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Comparing the Post–Earnings Announcement Drift for Surprises Calculated from Analyst and Time Series Forecasts

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Lauren Cohen & Christopher Malloy & Quoc Nguyen, 2018. "Lazy Prices," NBER Working Papers 25084, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Lin, Mei-Chen, 2015. "Seasonal affective disorder and investors’ response to earnings news," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 211-221.
  3. Ardia, David & Bluteau, Keven & Boudt, Kris, 2022. "Media abnormal tone, earnings announcements, and the stock market," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
  4. Söhnke M. Bartram & Mark Grinblatt & Yoshio Nozawa, 2020. "Book-to-Market, Mispricing, and the Cross-Section of Corporate Bond Returns," NBER Working Papers 27655, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. Guo, Jiaqi & Holmes, Phil, 2022. "Does market openness mitigate the impact of culture? An examination of international momentum profits and post-earnings-announcement drift," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
  6. Borochin, Paul & Chang, Hao & Wu, Yangru, 2020. "The information content of the term structure of risk-neutral skewness," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 247-274.
  7. Andreas Neuhierl & Michael Weber & Michael Weber, 2017. "Monetary Momentum," CESifo Working Paper Series 6648, CESifo.
  8. Constantinos Antoniou & John A. Doukas & Avanidhar Subrahmanyam, 2016. "Investor Sentiment, Beta, and the Cost of Equity Capital," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 62(2), pages 347-367, February.
  9. Zolotoy, Leon & Frederickson, James R. & Lyon, John D., 2017. "Aggregate earnings and stock market returns: The good, the bad, and the state-dependent," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 157-175.
  10. He, Shuoyuan & Narayanamoorthy, Ganapathi (Gans), 2020. "Earnings acceleration and stock returns," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(1).
  11. David Veenman & Patrick Verwijmeren, 2022. "The Earnings Expectations Game and the Dispersion Anomaly," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(4), pages 3129-3149, April.
  12. Yen‐Cheng Chang & Pei‐Jie Hsiao & Alexander Ljungqvist & Kevin Tseng, 2022. "Testing Disagreement Models," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 77(4), pages 2239-2285, August.
  13. Wing Wah Tham & Elvira Sojli & Johannes A. Skjeltorp, 2018. "Cross-Sided Liquidity Externalities," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 64(6), pages 2901-2929, June.
  14. Yanxi Li & Siu Kai Choy & Mingzhu Wang, 2022. "The potential built‐in supply effect from margin trading in the Chinese stock market," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 57(4), pages 835-861, November.
  15. Yun Meng & Christos Pantzalis, 2021. "Lottery-type stocks and corporate strategies at the turn of the month," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 56(3), pages 1027-1055, April.
  16. Chang, Rosita P. & Ko, Kuan-Cheng & Nakano, Shinji & Ghon Rhee, S., 2018. "Residual momentum in Japan," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 283-299.
  17. Yang, Lisa (Zongfei) & Goh, Jeremy & Chiyachantana, Chiraphol, 2016. "Valuation uncertainty, market sentiment and the informativeness of institutional trades," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 81-98.
  18. Ali, Ashiq & Chen, Xuanjuan & Yao, Tong & Yu, Tong, 2020. "Can mutual funds profit from post earnings announcement drift? The role of competition," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
  19. Liu, Mengxi (Maggie) & Chan, Kam Fong & Faff, Robert, 2022. "What can we learn from firm-level jump-induced tail risk around earnings announcements?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
  20. Josef Fink, 2020. "A Review of the Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift," Working Paper Series, Social and Economic Sciences 2020-04, Faculty of Social and Economic Sciences, Karl-Franzens-University Graz.
  21. Terence Tai Leung Chong & Yueer Wu & Jue Su, 2020. "The Unusual Trading Volume and Earnings Surprises in China’s Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-17, October.
  22. Haifeng You & Xiao‐Jun Zhang, 2011. "Limited attention and stock price drift following earnings announcements and 10‐K filings," China Finance Review International, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 1(4), pages 358-387, September.
  23. Ballinari, Daniele & Audrino, Francesco & Sigrist, Fabio, 2022. "When does attention matter? The effect of investor attention on stock market volatility around news releases," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  24. Baker, H. Kent & Ni, Yang & Saadi, Samir & Zhu, Hui, 2019. "Competitive earnings news and post-earnings announcement drift," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 331-343.
  25. Kolasinski, Adam C. & Yang, Nan, 2018. "Managerial myopia and the mortgage meltdown," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(3), pages 466-485.
  26. Yu, Miao & Hu, Xiaolu & Zhong, Angel, 2023. "Trade links and return predictability: The Australian evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  27. Justin Cox, 2020. "Market fragmentation and post-earnings announcement drift," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 44(3), pages 587-610, July.
  28. Weber, Michael, 2018. "Cash flow duration and the term structure of equity returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(3), pages 486-503.
