IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/
MyIDEAS: Login to save this paper or follow this series

Macroemesures in Computable General Equilibrium Models: a Probabilistic Treatment with an Application to Morocco

  • Touhami, A.
  • Martens, A.
Registered author(s):

    With the help of an illustrative general equilibrium (CGE) model of the Moroccan Economy, we test for the significance of simulation results in the case where the exact macromesure is not known with certainty. This is done by computing lower and upper bounds for the simulation resukts, given a priori probabilities attached to three possible closures (Classical, Johansen, Keynesian). Our Conclusion is that, when there is uncertainty on closures several endogenous changes lack significance, which, in turn, limit the use of the model for policy prescriptions.

    If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/1866/2045
    Download Restriction: no

    Paper provided by Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques in its series Cahiers de recherche with number 9621.

    as
    in new window

    Length: 28 pages
    Date of creation: 1996
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:mtl:montde:9621
    Contact details of provider: Postal: CP 6128, Succ. Centre-Ville, Montréal, Québec, H3C 3J7
    Phone: (514) 343-6540
    Fax: (514) 343-5831
    Web page: http://www.sceco.umontreal.ca

    More information through EDIRC

    References listed on IDEAS
    Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

    as in new window
    1. D, S, Hosken & David Margolis, 1997. "The Efficiency of Collective Bargaining in Public School," Working Papers 97-55, Centre de Recherche en Economie et Statistique.
    2. Eric Ghysels & Lynda Khalaf & Cosme Vodounou, 1994. "Simulation Based Inference in Moving Average Models," CIRANO Working Papers 94s-11, CIRANO.
    3. Kollman, R., 1996. "The Exchange Rate in a Dynamic-Optimizing Current Account Model with Nominal Rigidities: A Quantitative Investigation," Cahiers de recherche 9614, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
    4. Boyer, Marcel & Laffont, Jean-Jacques, 1997. "Environmental risks and bank liability," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(8), pages 1427-1459, August.
    5. Jean Mercenier & Philippe Michel, 1995. "Temporal aggregation in a multi-sector economy with endogenous growth," Working Papers 554, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    6. Bronsard, C. & Michel, P. & Salvas-Bronsard, L., 1995. "Singular Demand Systems as an Intrument of Scientific Discovery," Cahiers de recherche 9532, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
    7. Sprumont, Y., 1995. "Balanced Egalitarian Redistribution of Income," Cahiers de recherche 9521, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
    8. John M. Abowd & Francis Kramarz & David N. Margolis, 1999. "High Wage Workers and High Wage Firms," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 67(2), pages 251-334, March.
    9. Margolis, D..N., 1995. "Firm Heterogeneity and Worker Self-Selection Bias Estimated Returns to Seniority," Cahiers de recherche 9502, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
    10. Georges Dionne & Claude Fluet, 1995. "Incentives in Multi-Period Regulation and Procurement: A Graphical Analysis," Cahiers de recherche du Département des sciences économiques, UQAM 9511, Université du Québec à Montréal, Département des sciences économiques.
    11. Ruge-Murcia, F.J., 1995. "Government Expenditure and the Dynamics of High Inflation," Cahiers de recherche 9529, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
    12. Dufour, J.M. & Kiviet, J.F., 1995. "Exact Inference Methods for First-Order Autoregressive Distributed Lag Models," Cahiers de recherche 9547, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
    13. Ghysels, E., 1995. "On Stable Factor Structurs in the Pricing of Risk," Cahiers de recherche 9525, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
    14. Dufour, Jean-Marie & Kiviet, Jan F., 1996. "Exact tests for structural change in first-order dynamic models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 70(1), pages 39-68, January.
    15. repec:dgr:kubcen:199667 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Sprumont, Y., 1995. "An Axiomatization of the Pazner-Schmeidler Rules in Large Fair Division Problems," Cahiers de recherche 9512, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
    17. De Lemos Grandmont, R., 1995. "Multivariate Cointegration in the Presence of Structural Breaks: the Case of Money Demand in Mexico," Cahiers de recherche 9554, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
    18. Dufour, J.M. & Kiviet, J.F., 1995. "Exact Tests in Single Equation Autoregressive Distributed Lag Models," Cahiers de recherche 9549, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
