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The Term Structure of Variance Swap Rates and Optimal Variance Swap Investments

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Cited by:

  1. Dew-Becker, Ian & Giglio, Stefano & Kelly, Bryan, 2021. "Hedging macroeconomic and financial uncertainty and volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 23-45.
  2. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Li, Chenxu & Li, Chen Xu, 2021. "Closed-form implied volatility surfaces for stochastic volatility models with jumps," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 222(1), pages 364-392.
  3. Peter Van Tassel, 2018. "Equity Volatility Term Premia," Staff Reports 867, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  4. Bas Peeters, 2012. "Risk premiums in a simple market model for implied volatility," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(5), pages 739-748, January.
  5. George O. Aragon & Rajnish Mehra & Sunil Wahal, 2018. "Do Properly Anticipated Prices Fluctuate Randomly? Evidence from VIX Futures Markets," NBER Working Papers 24575, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. Paweł Sakowski & Daria Turovtseva, 2020. "Does Bitcoin Improve Investment Portfolio Efficiency?," Working Papers 2020-42, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
  7. Li Chen & Guang Zhang, 2021. "Hermite Polynomial-based Valuation of American Options with General Jump-Diffusion Processes," Papers 2104.11870, arXiv.org.
  8. Rombouts, Jeroen V.K. & Stentoft, Lars & Violante, Francesco, 2020. "Dynamics of variance risk premia: A new model for disentangling the price of risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 217(2), pages 312-334.
  9. Juliusz Jablecki & Robert Slepaczuk & Ryszard Kokoszczynski & Pawel Sakowski & Piotr Wojcik, 2014. "Does historical VIX term structure contain valuable information for predicting VIX futures?," Dynamic Econometric Models, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 14, pages 5-28.
  10. Bo, Lijun & Tang, Dan & Wang, Yongjin, 2017. "Optimal investment of variance-swaps in jump-diffusion market with regime-switching," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 175-197.
  11. Rombouts, Jeroen V.K. & Stentoft, Lars & Violante, Francesco, 2020. "Variance swap payoffs, risk premia and extreme market conditions," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 106-124.
  12. Konstantinidi, Eirini & Skiadopoulos, George, 2016. "How does the market variance risk premium vary over time? Evidence from S&P 500 variance swap investment returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 62-75.
  13. Xinglin Yang & Ji Chen, 2021. "VIX term structure: The role of jump propagation risks," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 785-810, June.
  14. Jin, Xing & Zhang, Kun, 2013. "Dynamic optimal portfolio choice in a jump-diffusion model with investment constraints," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(5), pages 1733-1746.
  15. Juliusz Jabłecki & Ryszard Kokoszczyński & Paweł Sakowski & Robert Ślepaczuk & Piotr Wójcik, 2014. "Does historical volatility term structure contain valuable in-formation for predicting volatility index futures?," Working Papers 2014-18, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
  16. Jonathan Dark & Xin Gao & Thijs van der Heijden & Federico Nardari, 2022. "Forecasting variance swap payoffs," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(12), pages 2135-2164, December.
  17. Dew-Becker, Ian & Giglio, Stefano & Le, Anh & Rodriguez, Marius, 2017. "The price of variance risk," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(2), pages 225-250.
  18. Bruno Feunou & Cédric Okou, 2018. "Risk‐neutral moment‐based estimation of affine option pricing models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(7), pages 1007-1025, November.
  19. Zhiguang Wang & Brice Dupoyet, 2019. "A dimension‐invariant cascade model for VIX futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(10), pages 1214-1227, October.
  20. Gonçalo Faria & João Correia-da-Silva, 2014. "A closed-form solution for options with ambiguity about stochastic volatility," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 125-159, July.
  21. Andreou, Elena & Ghysels, Eric, 2021. "Predicting the VIX and the volatility risk premium: The role of short-run funding spreads Volatility Factors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 220(2), pages 366-398.
  22. Li, Gang & Zhang, Chu, 2013. "Diagnosing affine models of options pricing: Evidence from VIX," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(1), pages 199-219.
