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Climate change impacts: Understanding the synergetic interactions using graph computing

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Listed:
  • Halkos, George
  • Tsilika, Kyriaki

Abstract

In this study we provide a computerized graph structure for synthesizing and displaying the data on a region’s ecosystem-economic system. By applying Mathematica-based graph modelling we create a causal network of the synergistic impact mechanism among certain climate related factors. Our computational approach identifies a climate factor that affects most immediately or most strongly the others. Important factors are indicated through the use of graph theoretical tools. Our graph-based approach and its computational aspects allow for factor ranking(s) according to their importance to the network both numerically and visually, for certain settlement types. Our contribution provides quantitative estimates of impacts and adaptation potentials of five potential effects of climate change (migration, flooding- landslides- fire, air and water pollution, human health and energy-water-other resources) which play a substantial role at the synergistic impact mechanism. Results allow having a picture of the structure of synergistic impact mechanism in a glimpse. Specifically, visual output is created to detect i) the causal relationships of the synergetic mechanism under study ii) the most influential factor(s) in the synergistic mechanism and iii) classify the factor’s roles (based on the degree of their impact) within the coping mechanism.

Suggested Citation

  • Halkos, George & Tsilika, Kyriaki, 2016. "Climate change impacts: Understanding the synergetic interactions using graph computing," MPRA Paper 75037, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:75037
    as

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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/75037/1/MPRA_paper_75037.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Amman, Hans M & Kendrick, David A, 1999. "Should Macroeconomic Policy Makers Consider Parameter Covariances?," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 14(3), pages 263-267, December.
    2. Halkos, George & Tsilika, Kyriaki, 2014. "Analyzing and visualizing the synergistic impact mechanisms of climate change related costs," MPRA Paper 55459, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Konstantinos I. Evangelinos & George E. Halkos, 2002. "Implementation Of Environmental Management Systems Standards: Important Factors In Corporate Decision Making," Journal of Environmental Assessment Policy and Management (JEAPM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 4(03), pages 311-328.
    4. Collins, Julie, 2007. "Climate Change and Emissions Trading (Power Point)," 2007 Seminar, August 24, 2007, Wellington, New Zealand 97617, New Zealand Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    5. Amman, Hans M. & Kendrick, David A., 2003. "Mitigation of the Lucas critique with stochastic control methods," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(11-12), pages 2035-2057, September.
    6. Amman, Hans M. & Duraiappah, Anantha Kumar, 2004. "Land tenure and conflict resolution: a game theoretic approach in the Narok district in Kenya," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(3), pages 383-407, July.
    7. Federica Cerina & Zhen Zhu & Alessandro Chessa & Massimo Riccaboni, 2015. "World Input-Output Network," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(7), pages 1-21, July.
    8. Halkos, George & Matsiori, Steriani, 2012. "Determinants of willingness to pay for coastal zone quality improvement," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 41(4), pages 391-399.
    9. I�aki Aldasoro & Ignazio Angeloni, 2015. "Input-output-based measures of systemic importance," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(4), pages 589-606, April.
    10. F. Alkemade & H. M. Amman & J. A. La Poutre, 2002. "The Role of Information in an Electronic Trade Network," Computing in Economics and Finance 2002 376, Society for Computational Economics.
    11. George E. Halkos, 2013. "Exploring the economy -- environment relationship in the case of sulphur emissions," Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(2), pages 159-177, March.
    12. Halkos, George, 2014. "The Economics of Climate Change Policy: Critical review and future policy directions," MPRA Paper 56841, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. George E. Halkos & Konstantinos I. Evangelinos, 2002. "Determinants of environmental management systems standards implementation: evidence from Greek industry," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 11(6), pages 360-375, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Halkos, George & Bampatsou, Christina, 2016. "Driving forces of different productivity models," MPRA Paper 75398, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Halkos, George & Bampatsou, Christina, 2017. "Technical efficiency, productivity change and environmental degradation," MPRA Paper 77176, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Noor-E-Sabiha & Sanzidur Rahman, 2018. "Environment-Smart Agriculture and Mapping of Interactions among Environmental Factors at the Farm Level: A Directed Graph Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-17, May.
    4. Halkos, George & Bampatsou, Christina, 2016. "Investigating the effect of efficiency and technical changes on productivity," MPRA Paper 76287, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Graph theory; vertex centrality; Mathematica; climate related factors; environmental economics computation.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • C88 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Other Computer Software
    • P28 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist and Transition Economies - - - Natural Resources; Environment
    • Q51 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Valuation of Environmental Effects
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy

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