  29. Kai Du & Xin Daniel Jiang, 2020. "Connections between the Market Pricing of Accruals Quality and Accounting‐Based Anomalies," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(4), pages 2087-2119, December.
  30. Heusel, Nicola & Mager, Ferdinand, 2023. "Pension funding and the cross section of stock returns - The case of Germany," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
  31. Daniel Bradley & Xi Liu & Christos Pantzalis, 2014. "Bucking the Trend: The Informativeness of Analyst Contrarian Recommendations," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 43(2), pages 391-414, June.
  32. Linda H. Chen & Wei Huang & George J. Jiang & Kevin X. Zhu, 2022. "Why do investors discount earnings announced late?," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 977-1014, April.
  33. Nguyen, Hung T. & Truong, Cameron, 2018. "When are extreme daily returns not lottery? At earnings announcements!," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 92-116.
  34. Doron Israeli & Ron Kaniel & Suhas A. Sridharan, 2022. "The Real Side of the High-Volume Return Premium," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(2), pages 1426-1449, February.
  35. Charlene P. Spiceland & Leo L. Yang & Joseph H. Zhang, 2016. "Accounting quality, debt covenant design, and the cost of debt," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 47(4), pages 1271-1302, November.
  36. Norio Kitagawa & Akinobu Shuto, 2013. "Credibility of Management Earnings Forecasts and Future Returns," Discussion Paper Series DP2013-30, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
  37. Andy C W Chui & Avanidhar Subrahmanyam & Sheridan Titman, 2022. "Momentum, Reversals, and Investor Clientele [Illiquidity and stock returns: Cross-section and time-series effects]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 26(2), pages 217-255.
  38. Fink, Josef, 2021. "A review of the Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
  39. Hasler, Michael & Ornthanalai, Chayawat, 2018. "Fluctuating attention and financial contagion," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 106-123.
  40. Chen, Yong & Kelly, Bryan & Wu, Wei, 2020. "Sophisticated investors and market efficiency: Evidence from a natural experiment," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(2), pages 316-341.
  41. Claire Y. C. Liang & Rengong Zhang, 2020. "Post-earnings announcement drift and parameter uncertainty: evidence from industry and market news," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 695-738, August.
  42. Li, Zhuo & Wen, Fenghua & Huang, Zhijian James, 2023. "Asymmetric response to earnings news across different sentiment states: The role of cognitive dissonance," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  43. Lensberg, Terje & Schenk-Hoppé, Klaus Reiner & Ladley, Dan, 2015. "Costs and benefits of financial regulation: Short-selling bans and transaction taxes," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 103-118.
  44. Ball, Ray & Brown, Philip, 2019. "Ball and Brown (1968) after fifty years," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 410-431.
  45. Seok, Sang Ik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2019. "Firm-specific investor sentiment and the stock market response to earnings news," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 221-240.
  46. Kumar, Nitish & Mullally, Kevin & Ray, Sugata & Tang, Yuehua, 2020. "Prime (information) brokerage," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(2), pages 371-391.
  47. Pham, Mia Hang, 2020. "In law we trust: Lawyer CEOs and stock liquidity," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
  48. Han, Yufeng & Hu, Ou & Huang, Zhaodan, 2023. "A tale of idiosyncratic volatility and illiquidity shocks: Their correlation and effects on stock returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
  49. Yifan Li & Alexander Nekrasov & Siew Hong Teoh, 2020. "Opportunity knocks but once: delayed disclosure of financial items in earnings announcements and neglect of earnings news," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 159-200, March.
  50. Ni, Xiaoran & Wang, Ye & Yin, David, 2021. "Does Modern Information Technology Attenuate Managerial Information Hoarding? Evidence from the EDGAR Implementation," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  51. Shyu, Yih-Wen & Chan, Kam C. & Liang, Hsin-Yu, 2018. "Spillovers of price efficiency and informed trading from short sales to margin purchases in absence of uptick rule," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 163-183.
  52. Graham, John R. & Grennan, Jillian & Harvey, Campbell R. & Rajgopal, Shivaram, 2022. "Corporate culture: Evidence from the field," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(2), pages 552-593.
  53. Sumit Agarwal & Wenlan Qian & Xin Zou, 2021. "Disaggregated Sales and Stock Returns," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(11), pages 7167-7183, November.
  54. Hsiu-Lang Chen, 2018. "Information diffusion of upstream and downstream industry-wide earnings surprises and its implications," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 51(3), pages 751-784, October.
  55. James P. Ryans, 2021. "Textual classification of SEC comment letters," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 37-80, March.
  56. Kelley Bergsma & Andy Fodor & Vijay Singal & Jitendra Tayal, 2020. "Option trading after the opening bell and intraday stock return predictability," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 49(3), pages 769-804, September.
  57. Chakrabarty, Bidisha & Moulton, Pamela C. & Wang, Xu (Frank), 2022. "Attention: How high-frequency trading improves price efficiency following earnings announcements," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
  58. Alexander P. Paton & Damien Cannavan & Stephen Gray & Khoa Hoang, 2020. "Analyst versus model‐based earnings forecasts: implied cost of capital applications," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 60(4), pages 4061-4092, December.
