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Interpreting bargaining strategies of developing countries in climate negotiations – A quantitative approach


  • Valeria Costantini

    () (Department of Economics, Roma Tre University, Rome (Italy))

  • Giorgia Sforna

    () (Department of Economics, Roma Tre University, Rome (Italy))

  • Mariangela Zoli

    () (Department of Economics and Finance, University of Tor Vergata (Italy))


Despite the efforts made during the last climate conferences (COPs), countries participating in the negotiation process are still far from reaching an agreement on the implementation of a new Post-Kyoto climate regime. The growing role played by developing countries in negotiations is one of the main causes behind the deadlock. Further attention should therefore be paid to the composition of the coalitions formed by developing countries in order to better understand the key structural features driving their bargaining positions. By applying a cluster analysis, this paper aims to investigate the role played by heterogeneity in specific characteristics of developing countries in forming bargaining coalitions in climate negotiation. By clustering developing countries according to their economic, geographic, environmental, energy and social characteristics, the paper presents some considerations on climate political economy strategies in these countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Valeria Costantini & Giorgia Sforna & Mariangela Zoli, 2015. "Interpreting bargaining strategies of developing countries in climate negotiations – A quantitative approach," SEEDS Working Papers 1215, SEEDS, Sustainability Environmental Economics and Dynamics Studies, revised Jul 2015.
  • Handle: RePEc:srt:wpaper:1215

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Wu, Qiyan & Zhang, Xiaoling & Sun, Jingwei & Ma, Zhifei & Zhou, Chen, 2016. "Locked post-fossil consumption of urban decentralized solar photovoltaic energy: A case study of an on-grid photovoltaic power supply community in Nanjing, China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 1-11.

    More about this item


    Climate negotiations; Developing countries; Vulnerability; Cluster analysis; Climate models;

    JEL classification:

    • O19 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth

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