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Economy-Wide Impacts of Climate Change: A Joint Analysis for Sea Level Rise and Tourism

Author

Listed:
  • Roberto Roson

    () (Department of Economics, University Of Venice C� Foscari)

  • Francesco Bosello

    () (Department of Economics, University of Milan)

  • Andrea Bigano

    () (Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei)

  • Richard S.J. Tol

    () (Economic and Social Research Institute, Dublin)

Abstract

While climate change impacts on human life have well defined and different origins, the interactions among the diverse impacts are not yet fully understood. Their final effects, however, especially those involving social-economic responses, are likely to play an important role. This paper is one of the first attempts to disentangle and highlight the role of these interactions. It focuses on the economic assessment of two specific climate change impacts: sea-level rise and changes in tourism flows. By using a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model the two impacts categories are first analysed separately and then jointly. Considered separately, in 2050, the forecasted 25 cm. of sea level rise imply a GDP loss ranging from (-) 0.1% in South East Asia to almost no loss in Canada, while redistribution of tourism flows - which in terms of arrivals favours Western Europe, Japan, Korea and Canada and penalises all the other world regions - triggers GDP losses ranging from (-) 0.5% in Small Island States to (-) 0.0004% in Canada. GDP gainers are Australia, New Zealand, Western Europe, Middle East and South Asia.

Suggested Citation

  • Roberto Roson & Francesco Bosello & Andrea Bigano & Richard S.J. Tol, 2008. "Economy-Wide Impacts of Climate Change: A Joint Analysis for Sea Level Rise and Tourism," Working Papers 2008_06, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
  • Handle: RePEc:ven:wpaper:2008_06
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    Cited by:

    1. Roberto Roson & Martina Sartori, 2016. "Estimation of Climate Change Damage Functions for 140 Regions in the GTAP 9 Database," Journal of Global Economic Analysis, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, vol. 1(2), pages 78-115, December.
    2. Ochuodho, Thomas O. & Lantz, Van A. & Olale, Edward, 2016. "Economic impacts of climate change considering individual, additive, and simultaneous changes in forest and agriculture sectors in Canada: A dynamic, multi-regional CGE model analysis," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 43-51.
    3. Bosello, Francesco & Eboli, Fabio & Parrado, Ramiro & Nunes, Paulo A.L.D. & Ding, Helen & Rosa, Renato, 2011. "The economic assessment of changes in ecosystem services: and application of the CGE methodology," Economia Agraria y Recursos Naturales, Spanish Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 11(1).
    4. Gabriele Standardi & Francesco Bosello & Fabio Eboli, 2014. "A Sub-national CGE Model for Italy," Working Papers 2014.04, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    5. Ochuodho, T.O. & Lantz, V.A. & Lloyd-Smith, P. & Benitez, P., 2012. "Regional economic impacts of climate change and adaptation in Canadian forests: A CGE modeling analysis," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 100-112.
    6. Monge, Juan J. & Bryant, Henry L. & Gan, Jianbang & Richardson, James W., 2016. "Land use and general equilibrium implications of a forest-based carbon sequestration policy in the United States," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 102-120.
    7. Roberto Roson & Martina Sartori, 2012. "Climate Change, Tourism and Water Resources in the Mediterranean:a General Equilibrium Analysis," Working Papers 2012_05, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    8. Stasinopoulos, Georgios, 2009. "Economic impacts of climate change on cities: A survey of the existing literature," HWWI Policy Papers 1-18, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
    9. Thomas Schinko & Judith Köberl & Franz Prettenthaler & Birgit Bednar-Friedl & Christoph Töglhofer & Georg Heinrich & Andreas Gobiet, 2013. "Climate Change and the Austrian Tourism Sector: Impacts, Adaptation and Macroeconomic Spillover Effects," EcoMod2013 5601, EcoMod.
    10. Roberto Roson & Martina Sartori, 2012. "Climate Change Impacts on Tourism in the Mediterranean," EcoMod2012 4624, EcoMod.
    11. Roberto Roson & Martina Sartori, 2016. "Climate change damage (or, more correctly, impact) functions relate variations in temperature (or other climate variables) to economic impacts in various dimensions, and are at the basis of quantitati," IEFE Working Papers 86, IEFE, Center for Research on Energy and Environmental Economics and Policy, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    12. repec:dau:papers:123456789/7780 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. repec:eee:appene:v:195:y:2017:i:c:p:556-571 is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Richard S. J. Tol & Robert J. Nicholls & Sally Brown & Jochen Hinkel & Athanasios T. Vafeidis & Tom Spencer & Mark Schuerch, 2016. "Comment on ‘The Global Impacts of Extreme Sea-Level Rise: A Comprehensive Economic Assessment’," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 64(2), pages 341-344, June.
    15. Yoshiro Tsutsui, 2011. "Weather and Individual Happiness," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business 11-01-Rev, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics and Osaka School of International Public Policy (OSIPP), revised Mar 2012.
    16. Andrea Bigano & Jacqueline M. Hamilton & Richard S.J. Tol, 2008. "Climate Change and Tourism in the Mediterranean," Working Papers FNU-157, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University, revised Feb 2008.
    17. Anup K. C. & Resham Thapa Parajuli, 2014. "Tourism and its impact on livelihood in Manaslu conservation area, Nepal," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 16(5), pages 1053-1063, October.
    18. Bosello, Francesco & De Cian, Enrica, 2014. "Climate change, sea level rise, and coastal disasters. A review of modeling practices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 593-605.
    19. Karen Fisher-Vanden & Ian Sue Wing & Elisa Lanzi & David Popp, 2013. "Modeling climate change feedbacks and adaptation responses: recent approaches and shortcomings," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 117(3), pages 481-495, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate change; Sea level rise; Tourism; Computable General Equilibrium Models;

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • Q25 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Water

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