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Do House Prices Reflect Fundamentals? Aggregate and Panel Data Evidence

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Cited by:

  1. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hesam Ghodsi & Muris Hadzic, 2021. "On the Link between House Prices and House Permits: Asymmetric Evidence from 51 States of the United States of America," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 24(3), pages 323-361.
  2. Makojević Nikola & Veselinović Petar & Kalinić Ljubina, 2015. "Can a Multinational Company Create a Real Estate “Bubble” at the Local Level? The Case of Fiat and City of Kragujevac," Economic Themes, Sciendo, vol. 53(4), pages 519-534, December.
  3. Petra Posedel & Maruška Vizek, 2011. "Are House Prices Characterized by Threshold Effects? Evidence from Developed and Post-Transition Countries," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 61(6), pages 584-600, December.
  4. MeiChi Huang, 2017. "Vulnerabilities to housing bubbles: Evidence from linkages between housing prices and income fundamentals," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 20(1), pages 64-91, March.
  5. Christophe Andr頍 & Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta, 2014. "Testing for persistence in housing price-to-income and price-to-rent ratios in 16 OECD countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(18), pages 2127-2138, June.
  6. Hillis, Holly & Karwowski, Nicole, 2025. "The Impact of Conservation Easements on Housing Prices in US Counties," 2025 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2025, Denver, CO 361122, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
  7. Brzezicka Justyna, 2022. "The Application of the Simplified Speculative Frame Method for Monitoring the Development of the Housing Market," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 30(1), pages 84-98, March.
  8. David C. Ling & Joseph T.L. Ooi & Thao T.T. Le, 2015. "Explaining House Price Dynamics: Isolating the Role of Nonfundamentals," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(S1), pages 87-125, March.
  9. Yuming Li & Jing Yang, 2018. "House Price Dynamics and Excess Risk," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 21(2), pages 251-274.
  10. Rui Lin & Xin Zhang & Xiuting Li & Jichang Dong, 2015. "Heterogeneous convergence of regional house prices and the complexity in China," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 33(2), pages 325-348.
  11. Kouwenberg, Roy & Zwinkels, Remco, 2014. "Forecasting the US housing market," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 415-425.
  12. Karolien De Bruyne & Jan Van Hove, 2013. "Explaining the spatial variation in housing prices: an economic geography approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(13), pages 1673-1689, May.
  13. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Gupta, Rangan & Gogas, Periklis & Papadimitriou, Theophilos, 2015. "Forecasting the U.S. real house price index," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 259-267.
  14. Yong Liu & Hans Peter H Arp & Xiaodong Song & Yu Song, 2017. "Research on the relationship between urban form and urban smog in China," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 44(2), pages 328-342, March.
  15. Nan-Kuang Chen & Han-Liang Cheng, 2017. "House price to income ratio and fundamentals: Evidence on long-horizon forecastability," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(3), pages 293-311, August.
  16. Roddy Allan & Ervi Liusman & Teddy Lu & Desmond Tsang, 2021. "The COVID-19 Pandemic and Commercial Property Rent Dynamics," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-24, August.
  17. Basse, Tobias & Desmyter, Steven & Saft, Danilo & Wegener, Christoph, 2023. "Leading indicators for the US housing market: New empirical evidence and thoughts about implications for risk managers and ESG investors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  18. Kruse-Becher, Robinson & Letixerant, Philip, 2025. "Oil price expectations in explosive phases," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
  19. Tie-Ying Liu & Hsu-Ling Chang & Chi-Wei Su & Xu-Zhao Jiang, 2016. "China's housing bubble burst?," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 24(2), pages 361-389, April.
  20. Gueye, Ghislain Nono, 2021. "Pitfalls in the cointegration analysis of housing prices with the macroeconomy: Evidence from OECD countries," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
  21. Efthymios Pavlidis & Alisa Yusupova & Ivan Paya & David Peel & Enrique Martínez-García & Adrienne Mack & Valerie Grossman, 2016. "Episodes of Exuberance in Housing Markets: In Search of the Smoking Gun," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 53(4), pages 419-449, November.
  22. Ge Gao & Xinyue Ye & Shoujia Li & Xiao Huang & Huan Ning & David Retchless & Zhenlong Li, 2024. "Exploring flood mitigation governance by estimating first-floor elevation via deep learning and google street view in coastal Texas," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 51(2), pages 296-313, February.
  23. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Seyed Hesam Ghodsi, 2019. "On the Link between Value of the Dollar and Housing Production in the U.S.: Evidence from State Level Data," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 22(2), pages 231-274.
  24. MeiChi Huang, 2022. "Time‐varying roles of housing risk factors in state‐level housing markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4660-4683, October.