  59. Lof, Matthijs & van Bommel, Jos, 2023. "Asymmetric information and the distribution of trading volume," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  60. Jacob Thomas & Frank Zhang & Wei Zhu, 2021. "Dark Trading and Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(12), pages 7785-7811, December.
  61. Huang, Shiyang & Liu, Xin & Yin, Chengxi, 2019. "Investor target prices," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 39-57.
  62. Constantinos Antoniou & Emilios C. Galariotis & Daniel Read, 2014. "Ambiguity Aversion, Company Size and the Pricing of Earnings Forecasts," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 20(3), pages 633-651, June.
  63. Li, Zhaochu & Lytvynenko, Iryna P., 2021. "Currency fluctuations and the post-earnings announcement drift," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
  64. Jeffery Abarbanell & Hyungshin Park, 2017. "Do Bright-Line Earnings Surprises Really Affect Stock Price Reactions?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(4), pages 1063-1084, April.
  65. Higgins, Huong, 2013. "Can securities analysts forecast intangible firms’ earnings?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 155-174.
  66. Ramnath, Sundaresh & Rock, Steve & Shane, Philip, 2008. "The financial analyst forecasting literature: A taxonomy with suggestions for further research," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 34-75.
  67. Li, Ken, 2022. "Textual fundamentals in earnings press releases," Advances in accounting, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
  68. Zhuo Li & Meiyu Tian & Guangda Ouyang & Fenghua Wen, 2021. "Relationship between investor sentiment and earnings news in high‐ and low‐sentiment periods," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2748-2765, April.
  69. Han, Yufeng & Huang, Dashan & Huang, Dayong & Zhou, Guofu, 2022. "Expected return, volume, and mispricing," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(3), pages 1295-1315.
  70. Norio Kitagawa & Akinobu Shuto, 2015. "Credibility of management earnings forecasts and future returns," CARF F-Series CARF-F-367, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
  71. Jeffrey T. Doyle & Russell J. Lundholm & Mark T. Soliman, 2006. "The Extreme Future Stock Returns Following I/B/E/S Earnings Surprises," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(5), pages 849-887, December.
  72. Tze Chuan (Chewie) Ang & Tarun Chordia & Vivian Van-Anh Mai & Harminder Singh, 2022. "The Marketing Capability Premium [Formulation and estimation of stochastic frontier production function models]," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 12(4), pages 918-959.
  73. Sean Shun Cao & Ganapathi S. Narayanamoorthy, 2012. "Earnings Volatility, Post–Earnings Announcement Drift, and Trading Frictions," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 50(1), pages 41-74, March.
  74. Mustafa K. Yılmaz & Mine Aksoy & Tankut T. Çelik, 2020. "Market reaction to regulatory policy changes in financial statements filings: evidence from Turkey," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 10(4), pages 567-605, December.
  75. Drummond, Philip A., 2023. "Variable trading hours and market reactions to earnings announcements," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
  76. S. P. Kothari & Charles Wasley, 2019. "Commemorating the 50‐Year Anniversary of Ball and Brown (1968): The Evolution of Capital Market Research over the Past 50 Years," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(5), pages 1117-1159, December.
  77. Cao, Zhengyu & Wang, Rundong & Xiao, Xinrong & Yin, Chengxi, 2023. "Disseminating information across connected firms — Analyst site visits can help," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 510-531.
  78. Jacobs, Heiko, 2015. "What explains the dynamics of 100 anomalies?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 65-85.
  79. Truong, Cameron, 2011. "Post-earnings announcement abnormal return in the Chinese equity market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(5), pages 637-661.
  80. Borochin, Paul, 2020. "The information content of real operating performance measures from the airline industry," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
  81. Sanjay Sehgal & Kumar Bijoy, 2015. "Stock Price Reactions to Earnings Announcements: Evidence from India," Vision, , vol. 19(1), pages 25-36, March.
  82. Neszveda, Gábor & Csillag, Balázs, 2022. "Gyorsjelentés - lassú árfolyam? A gyorsjelentés utáni árfolyamsodródás vizsgálata a magyar részvénypiacon [Post-earnings announcement drift on the Hungarian stock market]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(7), pages 801-824.
  83. Bartram, Söhnke M. & Grinblatt, Mark, 2021. "Global market inefficiencies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(1), pages 234-259.
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  85. Zhaobo Zhu & Licheng Sun & Chris Stivers, 2021. "Price anchors and short‐term reversals," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 50(2), pages 425-454, June.
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  87. Wang, Qingxia & Faff, Robert & Zhu, Min, 2022. "Realized moments and the cross-sectional stock returns around earnings announcements," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 408-427.
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  131. Patrick Bielstein, 2018. "International asset allocation using the market implied cost of capital," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 32(1), pages 17-51, February.
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