-frequency causality and connectedness between oil price shocks and the world food prices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  41. Yuan Yao & Thomas Schaubroeck & Haibo Feng & Oludunsin Arodudu & Thomas P. Gloria, 2024. "Life cycle sustainability assessment for sustainable development goals," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 28(6), pages 1347-1354, December.
  42. Lee, Meongsu & Westhoff, Patrick, 2023. "The Russian Aggression Against Ukraine: Implications for Decisions Leaving The Conservation Reserve Program," 2023 Annual Meeting, July 23-25, Washington D.C. 336006, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  43. Nicole Branger & Michael Hanke & Alex Weissensteiner, 2024. "The information content of wheat derivatives regarding the Ukrainian war," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(3), pages 420-431, March.
  44. Liu, Jiahao & Shen, Wenyu, 2024. "Financial instability in Europe: Does geopolitical risk from proximate countries and trading partners matter?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
  45. Haque, Tariq & Pham, Thu Phuong & Yang, Jiaxin, 2023. "Geopolitical risk, financial constraints, and tax avoidance," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
  46. Dong, Qingyuan & Du, Qunyang & Min Du, Anna, 2024. "Interplay between oil prices, country risks, and stock returns in the context of global conflict: A PVAR approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PB).
  47. Yu, Jiangli & Wang, Shuo & Yang, Wantong, 2023. "Natural resources governance and geopolitical risks: A literature review and bibliometric analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
  48. Ying-Hui Shao & Xing-Lu Gao & Yan-Hong Yang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2025. "Joint multifractality in cross-correlations between grains & oilseeds indices and external uncertainties," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-32, December.
  49. Shahzad, Umer & Mohammed, Kamel Si & Tiwari, Sunil & Nakonieczny, Joanna & Nesterowicz, Renata, 2023. "Connectedness between geopolitical risk, financial instability indices and precious metals markets: Novel findings from Russia Ukraine conflict perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  50. Yousaf, Imran & Goodell, John W., 2023. "Responses of US equity market sectors to the Silicon Valley Bank implosion," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
  51. Hu, Xin & Zhu, Bo & Zhang, Bokai & Zhou, Sitong, 2024. "Do internal and external risk spillovers of the food system matter for national food security?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
  52. Wang, Yahui & Yang, Aoxi & Li, Yuanqing & Yang, Qingyuan, 2023. "Effect of e-commerce popularization on farmland abandonment in rural China: Evidence from a large-scale household survey," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
  53. Lin, Minqing & Liu, Shi Qiang & Luo, Kai & Zhu, Lijun, 2025. "A prospect-theory evolutionary game model to analyse cooperation of long-term energy contracts," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 330(C).
  54. Bouri, Elie & Gök, Remzi & Gemi̇ci̇, Eray & Kara, Erkan, 2024. "Do geopolitical risk, economic policy uncertainty, and oil implied volatility drive assets across quantiles and time-horizons?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 137-154.
  55. Marta Anita Karaś & Michał Boda, 2024. "Stabilność i wyniki finansowe banków w krajach Europy graniczących z konfliktem militarnym w Ukrainie," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 2, pages 64-111.
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  57. Li, Yueshan & Chen, Shoudong & Goodell, John W. & Yue, Dianmin & Liu, Xutang, 2023. "Sectoral spillovers and systemic risks: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PB).
  58. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2023. "Higher-order moment risk connectedness and optimal investment strategies between international oil and commodity futures markets: Insights from the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia-Ukraine conflict," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
  59. Mo, Bin & Nie, He & Zhao, Rongjie, 2024. "Dynamic nonlinear effects of geopolitical risks on commodities: Fresh evidence from quantile methods," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
  60. Marek Vochozka & Svatopluk Janek & Lenka Širáňová, 2023. "Geopolitical deadlock and phosphate shortfall behind the price hike? Evidence from Moroccan commodity markets," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 69(8), pages 301-308.
  61. Aizenman, Joshua & Lindahl, Robert & Stenvall, David & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2024. "Geopolitical shocks and commodity market dynamics: New evidence from the Russia-Ukraine conflict," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
  62. Zhao, Peihua & Gao, Shuxian, 2025. "Green trade barriers, financial support and agricultural exports," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
  63. Lai, Fujun & Xiong, Deping & Zhu, Sha & Li, Yunzhong & Tan, Yanzhi, 2023. "Will geopolitical risks only inhibit corporate investment? Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  64. Rogna, Marco, 2023. "The Effects of Rising Prices on Corn Production in Western African Countries," 97th Annual Conference, March 27-29, 2023, Warwick University, Coventry, UK 334549, Agricultural Economics Society - AES.
  65. Dejan Živkov & Biljana Stankov & Nataša Papić-Blagojević & Jelena Damnjanović & Željko Račić, 2023. "How to reduce the extreme risk of losses in corn and soybean markets? Construction of a portfolio with European stock indices," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 69(3), pages 109-118.
  66. Qiang Liu & Chen Xu & Zhenwei Xu, 2025. "The impact of geopolitical risk on food prices: evidence from the TVP-SV-VAR model," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 49(2), pages 450-473, June.
  67. Elie Bouri & David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Harald Kinateder, 2023. "Geopolitical Risk and Inflation Spillovers across European and North American Economies," Working Papers 202304, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  68. Jana, Rabin K. & Ghosh, Indranil, 2023. "Time-varying relationship between geopolitical uncertainty and agricultural investment," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  69. Dutta, Anupam & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Sheng, Lin Wen & Park, Donghyun & Zhu, Xuening, 2024. "Volatility dynamics of agricultural futures markets under uncertainties," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
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  73. Kristína Hudecová & Miroslava Rajčániová, 2023. "The impact of geopolitical risk on agricultural commodity prices," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 69(4), pages 129-139.
  74. Mourad Zmami & Ousama Ben-Salha, 2023. "What factors contribute to the volatility of food prices? New global evidence," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 69(5), pages 171-184.
  75. Evrim Mandaci, Pınar & Azimli, Asil & Mandaci, Nazif, 2023. "The impact of geopolitical risks on connectedness among natural resource commodities: A quantile vector autoregressive approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
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