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Forecasting the demand for an employee Park and Ride service using commuters’ stated choices

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  • Arne Risa Hole

    (University of St Andrews)

Abstract

This paper uses Stated Choice (SC) data to forecast the demand for an employee Park and Ride service. Since it is well known that SC data contain sources of variation not present in Revealed Preference (RP) data we pay special attention to the scaling of the SC model. The results show that the modal shift away from parking-on site will be small unless the new service is accompanied by measures aimed at making parking on-site less attractive such as introducing parking charges.

Suggested Citation

  • Arne Risa Hole, 2003. "Forecasting the demand for an employee Park and Ride service using commuters’ stated choices," Urban/Regional 0312002, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 12 Apr 2004.
    • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpur:0312002
    Note: Type of Document - ; prepared on WinXP; to print on LaserJet IIIp; pages: 29
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shoup, Donald C., 1997. "The High Cost of Free Parking," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt4vz087cc, University of California Transportation Center.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Andisheh Ranjbari & Yi-Chang Chiu & Mark Hickman, 2017. "Exploring factors affecting demand for possible future intercity transit options," Public Transport, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 463-481, July.
    2. Ahmad Nazrul Hakimi Ibrahim & Muhamad Nazri Borhan & Riza Atiq O.K. Rahmat, 2020. "Understanding Users’ Intention to Use Park-and-Ride Facilities in Malaysia: The Role of Trust as a Novel Construct in the Theory of Planned Behaviour," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-14, March.
    3. Norlida Hamid, 2009. "Utilization patterns of park and ride facilities among Kuala Lumpur commuters," Transportation, Springer, vol. 36(3), pages 295-307, May.
    4. Fei Yang & Lin Chen & Yang Cheng & Zhenxing Yao & Xu Zhang, 2015. "Urban public transport choice behavior analysis and service improvement policy-making: a case study from the metropolitan city, Chengdu, China," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(4), pages 806-816, April.
    5. Hess, Stephane & Hensher, David A. & Daly, Andrew, 2012. "Not bored yet – Revisiting respondent fatigue in stated choice experiments," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 626-644.
    6. Zhang, Jie & Wang, David Z.W. & Meng, Meng, 2018. "Which service is better on a linear travel corridor: Park & ride or on-demand public bus?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 803-818.
    7. Angela De Carlo & Angela Stefania Bergantino & Andrea Morone, 2013. "Experiments in transport related choices: the influence of risk and uncertainty in determining workers' behaviour with respect to parking alternatives," ERSA conference papers ersa13p407, European Regional Science Association.
    8. Elżbieta Macioszek & Agata Kurek, 2020. "The Use of a Park and Ride System—A Case Study Based on the City of Cracow (Poland)," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-26, July.
    9. Van Malderen, Laurent & Jourquin, Bart & Pecheux, Claude & Thomas, Isabelle & Van De Vijver, Elien & Vanoutrive, Thomas & Verhetsel, Ann & Witlox, Frank, 2013. "Exploring the profession of mobility manager in Belgium and their impact on commuting," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 46-55.
    10. Van Malderen, Laurent & Jourquin, Bart & Thomas, Isabelle & Vanoutrive, Thomas & Verhetsel, Ann & Witlox, Frank, 2012. "On the mobility policies of companies: What are the good practices? The Belgian case," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 10-19.
    11. Laurent Van Malderen & Bart Jourquin & Isabelle Thomas & Thomas Vanoutrive & Ann Verhetsel & Frank Witlox, 2011. "Employer Mobility Plans: Acceptability, Efficiency And Costs," ERSA conference papers ersa10p291, European Regional Science Association.
    12. Irfan Ahmed Memon & Saima Kalwar & Noman Sahito & Mir Aftab Hussain Talpur & Imtiaz Ahmed Chandio & Madzlan Napiah & Hasan Tayyeb, 2021. "Mode Choice Modeling to Shift Car Travelers towards Park and Ride Service in the City Centre of Karachi," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-26, May.
    13. Andrew Daly & Stephane Hess & Christine Eckert, 2013. "Workshop report: working with repeated choice data," Chapters, in: Stephane Hess & Andrew Daly (ed.), Choice Modelling, chapter 4, pages 91-106, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    14. Mingardo, Giuliano, 2013. "Transport and environmental effects of rail-based Park and Ride: evidence from the Netherlands," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 7-16.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Travel plan; Stated choice; Forecasting; Scale factor;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise

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