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Implications of Oil Price Shocks for Monetary Policy in Ghana: A Vector Error Correction Model

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  • Tweneboah, George
  • Adam, Anokye M.

Abstract

We estimate a Vector Error Correction Model to explore the long run and short run linkages between the world crude oil price and economic activity in Ghana for the period 1970:1 to 2006:4. The results point out that there is a long run relationship between the variables under consideration. We find that an unexpected oil price increase is followed by an increase in price level and a decline in output in Ghana. We argue that monetary policy has in the past been with the intention of lessening negative growth consequences of oil price shocks, at the cost of higher inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Tweneboah, George & Adam, Anokye M., 2008. "Implications of Oil Price Shocks for Monetary Policy in Ghana: A Vector Error Correction Model," MPRA Paper 11968, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:11968
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Nsisong Patrick Ekong & Daniel Wilson Ebong, 2016. "On the Crude Oil Price, Stock Market Movement and Economic Growth Nexus in Nigeria Evidence from Cointegration and Var Analysis," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(3), pages 112-123, September.
    2. Onyinye Maria David-Wayas & Joseph I. Amuka & Chukwudi F. Ezeudeka & Iyenge Mhir Aii & Micheal C. Nwankwo, 2021. "Oil Price Volatility and Macroeconomic Performance in Nonoil Exporting Countries in Sub-Saharan Africa," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(3), pages 221-230.
    3. Mirza Muhammad Naseer & Muhammad Asif Khan & József Popp & Judit Oláh, 2021. "Firm, Industry and Macroeconomics Dynamics of Stock Returns: A Case of Pakistan Non-Financial Sector," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-18, April.
    4. Muzammil Khurshid & Muhammad Azeem & Nisar Ahmad & Jamshaid Ur Rehman & Sajjad Umar, 2024. "Diaspora of Energy: A Case of Oil Production and Consumption," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(4), pages 195-206, July.
    5. Boateng, Ebenezer & Asafo-Adjei, Emmanuel & Addison, Alex & Quaicoe, Serebour & Yusuf, Mawusi Ayisat & Abeka, Mac Junior & Adam, Anokye M., 2022. "Interconnectedness among commodities, the real sector of Ghana and external shocks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    6. Zankawah, Mutawakil M. & Stewart, Chris, 2019. "Does the exogeneity of oil prices matter in the oil price-macro-economy relationship for Ghana?," Economics Discussion Papers 2019-2, School of Economics, Kingston University London.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil price shock; cointegration; vector error correction; impulse response;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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