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Risk dependence of CoVaR and structural change between oil prices and exchange rates: A time-varying copula model
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- Liming Chen & Zhi Zhang & Ziqing Du & Lingling Deng, 2021. "Heterogeneous determinants of the exchange rate market in China with structural breaks," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(59), pages 6839-6854, December.
- Mbarki, Imen & Khan, Muhammad Arif & Karim, Sitara & Paltrinieri, Andrea & Lucey, Brian M., 2023. "Unveiling commodities-financial markets intersections from a bibliometric perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
- Sun, Xiaolei & Liu, Chang & Wang, Jun & Li, Jianping, 2020. "Assessing the extreme risk spillovers of international commodities on maritime markets: A GARCH-Copula-CoVaR approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Chen, Lin & Wen, Fenghua & Li, Wanyang & Yin, Hua & Zhao, Lili, 2022. "Extreme risk spillover of the oil, exchange rate to Chinese stock market: Evidence from implied volatility indexes," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
- Xia, Tongshui & Ji, Qiang & Geng, Jiang-Bo, 2020. "Nonlinear dependence and information spillover between electricity and fuel source markets: New evidence from a multi-scale analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 537(C).
- Bouteska, Ahmed & Sharif, Taimur & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul, 2023. "COVID-19 and stock returns: Evidence from the Markov switching dependence approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
- Ding, Qian & Huang, Jianbai & Chen, Jinyu, 2021. "Dynamic and frequency-domain risk spillovers among oil, gold, and foreign exchange markets: Evidence from implied volatility," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
- Yi, Yongsheng & Ma, Feng & Zhang, Yaojie & Huang, Dengshi, 2019. "Forecasting stock returns with cycle-decomposed predictors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 250-261.
- Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2023. "Time-frequency dependence and connectedness among global oil markets: Fresh evidence from higher-order moment perspective," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
- Lajos Horváth & Curtis Miller & Gregory Rice, 2021. "Detecting early or late changes in linear models with heteroscedastic errors," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 48(2), pages 577-609, June.
- Guo, Ranran & Ye, Wuyi, 2021. "A model of dynamic tail dependence between crude oil prices and exchange rates," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
- Jin Shang & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2023. "Differential Tail Dependence between Crude Oil and Forex Markets in Oil-Importing and Oil-Exporting Countries during Recent Crisis Periods," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-24, October.
- Naeem, Muhammad & Umar, Zaghum & Ahmed, Sheraz & Ferrouhi, El Mehdi, 2020. "Dynamic dependence between ETFs and crude oil prices by using EGARCH-Copula approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 557(C).
- Li, Wei-Zhen & Zhai, Jin-Rui & Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Wang, Gang-Jin & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2022.
"Predicting tail events in a RIA-EVT-Copula framework,"
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 600(C).
- Wei-Zhen Li & Jin-Rui Zhai & Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Gang-Jin Wang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2020. "Predicting tail events in a RIA-EVT-Copula framework," Papers 2004.03190, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2020.
- Wen, Fenghua & Liu, Zhen & Dai, Zhifeng & He, Shaoyi & Liu, Wenhua, 2022. "Multi-scale risk contagion among international oil market, Chinese commodity market and Chinese stock market: A MODWT-Vine quantile regression approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
- Huang, Shupei & An, Haizhong & Lucey, Brian, 2020. "How do dynamic responses of exchange rates to oil price shocks co-move? From a time-varying perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
- Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Cunado, Juncal & Hatemi-J, Abdulnasser & Gupta, Rangan, 2019.
"Oil price-inflation pass-through in the United States over 1871 to 2018: A wavelet coherency analysis,"
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 51-55.
- Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Juncal Cunado & Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Rangan Gupta, 2018. "Oil Price-Inflation Pass-Through in the United States over 1871 to 2018: A Wavelet Coherency Analysis," Working Papers 201865, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Hlongwane, Nyiko Worship, 2022. "The relationship between oil prices and exchange rates in South Africa," MPRA Paper 113209, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Mensi, Walid & Shafiullah, Muhammad & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Asymmetric spillovers and connectedness between crude oil and currency markets using high-frequency data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Ding, Shusheng & Zheng, Dandan & Cui, Tianxiang & Du, Min, 2023. "The oil price-inflation nexus: The exchange rate pass- through effect," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
- Liu, Xiang-dong & Pan, Fei & Cai, Wen-li & Peng, Rui, 2020. "Correlation and risk measurement modeling: A Markov-switching mixed Clayton copula approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
- Li, Jingpeng & Umar, Muhammad & Huo, Jiale, 2023. "The spillover effect between Chinese crude oil futures market and Chinese green energy stock market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
- Chakraborty, Sandip & Kakani, Ram Kumar & Sampath, Aravind, 2022. "Portfolio risk and stress across the business cycle," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
- Li, Xiafei & Li, Bo & Wei, Guiwu & Bai, Lan & Wei, Yu & Liang, Chao, 2021. "Return connectedness among commodity and financial assets during the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from China and the US," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
- Bing‐Yue Liu & Qiang Ji & Duc Khuong Nguyen & Ying Fan, 2021.
