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Testing Efficiency And The Unbiasedness Hypothesis Of The Emerging Greek Futures Market

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  • Dimitris Kenourgios

    (Athens University of Economics & Business)

Abstract

This paper investigates the joint hypothesis of market efficiency and unbiasedness of futures prices for the FTSE-20 blue chip index futures contract. The FTSE/ATHENS STOCK EXCHANGE (ASE)-20 futures market is the first organized derivatives market established in Greece and its operation rests with the Athens Derivatives Exchange (ADEX) and the Athens Derivatives Exchange Clearing House (ADECH). The growing importance of this new market for both investors and the Greek capital market motivated this empirical examination of its efficiency, even though it is an emerging market with low liquidity, compared to other European developed futures markets, but strong growth rates. The Johansen cointegration procedure used to test the market efficiency shows that the joint hypothesis of market efficiency and unbiasedness in futures prices is rejected, indicating market inefficiency. This finding is consistent to earlier but limited studies in other European emerging futures markets, implying that, despite the significant role of an organized futures/derivatives market for a capital market and an economy more general, further necessary steps have to be taken in order to contribute to its efficiency.

Suggested Citation

  • Dimitris Kenourgios, 2005. "Testing Efficiency And The Unbiasedness Hypothesis Of The Emerging Greek Futures Market," Finance 0512015, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpfi:0512015
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    Cited by:

    1. Shackleton, Mark B. & Voukelatos, Nikolaos, 2013. "Hedging efficiency in the Greek options market before and after the financial crisis of 2008," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 1-18.
    2. Fassas, Athanasios P. & Siriopoulos, Costas, 2019. "Intraday price discovery and volatility spillovers in an emerging market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 333-346.
    3. Apostolakis, George N. & Floros, Christos & Gkillas, Konstantinos & Wohar, Mark, 2021. "Political uncertainty, COVID-19 pandemic and stock market volatility transmission," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    4. Piyapas Tharavanij, 2017. "Unbiasedness Hypothesis and Efficiency Test of Thai Stock Index Futures," SAGE Open, , vol. 7(2), pages 21582440177, April.
    5. Manolis G. Kavussanos & Ilias D. Visvikis, 2011. "The Predictability of Non-Overlapping Forecasts: Evidence from a New Market," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 15(1-2), pages 125-156, March - J.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Market efficiency; Unbiasedness hypothesis; Athens Derivatives Exchange; FTSE/ASE-20 futures market;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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