  23. Scott Mixon & Esen Onur, 2019. "Derivatives pricing when supply and demand matter: Evidence from the term structure of VIX futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(9), pages 1035-1055, September.
  24. Dörries, Julian & Korn, Olaf & Power, Gabriel J., 2023. "How should the long-term investor harvest variance risk premiums?," CFR Working Papers 23-06, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
  25. Ghysels, Eric, 2014. "Factor Analysis with Large Panels of Volatility Proxies," CEPR Discussion Papers 10034, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  26. Amengual, Dante & Xiu, Dacheng, 2018. "Resolution of policy uncertainty and sudden declines in volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 203(2), pages 297-315.
  27. Nicholas Bloom & Ian Wright & Jose Maria Barrero, 2016. "Short- and Long-run Uncertainty," 2016 Meeting Papers 1576, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  28. Aşty Al-Jaaf, 2022. "Dividend predictability and higher moment risk premia," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(2), pages 83-99, March.
  29. Jin, Xing & Hong, Yi, 2023. "Jump-diffusion volatility models for variance swaps: An empirical performance analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
  30. Branger, Nicole & Muck, Matthias & Seifried, Frank Thomas & Weisheit, Stefan, 2017. "Optimal portfolios when variances and covariances can jump," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 59-89.
  31. M. Escobar-Anel & M. Kschonnek & R. Zagst, 2023. "Mind the cap!—constrained portfolio optimisation in Heston's stochastic volatility model," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(12), pages 1793-1813, November.
  32. Branger, Nicole & Rodrigues, Paulo & Schlag, Christian, 2017. "Level and slope of volatility smiles in Long-Run Risk Models," SAFE Working Paper Series 186, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
  33. Chenxu Li, 2014. "Closed-Form Expansion, Conditional Expectation, and Option Valuation," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 39(2), pages 487-516, May.
  34. Song, Zhaogang & Xiu, Dacheng, 2016. "A tale of two option markets: Pricing kernels and volatility risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 190(1), pages 176-196.
  35. Neumann, Maximilian & Prokopczuk, Marcel & Wese Simen, Chardin, 2016. "Jump and variance risk premia in the S&P 500," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 72-83.
  36. Peter Carr & Liuren Wu, 2020. "Option Profit and Loss Attribution and Pricing: A New Framework," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(4), pages 2271-2316, August.
  37. Xin Zang & Jun Ni & Jing-Zhi Huang & Lan Wu, 2017. "Double-jump diffusion model for VIX: evidence from VVIX," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 227-240, February.
  38. Calvet, Laurent E. & Fearnley, Marcus & Fisher, Adlai J. & Leippold, Markus, 2015. "What is beneath the surface? Option pricing with multifrequency latent states," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 498-511.
  39. Peter Van Tassel & Erik Vogt, 2016. "Global variance term premia and intermediary risk appetite," Staff Reports 789, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  40. Jeroen V.K. Rombouts & Lars Stentoft & Francesco Violante, 2017. "Dynamics of Variance Risk Premia, Investors' Sentiment and Return Predictability," CREATES Research Papers 2017-10, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
  41. Peter Christoffersen & Bruno Feunou & Yoontae Jeon & Chayawat Ornthanalai, 2016. "Time-Varying Crash Risk: The Role of Stock Market Liquidity," Staff Working Papers 16-35, Bank of Canada.
  42. Kaeck, Andreas & Rodrigues, Paulo & Seeger, Norman J., 2017. "Equity index variance: Evidence from flexible parametric jump–diffusion models," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 85-103.
  43. Xiu, Dacheng, 2014. "Hermite polynomial based expansion of European option prices," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 179(2), pages 158-177.
  44. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Amengual, Dante & Manresa, Elena, 2015. "Market-based estimation of stochastic volatility models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(2), pages 418-435.
  45. Mencía, Javier & Sentana, Enrique, 2013. "Valuation of VIX derivatives," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(2), pages 367-391.
