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Impact of Russia-Ukraine war attention on cryptocurrency: Evidence from quantile dependence analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Rabeh Khalfaoui

    (ICN Business School, CEREFIGE - Centre Européen de Recherche en Economie Financière et Gestion des Entreprises - UL - Université de Lorraine)

  • Giray Gozgor

    (School of Management [Bradford] - University of Bradford, IMU - Istanbul Medeniyet University [Istanbul, Turquie], American University of Beirut, Lebanon)

  • John Goodell

    (University of Akron)

Abstract

Cryptocurrency values have recently fallen substantially. Why? We examine the impact of attention on the Russia-Ukraine War, proxied by Google Trends, on cryptocurrencies (and equity) to measure the returns coherences. Using quantile cross-spectral analysis and daily data for February 24, 2022–June 21, 2022, we observe that co-movements between War attention and cryptocurrencies depends on investment horizon and market state. Under bearish and normal (bull) markets, War attention negatively (positively) affects all cryptocurrencies in the short term. Results are consistent with cryptocurrency investors responding to War attention by seeking liquidity, with recent price falls explained as sell-offs by large holders.

Suggested Citation

  • Rabeh Khalfaoui & Giray Gozgor & John Goodell, 2022. "Impact of Russia-Ukraine war attention on cryptocurrency: Evidence from quantile dependence analysis," Post-Print hal-03797565, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03797565
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2022.103365
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