  25. Mantu Kumar Mahalik & Hrushikesh Mallick, 2011. "What Causes Asset Price Bubble in an Emerging Economy? Some Empirical Evidence in the Housing Sector of India," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2), pages 215-237.
  26. Zhang, Yanbing & Hua, Xiuping & Zhao, Liang, 2012. "Exploring determinants of housing prices: A case study of Chinese experience in 1999–2010," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2349-2361.
  27. Martí Ballester, Carmen Pilar, 2013. "Determinants of equity pension plan flows," Economics Discussion Papers 2013-15, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
  28. J. R. Kim & K. Chung, 2014. "Regime switching and the (in)stability of the price-rent relationship: evidence from the US," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(33), pages 4041-4052, November.
  29. Svein Olav Krakstad, 2015. "Long-Run Movements in House Prices," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 18(4), pages 429-454.
  30. Ren, Yu & Xiong, Cong & Yuan, Yufei, 2012. "House price bubbles in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 786-800.
  31. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Wu, Tsung-Pao, 2018. "Housing prices and real effective exchange rates in 18 OECD countries: A bootstrap multivariate panel Granger causality," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 119-126.
  32. Zhang, Yanbing & Hua, Xiuping & Zhao, Liang, 2011. "Monetary policy and housing prices : a case study of Chinese experience in 1999-2010," BOFIT Discussion Papers 17/2011, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
  33. Katharina Pijnenburg, 2013. "The Spatial Dimension of US House Price Developments," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1270, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
  34. Rosa Drift & Jan Haan & Peter Boelhouwer, 2024. "Forecasting House Prices through Credit Conditions: A Bayesian Approach," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(6), pages 3381-3405, December.
  35. Kim, Jan R. & Lim, Gieyoung, 2016. "Fundamentals and rational bubbles in the Korean housing market: A modified present-value approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 174-181.
  36. Huang, MeiChi, 2014. "Bubble-like housing boom–bust cycles: Evidence from the predictive power of households’ expectations," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(1), pages 2-16.
  37. MeiChi Huang, 2021. "Regime switches and permanent changes in impacts of housing risk factors on MSA‐level housing returns," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 310-342, January.
  38. Huseyin Karamelikli, 2016. "Linear and nonlinear dynamics of housing price in Turkey," Ekonomia journal, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw, vol. 46.
  39. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-473 is not listed on IDEAS
  40. Fabozzi, Frank J. & Xiao, Keli, 2017. "Explosive rents: The real estate market dynamics in exuberance," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 100-107.
  41. Sofoklis Vogiazas & Constantinos Alexiou, 2017. "Determinants of Housing Prices and Bubble Detection: Evidence from Seven Advanced Economies," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 45(1), pages 119-131, March.
  42. Xi Chen & Michael Funke, 2013. "Real-Time Warning Signs of Emerging and Collapsing Chinese House Price Bubbles," National Institute Economic Review, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, vol. 223(1), pages 39-48, February.
  43. Tsai, I-Chun & Chiang, Shu-Hen, 2019. "Exuberance and spillovers in housing markets: Evidence from first- and second-tier cities in China," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 75-86.
  44. Xiaoping Zhou & Zhenyang Qin & Yingjie Zhang & Linyi Zhao & Yan Song, 2019. "Quantitative Estimation and Spatiotemporal Characteristic Analysis of Price Deviation in China's Housing Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(24), pages 1-28, December.
  45. Christian Pierdzioch, 2012. "Macroeconomic Factors and the German Real Estate Market: A Stock-Market-Based Forecasting Experiment," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 2, pages 87-96, May.
  46. Mao, Guangyu & Shen, Yan, 2019. "Bubbles or fundamentals? Modeling provincial house prices in China allowing for cross-sectional dependence," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 53-64.
  47. André K. Anundsen, 2019. "Detecting Imbalances in House Prices: What Goes Up Must Come Down?," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 121(4), pages 1587-1619, October.
  48. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Ghodsi, Seyed Hesam, 2018. "Asymmetric causality between the U.S. housing market and its stock market: Evidence from state level data," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 1-1.
  49. Huang, MeiChi & Chiang, Hsiu-Hsuan, 2017. "An early alarm system for housing bubbles," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 34-49.
  50. Zhang, Yanbing & Hua, Xiuping & Zhao, Liang, 2011. "Monetary policy and housing prices: a case study of Chinese experience in 1999-2010," BOFIT Discussion Papers 17/2011, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
  51. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Rangan Gupta & Fernando Perez de Gracia, 2016. "Persistence, mean reversion and non-linearities in the US housing prices over 1830--2013," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(34), pages 3244-3252, July.