  46. Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels, 2014. "Comment," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(2), pages 168-171, April.
  47. Ai Jun Hou & Lars L. Nordén, 2018. "VIX futures calendar spreads," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(7), pages 822-838, July.
  48. Biao Guo & Qian Han & Hai Lin, 2018. "Are there gains from using information over the surface of implied volatilities?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(6), pages 645-672, June.
  49. Stefano Giglio & Bryan Kelly, 2018. "Excess Volatility: Beyond Discount Rates," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 133(1), pages 71-127.
  50. Oh, Dong Hwan & Park, Yang-Ho, 2023. "GARCH option pricing with volatility derivatives," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
  51. Johannes Rauch & Carol Alexander, 2016. "Tail Risk Premia for Long-Term Equity Investors," Papers 1602.00865, arXiv.org.
  52. Carl Lindberg, 2017. "A note on contracts on quadratic variation," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(3), pages 1-5, March.
  53. Yaw‐Huei Wang & Kuang‐Chieh Yen, 2019. "The information content of the implied volatility term structure on future returns," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 25(2), pages 380-406, March.
  54. Kanniainen, Juho & Lin, Binghuan & Yang, Hanxue, 2014. "Estimating and using GARCH models with VIX data for option valuation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 200-211.
  55. Filipović, Damir & Gourier, Elise & Mancini, Loriano, 2016. "Quadratic variance swap models," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(1), pages 44-68.
  56. Wu, Liuren, 2018. "Estimating risk-return relations with analysts price targets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 183-197.
  57. Li, Shaoyu & Zhang, Yuanyuan & Zhu, Chunhui, 2021. "A closed-form exact solution for pricing fixed-income variance swaps with affine-jump model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
  58. Dotsis, George, 2017. "The market price of risk of the variance term structure," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 41-52.
  59. Bondarenko, Oleg, 2014. "Variance trading and market price of variance risk," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 180(1), pages 81-97.
  60. Stefano Giglio & Ian Dew-Becker & David Berger, 2016. "Contractionary Volatility or Volatile Contractions?," 2016 Meeting Papers 673, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  61. Hong, Yi & Jin, Xing, 2022. "Pricing of variance swap rates and investment decisions of variance swaps: Evidence from a three-factor model," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 303(2), pages 975-985.
  62. Xin Zang & Jun Ni & Jing-Zhi Huang & Lan Wu, 2015. "Double-jump stochastic volatility model for VIX: evidence from VVIX," Papers 1506.07554, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2015.
  63. Fabian Hollstein & Marcel Prokopczuk & Chardin Wese Simen, 2019. "The term structure of systematic and idiosyncratic risk," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(4), pages 435-460, April.
  64. Marcos Escobar & Sebastian Ferrando & Alexey Rubtsov, 2017. "Optimal investment under multi-factor stochastic volatility," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 241-260, February.
  65. Nicole Branger & Matthias Muck & Stefan Weisheit, 2019. "Correlation risk and international portfolio choice," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 128-146, January.
  66. Jianjian Jin, 2015. "Jump-Diffusion Long-Run Risks Models, Variance Risk Premium, and Volatility Dynamics," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 19(3), pages 1223-1279.
  67. Manuel Ammann & Mathis Mörke, 2019. "Credit Variance Risk Premiums," Working Papers on Finance 1908, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
  68. Rytchkov, Oleg, 2016. "Time-Varying Margin Requirements and Optimal Portfolio Choice," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 51(2), pages 655-683, April.
  69. Victor Troster & José Penalva & Abderrahim Taamouti & Dominik Wied, 2021. "Cointegration, information transmission, and the lead‐lag effect between industry portfolios and the stock market," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1291-1309, November.
  70. Aït-Sahalia, Yacine & Karaman, Mustafa & Mancini, Loriano, 2020. "The term structure of equity and variance risk premia," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(2), pages 204-230.
  71. Jiling Cao & Xinfeng Ruan & Wenjun Zhang, 2020. "Inferring information from the S&P 500, CBOE VIX, and CBOE SKEW indices," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(6), pages 945-973, June.
