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A discrete time analysis of export duration in Kenya: 1995 -2014

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  • MAJUNE, Socrates

Abstract

The scarcity of studies on export duration in Kenya provide the drive of this study. It looks at the determinants of export duration in Kenya in a discrete-time model. Using HS-6 digit export product-level data between Kenya and 203 partners two major results emerge. First, the median export period in Kenya is one year with only 36% of exports surviving past that period. Secondly, the main determinants of export survival in Kenya are: cost of infrastructure (liner shipping connectivity, air transportation network, cost of export and cost of starting a business), macroeconomic stability (GDP, exchange rates and financial inclusivity), improved governance, labour force, regional membership into East African Community, and membership to AGOA.

Suggested Citation

  • MAJUNE, Socrates, 2015. "A discrete time analysis of export duration in Kenya: 1995 -2014," MPRA Paper 68727, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:68727
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/68727/1/MPRA_paper_68727.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Export duration; Discrete time model; AGOA;

    JEL classification:

    • C35 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions
    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions

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