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Towards Sustainable Growth: Rebuilding the Foundations of the Cyprus Economy

Author

Listed:
  • Leslie G. Manison

    () (Independent Consultant)

  • Savvakis C. Savvides

    () (JDINT’L, Department of Economics, Queen’s University, Canada)

Abstract

Following the severe financial crisis of 2012/2013 and the subsequent contraction of the Cyprus economy, the authors consider the policies and institutional changes required to regenerate economic growth. It is argued that the crisis emanated largely from the wasteful use of investible funds both in the private and public sectors. The authors contend that only a substantial trend increase in quality public and private investments can produce the sustained economic growth necessary to alleviate the very high levels of unemployment and non-performing loans currently afflicting the economy. Subsequent to an analysis of the factors affecting investment performance, policies are proposed for raising productive investments. These should focus on building a capability to source funds and competently appraise and select investment projects, and also to restructure debt-laden, but potentially profitable enterprises. It is proposed that an institution with expertise in project financing, such as a National Development Finance Agency, be established to disentangle the complex web of the outstanding loans of enterprises and ascertain their viability and repayment capability. Furthermore, through a conversion of debt to equity and by attracting new funds this institution should facilitate potentially viable enterprises to undertake investments. In addition the institution should play a key role in the appraisal and financing of major developmental public sector projects and Public Private Partnerships.

Suggested Citation

  • Leslie G. Manison & Savvakis C. Savvides, 2016. "Towards Sustainable Growth: Rebuilding the Foundations of the Cyprus Economy," Development Discussion Papers 2016-07, JDI Executive Programs.
  • Handle: RePEc:qed:dpaper:289
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. repec:bfr:rueban:2017:44 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Savvakis C. Savvides, 2014. "The Pursuit of Economic Development," Journal of Finance and Investment Analysis, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 3(2), pages 1-1.
    3. Matthieu Bussière & Laurent Ferrara & Juliana Milovich, 2017. "Explaining the recent slump in investment: the role of expected demand and uncertainty," Rue de la Banque, Banque de France, issue 44, may..
    4. Savvides, Savvakis C., 1994. "Risk Analysis in Investment Appraisal," MPRA Paper 10035, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Aug 2008.
    5. Jenkins, G.P., 1998. "Evaluation of Stakeholder Impacts in Cost-Benefit Analysis," Papers 631, Harvard - Institute for International Development.
    6. Savvides, Savvakis C., 2000. "Market Analysis and Competitiveness in Project Appraisal," MPRA Paper 9796, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Leslie G. Manison & Savvakis C. Savvides, 2017. "Neglect Private Debt at the Economy’s Peril: Applying Balance Sheet Recession Analysis to the Post Bail-in Cyprus Economy," Development Discussion Papers 2017-06, JDI Executive Programs.
    2. Leslie G. Manison, 2017. "Lack Of Adjustment Of The Cyprus Household Sector: Results From The Eurosystem’S Household Finance And Consumption Surveys," Development Discussion Papers 2017-10, JDI Executive Programs.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Investment-led growth; institutional capability; project evaluation; public comparator analysis; corporate lending; credit risk.;

    JEL classification:

    • D61 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Allocative Efficiency; Cost-Benefit Analysis
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation
    • H43 - Public Economics - - Publicly Provided Goods - - - Project Evaluation; Social Discount Rate

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