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Measuring the response of gold prices to uncertainty: An analysis beyond the mean
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- Asai, Manabu & Gupta, Rangan & McAleer, Michael, 2020.
"Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 933-948.
- Manabu Asai & Rangan Gupta & Michael McAleer, 2019. "Forecasting Volatility and Co-volatility of Crude Oil and Gold Futures: Effects of Leverage, Jumps, Spillovers, and Geopolitical Risks," Working Papers 201951, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Demirer, Riza & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2019.
"Time-varying risk aversion and realized gold volatility,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
- Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2018. "Time-Varying Risk Aversion and Realized Gold Volatility," Working Papers 201881, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Cui, Moyang & Wong, Wing-Keung & Wisetsri, Worakamol & Mabrouk, Fatma & Muda, Iskandar & Li, Zeyun & Hassan, Marria, 2023. "Do oil, gold and metallic price volatilities prove gold as a safe haven during COVID-19 pandemic? Novel evidence from COVID-19 data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
- Mensi, Walid & Sensoy, Ahmet & Aslan, Aylin & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2019. "High-frequency asymmetric volatility connectedness between Bitcoin and major precious metals markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
- Selmi, Refk & Bouoiyour, Jamal & Miftah, Amal, 2020.
"Oil price jumps and the uncertainty of oil supplies in a geopolitical perspective: The role of OPEC’s spare capacity,"
International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 18-35.
- Refk Selmi & Jamal Bouoiyour & Amal Miftah, 2020. "Oil price jumps and the uncertainty of oil supplies in a geopolitical perspective: The role of OPEC’s spare capacity," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 164, pages 18-35.
- Refk Selmi & Jamal Bouoiyour & Amal Miftah, 2020. "Oil price jumps and the uncertainty of oil supplies in a geopolitical perspective: The role of OPEC’s spare capacity," Post-Print hal-02933536, HAL.
- Huilian Huang & Tao Xiong, 2023. "A good hedge or safe haven? The hedging ability of China's commodity futures market under extreme market conditions," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(7), pages 968-1035, July.
- Carmen Orden‐Cruz & Jessica Paule‐Vianez & Júlio Lobão, 2023. "The effect of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the credit risk of US commercial banks," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3420-3436, July.
- Bouoiyour, Jamal & Selmi, Refk & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Wohar, Mark E., 2019.
"What are the categories of geopolitical risks that could drive oil prices higher? Acts or threats?,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
- Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Mark E Wohar, 2019. "What are the categories of geopolitical risks that could drive oil prices higher? Acts or threats?," Post-Print hal-02409062, HAL.
- Hoque, Mohammad Enamul & Soo-Wah, Low & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Akhter, Tahmina, 2023. "Time and frequency domain connectedness and spillover among categorical and regional financial stress, gold and bitcoin market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
- Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Christian Pierdzioch, 2022. "Safe Havens, Machine Learning, and the Sources of Geopolitical Risk: A Forecasting Analysis Using Over a Century of Data," Working Papers 202201, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Islam, Md. Monirul & Sohag, Kazi & Mariev, Oleg, 2023. "Geopolitical risks and mineral-driven renewable energy generation in China: A decomposed analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
- Selmi, Refk & Bouoiyour, Jamal, 2020.
"Arab geopolitics in turmoil: Implications of Qatar-Gulf crisis for business,"
International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 100-119.
- Refk Selmi & Jamal Bouoiyour, 2020. "Arab geopolitics in turmoil: Implications of Qatar-Gulf crisis for business," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 161, pages 100-119.
- Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2019. "Arab Geopolitics in Turmoil: Implications Of Qatar-Gulf Crisis for Business," Working Papers 1337, Economic Research Forum, revised 21 Aug 2019.
- Refk Selmi & Jamal Bouoiyour, 2020. "Arab geopolitics in turmoil: Implications of Qatar-Gulf crisis for business," Post-Print hal-01879682, HAL.
- Selmi, Refk & Bouoiyour, Jamal & Miftah, Amal & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Managing exposure to volatile oil prices: Evidence from U.S. sectoral and industry-level data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
- Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2020.
"Forecasting realized gold volatility: Is there a role of geopolitical risks?,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
- Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2019. "Forecasting Realized Gold Volatility: Is there a Role of Geopolitical Risks?," Working Papers 201943, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Selmi, Refk & Bouoiyour, Jamal & Wohar, Mark E., 2022. "“Digital Gold” and geopolitics," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
- Tanin, Tauhidul Islam & Sarker, Ashutosh & Brooks, Robert & Do, Hung Xuan, 2022. "Does oil impact gold during COVID-19 and three other recent crises?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
- Al Rababa'a, Abdel Razzaq & Alomari, Mohammad & Mensi, Walid & Matar, Ali & Saidat, Zaid, 2021. "Does tracking the infectious diseases impact the gold, oil and US dollar returns and correlation? A quantile regression approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
- Bonato, Matteo & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2021.
