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The Impact of Typhoons on Economic Activity in the Philippines: Evidence from Nightlight Intensity

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  • Eric Strobl

    (University of Bern)

Abstract

We quantify the economic impact of typhoons in the Philippines. To this end we construct a panel data set of local economic activity derived from nightlight intensity satellite images and a cell level measure of typhoon damage constructed from storm track data, a wind field model, and a stylized damage function. Our econometric results reveal that there is a statistically and potentially economically significant, albeit short- lived, impact of typhoon destruction on local economic activity. Constructing risk profiles from a 60-year historical set of storms suggests that (near) future losses in economic activity for frequent (5-year return period) and rare (50-year return period) events are likely to range from between 1.0% and 2.5%.

Suggested Citation

  • Eric Strobl, 2019. "The Impact of Typhoons on Economic Activity in the Philippines: Evidence from Nightlight Intensity," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 589, Asian Development Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:adbewp:0589
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Preeya Mohan & Eric Strobl, 2021. "The impact of tropical storms on tax revenue," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(3), pages 472-489, April.
    2. Mathews, Shilpita & Surminski, Swenja & Roezer, Viktor, 2021. "The risk of corporate lock-in to future physical climate risks: the case of flood risk in England and Wales," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 112801, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Hazem Krichene & Thomas Vogt & Franziska Piontek & Tobias Geiger & Christof Schötz & Christian Otto, 2023. "The social costs of tropical cyclones," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
    4. Arlan Brucal & Viktor Roezer & Denyse S. Dookie & Rebecca Byrnes & Majah-Leah V. Ravago & Faye Cruz & Gemma Narisma, 2020. "Disaster impacts and financing: Local insights from the Philippines," Department of Economics, Ateneo de Manila University, Working Paper Series 202015, Department of Economics, Ateneo de Manila University.
    5. Etienne Espagne & Yen Boi Ha & Kenneth Houngbedji & Thanh Ngo-Duc, 2022. "Effect of typhoons on economic activities in Vietnam: Evidence using satellite imagery," Working Papers DT/2022/06, DIAL (Développement, Institutions et Mondialisation).
    6. Mathews, Shilpita & Surminski, Swenja & Roezer, Viktor, 2021. "The risk of corporate lock-in to future physical climate risks: the case of flood risk in England and Wales," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 112807, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • O17 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements
    • O44 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Environment and Growth
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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