IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/124405.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Support Policies and Inflationary Pressures: A Critical Review of 2020-2022 in the Light of the 2008 Experience

Author

Listed:
  • GEORGAKAS, IOANNIS

Abstract

We examine the relationship between expansionary monetary and fiscal policy and inflation in two different periods: the 2008 global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic period from 2020 to 2022. In the first case, we analyze the response of central banks through interest rate cuts and quantitative easing in an environment of negative inflation and low demand. In the second, the much more intense monetary and fiscal intervention is examined, accompanied by direct transfers to households and firms, leading to widespread inflationary pressures from 2021 onwards. We attempt to compare the features and effects of the two policies, highlighting the effects of excessive liquidity, deficit financing, and delayed tightening. We conclude that treating inflation as a "transitory phenomenon" was a critical miscalculation. The need for macroeconomic stability, timely interest rate adjustment, and restoration of monetary credibility is stressed

Suggested Citation

  • Georgakas, Ioannis, 2025. "Support Policies and Inflationary Pressures: A Critical Review of 2020-2022 in the Light of the 2008 Experience," MPRA Paper 124405, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:124405
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/124405/1/MPRA_paper_124405.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dao, Mai Chi & Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier & Leigh, Daniel & Mishra, Prachi, 2024. "Understanding the international rise and fall of inflation since 2020," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(S).
    2. Blackburn, Keith & Christensen, Michael, 1989. "Monetary Policy and Policy Credibility: Theories and Evidence," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 27(1), pages 1-45, March.
    3. Klein, Mathias & Linnemann, Ludger, 2023. "The composition of public spending and the inflationary effects of fiscal policy shocks," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    4. Mollick, André Varella & Assefa, Tibebe Abebe, 2013. "U.S. stock returns and oil prices: The tale from daily data and the 2008–2009 financial crisis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 1-18.
    5. World Bank, 2022. "Global Economic Prospects, June 2022," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 37224, April.
    6. Mai Chi Dao & Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas & Daniel Leigh & Prachi Mishra, 2024. "Understanding the International Rise & Fall of inflation since 2020," Working Papers 119, Ashoka University, Department of Economics.
    7. World Bank, 2022. "Global Economic Prospects, January 2022," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 36519, April.
    8. Lucas, Robert Jr., 1972. "Expectations and the neutrality of money," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 103-124, April.
    9. Dwyer, Gerald P, Jr, 1982. "Inflation and Government Deficits," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 20(3), pages 315-329, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Andree,Bo Pieter Johannes & Pape,Utz Johann, 2023. "Machine Learning Imputation of High Frequency Price Surveys in Papua New Guinea," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10559, The World Bank.
    2. Lukas Hack & Davud Rostam-Afschar, 2024. "Understanding Firm Dynamics with Daily Data," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2024_593, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
    3. Huh, Chan G. & Lansing, Kevin J., 2000. "Expectations, credibility, and disinflation in a small macroeconomic model," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 52(1-2), pages 51-86.
    4. Olamide Ebenezer G & Daisi, F.T., 2025. "A Multivariate Analysis of Variance Approach to Business Success Factors of SMEs in Nigeria," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 9(14), pages 161-173, January.
    5. Demertzis Maria & Viegi Nicola, 2009. "Inflation Targeting: A Framework for Communication," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-32, December.
    6. Alessandri, Piergiorgio & Gazzani, Andrea, 2025. "Natural gas and the macroeconomy: Not all energy shocks are alike," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    7. Arroyo Marioli,Francisco & Vegh,Carlos A., 2023. "Fiscal Procyclicality in Commodity Exporting Countries : How Much Does It Pour andWhy ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10428, The World Bank.
    8. Jonathan D Moyer & Willem Verhagen & Brendan Mapes & David K Bohl & Yutang Xiong & Vivian Yang & Kaylin McNeil & José Solórzano & Mohammod Irfan & Cade Carter & Barry B Hughes, 2022. "How many people is the COVID-19 pandemic pushing into poverty? A long-term forecast to 2050 with alternative scenarios," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(7), pages 1-21, July.
    9. Kim, Won Joong & Ko, Juyoung & Kwon, Won Soon & Piao, Chunyan, 2025. "Time-varying sources of fluctuations in global inflation," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    10. Hamilton, Calumn & de Vries, Gaaitzen J., 2025. "The structural transformation of transition economies," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    11. Morão, Hugo, 2025. "Fuel price surges and rising inflation expectations in the Euro Area," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    12. David R. Johnson, 1997. "Expected Inflation in Canada 1988-1995: An Evaluation of Bank of Canada Credibility and the Effect of Inflation Targets," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 23(3), pages 233-258, September.
    13. Patricia Bonini, 2004. "New Macroeconomics and Credibility Analysis," Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 5(2), pages 341-359.
    14. repec:ocp:ppaper:pb18-22 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Mark Shevlin & Enya Redican & Philip Hyland & Sarah Butter & Orla McBride & Todd K Hartman & Jamie Murphy & Frédérique Vallières & Richard P Bentall, 2022. "Perceived manageability of debt and mental health during the COVID-19 pandemic: A UK population analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(9), pages 1-13, September.
    16. Li, Mengheng & Mendieta-Munoz, Ivan, 2025. "Unpacking trend inflation: Evidence from a factor correlated unobserved components model of sticky and flexible prices," EconStor Preprints 320299, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    17. Li Yuan & Xun Fan & Jing Xu & Haidong Wang, 2025. "A Study on the Intergenerational Distribution of Ecological Values of Cultivated Land: A Case of Lezhi County, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(11), pages 1-30, June.
    18. Tugume, Moses & Ibrahim, Mona G. & Nasr, Mahmoud, 2025. "Valorization of cheese whey wastewater to achieve sustainable development goals," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    19. Théret, Bruno, 2011. "Du keynésianisme au libertarianisme.La place de la monnaie dans les transformations du savoir économique autorisé," Revue de la Régulation - Capitalisme, institutions, pouvoirs, Association Recherche et Régulation, vol. 10.
    20. Bennet T. McCallum, 1984. "A Linearized Version of Lucas's Neutrality Model," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 17(1), pages 138-145, February.
    21. George-Marios Angeletos & Alessandro Pavan, 2009. "Policy with Dispersed Information," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 7(1), pages 11-60, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:124405. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.