  72. Daniel Guterding, 2023. "Sparse Modeling Approach to the Arbitrage-Free Interpolation of Plain-Vanilla Option Prices and Implied Volatilities," Risks, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-24, April.
  73. Branger, Nicole & Rodrigues, Paulo & Schlag, Christian, 2018. "Level and slope of volatility smiles in long-run risk models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 95-122.
  74. Yixiao Jiang, 2020. "A Hausman Test for Partially Linear Models with an Application to Implied Volatility Surface," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-12, November.
  75. Carol Alexander & Johannes Rauch, 2016. "Model-Free Discretisation-Invariant Swap Contracts," Papers 1602.00235, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2016.
  76. Eraker, Bjørn & Wu, Yue, 2017. "Explaining the negative returns to volatility claims: An equilibrium approach," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(1), pages 72-98.
  77. Zhen Fang & Zhang Jin E., 2020. "Dissecting skewness under affine jump-diffusions," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 24(4), pages 1-19, September.
  78. Held, Matthias & Kapraun, Julia & Omachel, Marcel & Thimme, Julian, 2020. "Up- and downside variance risk premia in global equity markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
  79. Aiqin Ma & Cuiyun Zhang & Yubing Wang, 2023. "Optimal Consumption and Investment Problem under 4/2-CIR Stochastic Hybrid Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(17), pages 1-19, August.
  80. Carol Alexander & Johannes Rauch, 2017. "The Aggregation Property and its Applications to Realised Higher Moments," Papers 1709.08188, arXiv.org.
  81. Kai‐Jiun Chang & Mao‐Wei Hung & Yaw‐Huei Wang & Kuang‐Chieh Yen, 2019. "Volatility information implied in the term structure of VIX," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(1), pages 56-71, January.
  82. David Berger & Ian Dew-Becker & Stefano Giglio, 2020. "Uncertainty Shocks as Second-Moment News Shocks," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 87(1), pages 40-76.
  83. Kun Li & Joseph D. Cursio & Yunchuan Sun, 2018. "Principal Component Analysis of Price Fluctuation in the Smart Grid Electricity Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-16, November.
  84. Carol Alexander & Dimitris Korovilas, 2012. "Diversification of Equity with VIX Futures: Personal Views and Skewness Preference," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2012-07, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
  85. Lin, Yueh-Neng, 2013. "VIX option pricing and CBOE VIX Term Structure: A new methodology for volatility derivatives valuation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4432-4446.
  86. Leonidas S. Rompolis & Elias Tzavalis, 2017. "Pricing and hedging contingent claims using variance and higher order moment swaps," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(4), pages 531-550, April.
  87. Kaeck, Andreas & Rodrigues, Paulo & Seeger, Norman J., 2018. "Model Complexity and Out-of-Sample Performance: Evidence from S&P 500 Index Returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 1-29.
  88. Joanna Goard & Mohammed AbaOud, 2023. "A Bimodal Model for Oil Prices," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-26, May.
  89. Alexander, Carol & Korovilas, Dimitris & Kapraun, Julia, 2016. "Diversification with volatility products," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 213-235.
  90. Hollstein, Fabian & Wese Simen, Chardin, 2020. "Variance risk: A bird’s eye view," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 215(2), pages 517-535.
  91. Yacine Aït-Sahalia & Dacheng Xiu, 2019. "Principal Component Analysis of High-Frequency Data," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 114(525), pages 287-303, January.
  92. Nieto, Belén & Novales, Alfonso & Rubio, Gonzalo, 2014. "Variance swaps, non-normality and macroeconomic and financial risks," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 257-270.
  93. Bates, David S., 2012. "U.S. stock market crash risk, 1926–2010," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(2), pages 229-259.
  94. Xingguo Luo & Jin E. Zhang & Wenjun Zhang, 2019. "Instantaneous squared VIX and VIX derivatives," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(10), pages 1193-1213, October.
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