"A note on investor happiness and the predictability of realized volatility of gold,"
Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 39(C).
- Matteo Bonato & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2020. "A Note on Investor Happiness and the Predictability of Realized Volatility of Gold," Working Papers 202004, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Boubaker, Heni & Cunado, Juncal & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Gupta, Rangan, 2020.
"Global crises and gold as a safe haven: Evidence from over seven and a half centuries of data,"
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
- Heni Boubaker & Juncal Cunado & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2019. "Global Crises and Gold as a Safe Haven: Evidence from Over Seven and a Half Centuries of Data," Working Papers 201941, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Luo, Jiawen & Demirer, Riza & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022.
"Forecasting oil and gold volatilities with sentiment indicators under structural breaks,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
- Jiawen Luo & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Qiang Ji, 2021. "Forecasting Oil and Gold Volatilities with Sentiment Indicators Under Structural Breaks," Working Papers 202130, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Chen, Jinyu & Wang, Yilin & Ren, Xiaohang, 2023. "Asymmetric effect of financial stress on China’s precious metals market: Evidence from a quantile-on-quantile regression," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
- Aslam, Faheem & Zil-e-huma, & Bibi, Rashida & Ferreira, Paulo, 2022. "Cross-correlations between economic policy uncertainty and precious and industrial metals: A multifractal cross-correlation analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
- Qadan, Mahmoud & Idilbi, Yasmeen, 2022. "Presidential honeymoons, political cycles and the commodity market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Zhu, Xuehong & Liao, Jianhui & Chen, Ying, 2021. "Time-varying effects of oil price shocks and economic policy uncertainty on the nonferrous metals industry: From the perspective of industrial security," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
- Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Mark E. Wohar, 2019.
"Bitcoin: competitor or complement to gold?,"
Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(1), pages 186-191.
- Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Mark E Wohar, 2019. "Bitcoin: competitor or complement to gold?," Post-Print hal-01994187, HAL.
- Qin, Meng & Su, Chi-Wei & Tao, Ran & Umar, Muhammad, 2020. "Is factionalism a push for gold price?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
- Paule-Vianez, Jessica & Alcázar-Blanco, Antonio & Coca-Pérez, José Luis, 2022. "Effect of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the investment in numismatic assets: Evidence for the Walking Liberty Half Dollar," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
- Adediran, Idris A. & Yinusa, Olalekan D. & Lakhani, Kanwal Hammad, 2021. "Where lies the silver lining when uncertainty hang dark clouds over the global financial markets?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
- Si Mohammed, K. & Mellit, A., 2023. "The relationship between oil prices and the indices of renewable energy and technology companies based on QQR and GCQ techniques," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 97-105.
- Chiang, Thomas C., 2022. "The effects of economic uncertainty, geopolitical risk and pandemic upheaval on gold prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
- Shahid, Muhammad Naeem & Azmi, Wajahat & Ali, Mohsin & Islam, Muhammad Umar & Rizvi, Syed Aun R., 2023. "Uncovering risk transmission between socially responsible investments, alternative energy investments and the implied volatility of major commodities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
- Ana Alzate-Ortega & Natalia Garzón & Jesús Molina-Muñoz, 2024. "Volatility Spillovers in Emerging Markets: Oil Shocks, Energy, Stocks, and Gold," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-19, January.
- Tanin, Tauhidul Islam & Sarker, Ashutosh & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2021. "Do volatility indices diminish gold's appeal as a safe haven to investors before and during the COVID-19 pandemic?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 191(C), pages 214-235.
- Bonato, Matteo & Gupta, Rangan & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Wang, Shixuan, 2020.
"Moments-based spillovers across gold and oil markets,"
Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
- Matteo Bonato & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Shixuan Wang, 2019. "Moments-Based Spillovers across Gold and Oil Markets," Working Papers 201966, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2019.
"The Changing Geopolitics in the Arab World: Implications of the 2017 Gulf Crisis for Business,"
Papers
1903.08076, arXiv.org.
- Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2019. "The Changing Geopolitics in the Arab World: Implications of the 2017 Gulf Crisis for Business," Post-Print hal-02071921, HAL.
- Tanin, Tauhidul Islam & Sarker, Ashutosh & Brooks, Robert, 2021. "Do currency exchange rates impact gold prices? New evidence from the ongoing COVID-19 period," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Hasan, Md. Bokhtiar & Kabir Hassan, M. & Gider, Zeynullah & Tahsin Rafia, Humaira & Rashid, Mamunur, 2023. "Searching hedging instruments against diverse global risks and uncertainties," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
- Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Nel, Jacobus, 2022.
