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Explaining Export Duration in Kenya

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  • Majune Kraido Socrates
  • Eliud Moyi
  • Kamau Gathiaka

Abstract

This study establishes the hazard rate of exports from Kenya and identifies factors that explain the duration of exports using a discrete‐time random effects logit regression model. A difference‐in‐differences estimator is used to assess the effects of AGOA. Export data between Kenya and 176 partners over 21 years (1995–2016) is used. We find that first‐year survival rate is 39%. The median duration of Kenya’s exports is 1 year. AGOA enhances export survival, especially for apparels. COMESA also increases export survival but EAC has a dampening effect, even in SSA region. Differentiated products unlike capital‐intensive products improve export survival.

Suggested Citation

  • Majune Kraido Socrates & Eliud Moyi & Kamau Gathiaka, 2020. "Explaining Export Duration in Kenya," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(2), pages 204-224, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:sajeco:v:88:y:2020:i:2:p:204-224
    DOI: 10.1111/saje.12243
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    1. Konstantīns Beņkovskis & Peter Jarrett & Ze’ev Krill & Oļegs Tkačevs & Naomitsu Yashiro, 2024. "Aim high, shoot low? Product complexity and export survival in Latvia," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 51(1), pages 185-207, February.
    2. Konstantins Benkovskis & Peter Jarrett & Ze'ev Krill & Olegs Tkacevs & Naomitsu Yashiro, 2022. "The Survival of Latvian Products and Firms in Export Markets," Working Papers 2022/02, Latvijas Banka.
    3. Helena Afonso & Sebastian Vergara, 2022. "Exporters in Africa: What Role for Trade Costs?," Journal of African Trade, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 144-158, December.
    4. Kemal Türkcan & Socrates Majune Kraido & Eliud Moyi, 2022. "Export margins and survival: A firm‐level analysis using Kenyan data," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 90(2), pages 149-174, June.
    5. Karel Malec & Socrates Kraido Majune & Elena Kuzmenko & Joseph Phiri & Rahab Liz Masese Nyamoita & Seth Nana Kwame Appiah-Kubi & Mansoor Maitah & Luboš Smutka & Zdeňka Gebeltová & Karel Tomšík & Sylvi, 2023. "Energy Logistic Regression and Survival Model: Case Study of Russian Exports," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(1), pages 1-14, January.
    6. Wen Yue & Qingxia Lin, 2023. "Export duration and firm markups: evidence from China," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-11, December.
    7. Joseph Phiri & Karel Malec & Socrates Kraido Majune & Seth Nana Kwame Appiah-Kubi & Zdeňka Gebeltová & Sylvie Kobzev Kotásková & Mansoor Maitah & Kamil Maitah & Patricia Naluwooza, 2021. "Durability of Zambia’s Agricultural Exports," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-14, January.
    8. Adou, Niango Sika Brice, 2021. "Global Value Chain in West Africa, does trade facilitation matters?," Conference papers 333257, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    9. Majune, Socrates Kraido & Türkcan, Kemal, 2022. "COVID-19 vs. GFC: A firm-level trade margins analysis using Kenyan data," WTO Staff Working Papers ERSD-2022-6, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division.
    10. Kwabena Nkansah & Paul Owusu Takyi & Daniel Sakyi & Frank Adusah-Poku, 2022. "Economic Integration Agreements and Export Survival in Ghana," Journal of African Trade, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
    11. Kemal Türkcan & Socrates Kraido Majune, 2022. "Logistics infrastructure and export survival in European Union countries," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 49(2), pages 509-535, May.

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