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Dealing with Dutch Disease

  • Milan Brahmbhatt
  • Otaviano Canuto
  • Ekaterina Vostroknutova

This note looks at so-called Dutch disease, a phenomenon reflecting changes in the structure of production in the wake of a favorable shock (such as a large natural resource discovery, a rise in the international price of an exportable commodity, or the presence of sustained aid or capital inflows). Where the natural resources discovered are oil or minerals, a contraction or stagnation of manufacturing and agriculture could accompany the positive effects of the shock, according to the theory. The note considers channels through which such natural resource wealth can affect the economy. It also focuses on the development implications of Dutch disease, particularly the potential negative effects related to productivity dynamics and volatility; and concludes with a summary of possible policy responses, including the mix of fiscal, exchange rate, and structural reform policies.

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Paper provided by The World Bank in its series World Bank Other Operational Studies with number 10174.

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Date of creation: Jun 2010
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Handle: RePEc:wbk:wboper:10174
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  6. Budina, Nina & Pang, Gaobo & van Wijnbergen, Sweder, 2007. "Nigeria's growth record : Dutch disease or debt overhang ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4256, The World Bank.
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  17. Giavazzi, Francesco & Sheen, Jeff R & Wyplosz, Charles, 1988. "The Real Exchange Rate and the Fiscal Aspects of a Natural Resource Discovery," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 40(3), pages 427-50, September.
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  22. repec:idb:brikps:59538 is not listed on IDEAS
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