"Dynamic dependence and extreme risk comovement: The case of oil prices and exchange rates,"
International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2612-2636, April.
- Ji, Qiang & Liu, Bing-Yue & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Fan, Ying, 2019. "Dynamic dependence and extreme risk comovement: The case of oil prices and exchange rates," MPRA Paper 101387, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jan 2020.
- Yang, Dong-Xiao & Wu, Bi-Bo & Tong, Jing-Yang, 2021. "Dynamics and causality of oil price shocks on commodities: Quantile-on-quantile and causality-in-quantiles methods," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Tian, Meiyu & Li, Wanyang & Wen, Fenghua, 2021. "The dynamic impact of oil price shocks on the stock market and the USD/RMB exchange rate: Evidence from implied volatility indices," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
- Xiao, Di & Wang, Jun, 2020. "Dynamic complexity and causality of crude oil and major stock markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
- Albulescu, Claudiu Tiberiu & Ajmi, Ahdi Noomen, 2021. "Oil price and US dollar exchange rate: Change detection of bi-directional causal impact," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
- Jingjian, Si & Xiangyun, Gao & Jinsheng, Zhou & Anjian, Wang & Xiaotian, Sun & Yiran, Zhao & Hongyu, Wei, 2023. "The impact of oil price shocks on energy stocks from the perspective of investor attention," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PB).
- Corbet, Shaen & Hou, Yang (Greg) & Hu, Yang & Oxley, Les, 2022. "The growth of oil futures in China: Evidence of market maturity through global crises," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
- Wang, Haiying & Yuan, Ying & Li, Yiou & Wang, Xunhong, 2021. "Financial contagion and contagion channels in the forex market: A new approach via the dynamic mixture copula-extreme value theory," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 401-414.
- Wang, Jun & Sun, Xiaolei & Li, Jianping, 2020. "How do sovereign credit default swap spreads behave under extreme oil price movements? Evidence from G7 and BRICS countries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 34(C).
- Yildirim, Zekeriya & Arifli, Arif, 2021. "Oil price shocks, exchange rate and macroeconomic fluctuations in a small oil-exporting economy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
- Adrian Neacsa & Jianu Daniel Muresan & Marian Catalin Voica & Otilia Manta & Mihail Vincentiu Ivan, 2023. "Oil Price—A Sensor for the Performance of Romanian Oil Manufacturing Companies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(5), pages 1-18, February.
- Fen Li & Zhehao Huang & Junhao Zhong & Khaldoon Albitar, 2020. "Do Tense Geopolitical Factors Drive Crude Oil Prices?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-20, August.
- Salisu, Afees A. & Olaniran, Abeeb & Tchankam, Jean Paul, 2022. "Oil tail risk and the tail risk of the US Dollar exchange rates," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
- Zhang, Yi & Cheng, Chuntian & Cao, Rui & Li, Gang & Shen, Jianjian & Wu, Xinyu, 2021. "Multivariate probabilistic forecasting and its performance’s impacts on long-term dispatch of hydro-wind hybrid systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
- Chen, Qitong & Zhu, Huiming & Yu, Dongwei & Hau, Liya, 2022. "How does investor attention matter for crude oil prices and returns? Evidence from time-frequency quantile causality analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
- Yanqiong Liu & Zhenghui Li & Yanyan Yao & Hao Dong, 2021. "Asymmetry of Risk Evolution in Crude Oil Market: From the Perspective of Dual Attributes of Oil," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-22, July.
- Li, Jingyu & Liu, Ranran & Yao, Yanzhen & Xie, Qiwei, 2022. "Time-frequency volatility spillovers across the international crude oil market and Chinese major energy futures markets: Evidence from COVID-19," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Sun, Chuanwang & Zhan, Yanhong & Peng, Yiqi & Cai, Weiyi, 2022. "Crude oil price and exchange rate: Evidence from the period before and after the launch of China's crude oil futures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
- Ngo Thai HUNG, 2020. "Conditional dependence between oil prices and CEE stock markets: a copula-GARCH approach Abstract: This study investigates both the constant and time-varying conditional dependency between crude oil a," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 11, pages 62-86, June.
- Dai, Xingyu & Wang, Qunwei & Zha, Donglan & Zhou, Dequn, 2020. "Multi-scale dependence structure and risk contagion between oil, gold, and US exchange rate: A wavelet-based vine-copula approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
- Qi Zhang & Yi Hu & Jianbin Jiao & Shouyang Wang, 2022. "Exploring the Trend of Commodity Prices: A Review and Bibliometric Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-22, August.
- Qiang Ji & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Elie Bouri & Muhammad Tahir Suleman, 2020. "Dynamic structural impacts of oil shocks on exchange rates: lessons to learn," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 9(1), pages 1-19, December.