  52. Nichols, Joseph B. & Oliner, Stephen D. & Mulhall, Michael R., 2013. "Swings in commercial and residential land prices in the United States," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 57-76.
  53. Theodore Panagiotidis & Panagiotis Printzis, 2016. "On the macroeconomic determinants of the housing market in Greece: a VECM approach," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 387-409, July.
  54. Zhang Jing & de Jong Robert & Haurin Donald, 2016. "Are US real house prices stationary? New evidence from univariate and panel data," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(1), pages 1-18, February.
  55. Engerstam, Sviatlana, 2020. "Macroeconomic determinants of apartment prices in Swedish and German cities," Working Paper Series 20/2, Royal Institute of Technology, Department of Real Estate and Construction Management & Banking and Finance.
  56. Nazif Durmaz, 2011. "Housing Prices and Fundamentals: The Role of a Supply Shifter," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(3), pages 2468-2479.
  57. Carmen Pilar Martí Ballester, 2014. "Determinants of equity pension plan flows," Estudios de Economia, University of Chile, Department of Economics, vol. 41(1 Year 20), pages 125-148, June.
  58. Goodness C. Aye & Rangan Gupta, 2013. "Forecasting Real House Price of the U.S.: An Analysis Covering 1890 to 2012," Working Papers 201362, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  59. Marfatia Hardik A., 2021. "Modeling House Price Synchronization across the U.S. States and their Time-Varying Macroeconomic Linkages," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 13(1), pages 73-117, January.
  60. Genesove, David & Han, Lu, 2012. "Search and matching in the housing market," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(1), pages 31-45.
  61. Ivan Nikoliæ, 2015. "Price determinants of newly built dwelling in Serbia," Working papers 29, National Bank of Serbia.
  62. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Seyed Hesam Ghodsi, 2018. "Link between Housing and Stock Markets: Evidence from OECD Using Asymmetry Analysis," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 21(4), pages 447-471.
  63. Alberto Madrid & Luis A. Hierro, 2015. "Burbujas especulativas: el estado de una cuestión poco estudiada," Cuadernos de Economía - Spanish Journal of Economics and Finance, Asociación Cuadernos de Economía, vol. 38(108), pages 123-138, Septiembr.
  64. Gao, Andre & Lin, Zhenguo & Na, Carrie Fangzhou, 2009. "Housing market dynamics: Evidence of mean reversion and downward rigidity," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 256-266, September.
  65. Chelghoum, Amirouche & Boumimez, Fayçal & Alsamara, Mouyad, 2025. "Factors influencing asymmetries in Saudi Arabia's housing market," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
  66. Maryam Akbari Nasiri, 2020. "How long do Housing Cycles Last? A Duration Analysis for Emerging Economies," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 23(2), pages 179-200, July.
  67. Katharina Pijnenburg, 2017. "The spatial dimension of US house prices," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 54(2), pages 466-481, February.
  68. Carmen Silva & Camilo Vio, 2015. "Housing prices and macroeconomic factors: evidence from Chile," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 18(1), pages 4-24, April.
  69. Li, Yuming, 2015. "The asymmetric house price dynamics: Evidence from the California market," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 1-12.
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  71. Zhang, Hao & Huang, Yuyuan & Yao, Haixiang, 2016. "Heterogeneous expectation, beliefs evolution and house price volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 409-418.
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  73. Katharina Pijnenburg, 2014. "The Spatial Dimension of US House Price Developments," ERSA conference papers ersa14p127, European Regional Science Association.
  74. Anastasia S. Saridou & Athanasios P. Vavatsikos & Evangelos Grigoroudis, 2025. "Spatial multicriteria customer satisfaction analysis: the case of the single-store retailer," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 25(3), pages 1-34, September.
  75. Michael Berlemann & Julia Freese & Sven Knoth, 2020. "Dating the start of the US house price bubble: an application of statistical process control," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 2287-2307, May.
  76. Kim, Young Se & Rous, Jeffrey J., 2012. "House price convergence: Evidence from US state and metropolitan area panels," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 169-186.
  77. Michael Berlemann & Julia Freese & Sven Knoth, 2012. "Eyes Wide Shut? The U.S. House Market Bubble through the Lense of Statistical Process Control," Working Paper 124/2012, Helmut Schmidt University, Hamburg.
  78. Marsha J. Courchane & Cynthia Holmes, 2014. "Bubble, Bubble ¡V Is there House Price Trouble -- in Canada?," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 17(1), pages 109-135.
  79. Damen, Sven & Vastmans, Frank & Buyst, Erik, 2016. "The effect of mortgage interest deduction and mortgage characteristics on house prices," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 15-29.
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