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Economic outlook for the euro area

Listed author(s):
  • Georg Feigl

    (Institute of Anatomy)

  • Markus Marterbauer
  • Miriam Rehm
  • Matthias Schnetzer
  • Sepp Zuckerstätter
  • Lars Andersen
  • Thea Nissen
  • Signe Dahl
  • Peter Hohlfeld
  • Benjamin Lojak
  • Thomas Theobald
  • Achim Truger
  • null null

    (Macroeconomic Policy Institute (IMK))

  • Guillaume Allegre

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Céline Antonin

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Christophe Blot

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Jérôme Creel

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Bruno Ducoudre

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Paul Hubert

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Sabine Lebayon
  • Sandrine Levasseur

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Hélène Périvier

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Raul Sampognaro

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Aurélien Saussay

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Vincent Touze

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Sébastien Villemot

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

  • Xavier Timbeau

    (Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques)

While a Grexit was avoided in the summer 2015, the same was not true for a Brexit, as on 23 June 2016 British voters chose to leave the EU. This should, however, be a slow process since the United Kingdom and the European Union have a period of two years following notification by the British government of its decision to implement Article 50 of the Treaty on the European Union to come to an agreement specifying the conditions for withdrawal. This is triggering a new political crisis in Europe that will have long-term implications, as the agreement will redefine not only trade relations between the EU and UK but also the conditions governing the movement of people.

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File URL: http://spire.sciencespo.fr/hdl:/2441/7nrhkqocnt84kqofcbs87jqkdr/resources/1-201701economicoutlookfortheeuroarea.pdf
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Paper provided by Sciences Po in its series Sciences Po publications with number info:hdl:2441/7nrhkqocnt84kqofcbs87jqkdr.

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Date of creation: Dec 2016
Publication status: Published in Revue de l'OFCE, 2016, vol. IAGS, pp.31-55
Handle: RePEc:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/7nrhkqocnt84kqofcbs87jqkdr
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.sciencespo.fr/

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  1. Christina D. Romer & David H. Romer, 2004. "A New Measure of Monetary Shocks: Derivation and Implications," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 94(4), pages 1055-1084, September.
  2. Martin Larch & Alessandro Turrini, 2010. "The cyclically adjusted budget balance in EU fiscal policymaking," Intereconomics: Review of European Economic Policy, Springer;German National Library of Economics;Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), vol. 45(1), pages 48-60, January.
  3. Creel, Jérôme & Hubert, Paul & Saraceno, Francesco, 2013. "An assessment of the Stability and Growth Pact reform in a small-scale macro-framework," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 1567-1580.
  4. Achim Truger, 2015. "The Fiscal Compact, Cyclical Adjustment and the Remaining Leeway for Expansionary Fiscal Policies in the Euro Area," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 62(2), pages 157-175, June.
  5. Jing Cynthia Wu & Fan Dora Xia, 2016. "Measuring the Macroeconomic Impact of Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(2-3), pages 253-291, March.
  6. George Psacharopoulos & Harry Anthony Patrinos, 2004. "Returns to investment in education: a further update," Education Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(2), pages 111-134.
  7. Sebastian Gechert & Ansgar Rannenberg, 2014. "Are Fiscal Multipliers Regime-Dependent? A Meta Regression Analysis," IMK Working Paper 139-2014, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
  8. Jérôme Creel & Paola Monperrus-Veroni & Francesco Saraceno, 2009. "On The Long-Term Effects Of Fiscal Policy In The United Kingdom: The Case For A Golden Rule," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 56(5), pages 580-607, November.
  9. Caiani, Alessandro & Godin, Antoine & Caverzasi, Eugenio & Gallegati, Mauro & Kinsella, Stephen & Stiglitz, Joseph E., 2016. "Agent based-stock flow consistent macroeconomics: Towards a benchmark model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 375-408.
  10. Jérôme Creel, 2003. "Ranking Fiscal Policy Rules: the Golden Rule of Public Finance vs. the Stability and Growth Pact," Sciences Po publications 2003-04, Sciences Po.
  11. Gustav A. Horn & Jan Behringer & Alexander Herzog-Stein & Peter Hohlfeld & Katja Rietzler & Sabine Stephan & Thomas Theobald & Silke Tober, 2016. "Aufschwung mit schwächen," IMK Report 118-2016, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
  12. Card, David, 2001. "Estimating the Return to Schooling: Progress on Some Persistent Econometric Problems," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 69(5), pages 1127-1160, September.
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