"Rare disaster risks and gold over 700 years: Evidence from nonparametric quantile regressions,"
Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
- Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Jacobus Nel, 2022. "Rare Disaster Risks and Gold over 700 Years: Evidence from Nonparametric Quantile Regressions," Working Papers 202231, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Refk Selmi & Jamal Bouoiyour & Shawkat Hammoudeh, 2020. "Common and country-specific uncertainty fluctuations in oil-producing countries : Measures, macroeconomic effects and policy challenges," Post-Print hal-02929898, HAL.
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021.
"Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers,"
Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-15, July.
- Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting the Volatility of Crude Oil: The Role of Uncertainty and Spillovers," Working Papers 202135, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Yilanci, Veli & Kilci, Esra N., 2021. "The role of economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk in predicting prices of precious metals: Evidence from a time-varying bootstrap causality test," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
- Donald Lien & Ziling Wang & Xiaojian Yu, 2021. "Optimal quantile hedging under Markov regime switching," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(5), pages 2177-2201, May.
- Li, Jingwen & Wang, Yue & Song, Yubing & Su, Chi Wei, 2023. "How resistant is gold to stress? New evidence from global supply chain," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
- Zhou, Mei-Jing & Huang, Jian-Bai & Chen, Jin-Yu, 2020. "The effects of geopolitical risks on the stock dynamics of China's rare metals: A TVP-VAR analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Su, Chi-Wei & Pang, Lidong & Umar, Muhammad & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona & Moldovan, Nicoleta-Claudia, 2022. "Does gold's hedging uncertainty aura fade away?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Díaz, Juan D. & Hansen, Erwin & Cabrera, Gabriel, 2023. "Gold risk premium estimation with machine learning methods," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
- Jessica Paule-Vianez & Júlio Lobão & Raúl Gómez-Martínez & Camilo Prado-Román, 2021. "Momentum strategies in times of economic policy uncertainty," Journal of Financial Economic Policy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 13(3), pages 285-300, April.
- Johannes Eugster & Giovanni Donato, 2022. "The exchange rate elasticity of the Swiss current account," Working Papers 2022-14, Swiss National Bank.
- Khaskheli, Asadullah & Zhang, Hongyu & Raza, Syed Ali & Khan, Komal Akram, 2022. "Assessing the influence of news indicator on volatility of precious metals prices through GARCH-MIDAS model: A comparative study of pre and during COVID-19 period," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
- Duc Huynh, Toan Luu & Burggraf, Tobias & Wang, Mei, 2020. "Gold, platinum, and expected Bitcoin returns," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
- Huang, Jianbai & Dong, Xuesong & Chen, Jinyu & Zhong, Meirui, 2022. "Do oil prices and economic policy uncertainty matter for precious metal returns? New insights from a TVP-VAR framework," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 433-445.
- Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2021.
"A note on oil price shocks and the forecastability of gold realized volatility,"
Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(21), pages 1889-1897, December.
- Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2020. "A Note on Oil Price Shocks and the Forecastability of Gold Realized Volatility," Working Papers 202010, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
- Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi & Olivier Hueber, 2019. "Low on Trust and High on Risks: Is Sidechain a Good Solution to Bitcoin Problems?," Working Papers hal-02348406, HAL.
- Takashi Miyazaki, 2019. "Clarifying the Response of Gold Return to Financial Indicators: An Empirical Comparative Analysis Using Ordinary Least Squares, Robust and Quantile Regressions," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-18, February.
- Qin, Meng & Su, Chi-Wei & Pirtea, Marilen Gabriel & Dumitrescu Peculea, Adelina, 2023. "The essential role of Russian geopolitics: A fresh perception into the gold market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
- Mohammad Enamul Hoque & Soo-Wah Low, 2022. "Reactions of Bitcoin and Gold to Categorical Financial Stress: New Evidence from Quantile Estimation," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-10, July.
- Chi-Wei Su & Lidong Pang & Muhammad Umar & Oana-Ramona Lobonţ, 2022. "Will Gold Always Shine amid World Uncertainty?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(12), pages 3425-3438, September.
- Md. Monirul Islam & Kazi Sohag & Faheem ur Rehman, 2022. "Do Geopolitical Tensions and Economic Policy Uncertainties Reorient Mineral Imports in the USA? A Fat-Tailed Data Analysis Using Novel Quantile Approaches," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-25, December.
- Kazi Sohag & Anna Gainetdinova & Shawkat Hammoudeh & Riad Shams, 2022. "Dynamic Connectedness among Vaccine Companies’ Stock Prices: Before and after Vaccines Released," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(15), pages 1-26, August.
- Yu, Fanchao, 2023. "Macroeconomic information, global economic policy uncertainty and gold futures return predictability," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 55(PA).
- Esperanza García-Gonzalo & Paulino José García-Nieto & Gregorio Fidalgo Valverde & Pedro Riesgo Fernández & Fernando Sánchez Lasheras & Sergio Luis Suárez Gómez, 2024. "Hybrid DE-Optimized GPR and NARX/SVR Models for Forecasting Gold Spot Prices: A Case Study of the Global Commodities Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-18, March.