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Time-frequency causality and connectedness between oil price shocks and the world food prices

Author

Listed:
  • Syed Ali Raza
  • Khaled Guesmi
  • Fateh Belaid

    (UCL FGES - Université Catholique de Lille - Faculté de gestion, économie et sciences - ICL - Institut Catholique de Lille - UCL - Université catholique de Lille, LEM - Lille économie management - UMR 9221 - UA - Université d'Artois - UCL - Université catholique de Lille - ULCO - Université du Littoral Côte d'Opale - Université de Lille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Nida Shah

Abstract

The goal of this study is to examine the food and oil price nexus from January 1993 to September 2020. To have a broader aspect, we decompose oil prices into demand and supply shocks and food price index into sub-indices such as Meat, Dairy, Cereal, and sugar price indices. The findings show that the association between the food prices and indices with oil prices is bidirectional. Also, results show that the oil prices, demand, and supply shocks are the main contributors to volatility transmission compared to food prices and their sub-indices. The outcome of this study will help the agricultural sector's policymakers develop reliable and sound policy designs that will help control the influence of oil prices on food prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Syed Ali Raza & Khaled Guesmi & Fateh Belaid & Nida Shah, 2022. "Time-frequency causality and connectedness between oil price shocks and the world food prices," Post-Print hal-04542337, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04542337
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2022.101730
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Qi & Yang, Kun & Hu, Yi & Jiao, Jianbin & Wang, Shouyang, 2023. "Unveiling the impact of geopolitical conflict on oil prices: A case study of the Russia-Ukraine War and its channels," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    2. Cao, Yan & Cheng, Sheng & Li, Xinran, 2024. "Co-movements between heterogeneous crude oil and food markets: Does temperature change really matter?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
    3. Umar, Zaghum & Mokni, Khaled & Manel, Youssef & Gubareva, Mariya, 2024. "Dynamic spillover between oil price shocks and technology stock indices: A country level analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    4. Fu, Yaping & Qi, Haozhi & Chen, Yanan & Wang, Yuzhan, 2024. "Short-term impacts vs. long-term contributions: The role of clean energy and ESG investments in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    5. Hu, Yang & Lang, Chunlin & Corbet, Shaen & Wang, Junchuan, 2024. "The impact of COVID-19 on the volatility connectedness of the Chinese tourism sector," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    6. Yu, Yue & Wang, Jianzhou & Jiang, He & Lu, Haiyan, 2025. "How to manage a multifactor-driven crude oil market more effectively? A revisit based on the multiple criteria perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
    7. Dutta, Anupam & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Sheng, Lin Wen & Park, Donghyun & Zhu, Xuening, 2024. "Volatility dynamics of agricultural futures markets under uncertainties," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    8. Polat, Onur & Ertuğrul, Hasan Murat & Sakarya, Burçhan & Akgül, Ali, 2024. "TVP-VAR based time and frequency domain food & energy commodities connectedness an analysis for financial/geopolitical turmoil episodes," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 357(C).
    9. Wei, Yanfeng & Qiu, Feng & An, Henry & Zhang, Xindon & Li, Changhong & Guo, Xiaoying, 2024. "Exogenous oil supply shocks and global agricultural commodity prices: The role of biofuels," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 394-414.
    10. Ni, Guohua & Teng, Man & Chen, Zhenling & Wu, Yunsong & He, Wenjia & Su, Bin, 2024. "Exploring the impacts of major events on the global oil and food markets," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).

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