- Su, Chi-Wei & Khan, Khalid & Tao, Ran & Nicoleta-Claudia, Moldovan, 2019. "Does geopolitical risk strengthen or depress oil prices and financial liquidity? Evidence from Saudi Arabia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
- Cheng, Dong & Shi, Xunpeng & Yu, Jian & Zhang, Dayong, 2019. "How does the Chinese economy react to uncertainty in international crude oil prices?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 147-164.
- Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Xu, Jin & Zhang, Zehui, 2022. "Oil futures volatility predictability: New evidence based on machine learning models11All the authors contribute to the paper equally," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
- Jassim Aladwani, 2023. "Wavelet Coherence and Continuous Wavelet Transform - Implementation and Application to the Relationship between Exchange Rate and Oil Price for Importing and Exporting Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(4), pages 531-541, July.
- Ji, Qiang & Bouri, Elie & Roubaud, David & Kristoufek, Ladislav, 2019. "Information interdependence among energy, cryptocurrency and major commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 1042-1055.
- Afees A. Salisu & Juncal Cunado & Kazeem Isah & Rangan Gupta, 2020. "Oil Price and Exchange Rate Behaviour of the BRICS for Over a Century," Working Papers 202064, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Kyophilavong, Phouphet & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2023. "Cross-spectral coherence and co-movement between WTI oil price and exchange rate of Thai Baht," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
- Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2023. "Higher-order moment risk connectedness and optimal investment strategies between international oil and commodity futures markets: Insights from the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia-Ukraine conflict," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
- Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Katsiampa, Paraskevi & Zeitun, Rami & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2023. "Conditional dependence structure and risk spillovers between Bitcoin and fiat currencies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
- Ma, Yan-Ran & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang & Pan, Jiaofeng, 2019. "Spillovers between oil and stock returns in the US energy sector: Does idiosyncratic information matter?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 536-544.
- Yijin He & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2019. "Conditional Dependence between Oil Prices and Exchange Rates in BRICS Countries: An Application of the Copula-GARCH Model," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-25, June.
- Qing Peng & Fenghua Wen & Xu Gong, 2021. "Time‐dependent intrinsic correlation analysis of crude oil and the US dollar based on CEEMDAN," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 834-848, January.
- Jiangze Du & Xizhuo Chen & Jincheng Gong & Xiao Lin & Kin Keung Lai, 2023. "Analysis of stock markets risk spillover with copula models under the background of Chinese financial opening," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 3997-4019, October.
- Wang, Tiantian & Wu, Fei & Zhang, Dayong & Ji, Qiang, 2023. "Energy market reforms in China and the time-varying connectedness of domestic and international markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
- Xie, Qichang & Wu, Haifeng & Ma, Yu, 2021. "Refining the asymctmetric impacts of oil price uncertainty on Chinese stock returns based on a semiparametric additive quantile regression analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
- Zou, Yingchao & Yu, Lean & Tso, Geoffrey K.F. & He, Kaijian, 2020. "Risk forecasting in the crude oil market: A multiscale Convolutional Neural Network approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 541(C).
- Zhu, Pengfei & Tang, Yong & Wei, Yu & Lu, Tuantuan, 2021. "Multidimensional risk spillovers among crude oil, the US and Chinese stock markets: Evidence during the COVID-19 epidemic," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
- Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Sousa, Ricardo M., 2021. "Inflation synchronization among the G7and China: The important role of oil inflation," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).
- Si, Jingjian & Gao, Xiangyun & Zhou, Jinsheng & Xi, Xian & Sun, Xiaotian & Zhao, Yiran, 2022. "Reconstruction of financial time series data based on compressed sensing," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
- Virbickaitė, Audronė & Ausín, M. Concepción & Galeano, Pedro, 2020. "Copula stochastic volatility in oil returns: Approximate Bayesian computation with volatility prediction," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
- Wang, Qunwei & Liu, Mengmeng & Xiao, Ling & Dai, Xingyu & Li, Matthew C. & Wu, Fei, 2022. "Conditional sovereign CDS in market basket risk scenario: A dynamic vine-copula analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
- Yang, Kun & Wei, Yu & Li, Shouwei & He, Jianmin, 2020. "Asymmetric risk spillovers between Shanghai and Hong Kong stock markets under China’s capital account liberalization," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Yun-Shi Dai & Peng-Fei Dai & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2023. "Tail dependence structure and extreme risk spillover effects between the international agricultural futures and spot markets," Papers 2303.11030, arXiv.org.
- Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Gabauer, David & Gozgor, Giray, 2023. "Oil price shocks and exchange rate dynamics: Evidence from decomposed and partial connectedness measures for oil importing and exporting economies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
- Changyu Liu & Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Mobeen Ur Rehman & Saqib Farid & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2020. "Oil as Hedge, Safe-Haven, and Diversifier for Conventional Currencies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-19, August.