    19. Fortin, N.M. & Lemieux, T., 1996. "Labor Market Institutions and Gender Differences in Wage Inequality," Cahiers de recherche 9608, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
    20. Dionne, G. & Fombaron, N., 1995. "Non-Convexities and Efficiency of Equilibria in Insurance Markets with Asymmetric Information," Cahiers de recherche 9531, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
    21. Arcand, J.L. & Dagenais, M.G., 1995. "The Empirics of Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries: Do Errors in Variables Really Not Matter?," Cahiers de recherche 9546, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
    22. Dudley, L., 1996. "Communication and Economic Growth," Cahiers de recherche 9620, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
    23. Fortin, N.M. & Lemieux, T., 1996. "Rank Regressions, Wage Distributions and the Gender Gap," Cahiers de recherche 9607, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
    24. Bryan Campbell & Eric Ghysels, 1995. "An Empirical Analysis of the Canadian Budget Process," CIRANO Working Papers 95s-08, CIRANO.
    25. Kollmann, R., 1995. "Mark Up Fluctuations in U.S. Manufacturing and Trade: New Empirical Evidence Based on a Model of Optimal Storage," Cahiers de recherche 9526, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
    26. Ghysels, E. & Hall, A. & Lee, H.S., 1995. "On Periodic Structures and Testing for Seasonal Unit Roots," Cahiers de recherche 9518, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
    27. Pesaran, M.H. & Ruge-Murcia, F.J., 1995. "A Discrete-Time Version of Target Zone Models with Jumps," Cahiers de recherche 9530, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
    28. Daniel Parent, 1995. "Wages and Mobility: The Impact of Employer-Provided Training," CIRANO Working Papers 95s-27, CIRANO.
    29. BOYER, Marcel, 1995. "Environmental Protection Producer Insolvency and Lender Liability," Cahiers de recherche 9557, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
    30. Marcel Boyer & Philippe Mahenc & Michel Moreaux, 1995. "Entry Blockading Locations," CIRANO Working Papers 95s-51, CIRANO.
    31. Ng, Serena & Schaller, Huntley, 1996. "The Risky Spread, Investment, and Monetary Policy Transmission: Evidence on the Role of Asymmetric Information," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 78(3), pages 375-83, August.
    32. Ghysels, E. & Gourieroux, C. & Jasiak, J., 1995. "Market Time and Asset Price Movements: Theory and Estimation," Cahiers de recherche 9536, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
    33. BOYER, Marcel & MOREAUX, Michel, 1995. "Capacity Commitment Versus Flexibility: The Technological Choice Nexus in a Strategic Context," Cahiers de recherche 9556, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
    34. Daniel Parent, 1995. "Industry-Specific Capital and the Wage Profile: Evidence from the NLSY and the PSID," Working Papers 729, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Industrial Relations Section..
    35. Ghysels, Eric & Guay, Alain & Hall, Alastair, 1998. "Predictive tests for structural change with unknown breakpoint," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 82(2), pages 209-233, February.
    36. Dudley, L., 1996. "The Rationality of Revolution," Cahiers de recherche 9619, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
    37. Ng, S., 1995. "Looking for Evidence of Speculative Stockholding in Commodity Markets," Cahiers de recherche 9514, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
    38. Ng, Serena, 1995. "Testing for Homogeneity in Demand Systems When the Regressors Are Nonstationary," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 10(2), pages 147-63, April-Jun.
    39. Arcand, J.L. & Boulila, G. & Tritten, C., 1995. "Intergenerational Contracts, Remittances, and Growth," Cahiers de recherche 9543, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
    40. Dionne, G. & Gane, R. & Vanasse, C., 1995. "Infessing Technological Parameters from Incomplete Panel Data," Cahiers de recherche 9537, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques.
    41. Dionne, G. & Aris, M. & Guillen, M., 1995. "On the Repayment of Personal Loans Under Asymmetrical Information: A Count Data Model Approach," Cahiers de recherche 9528, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
    42. Ghysels, E. & Granger, C.W.J. & Siklos, P.L., 1995. "Is Seasonal Adjustment a Linear or Nonlinear Data Filtring Process," Cahiers de recherche 9517, Centre interuniversitaire de recherche en économie quantitative, CIREQ.
    43. G. Dionne & T. Mounsif, 1996. "Investment under Demand Uncertainty : The Newsboy Problem Revisited," THEMA Working Papers 96-22, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
    44. Arcand, Jean-Louis, 1996. "Land-Ownership, Working Capital and Agricultural Output: Egypt 1913-58," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies (CSAE), vol. 5(1), pages 92-158, March.
    45. Steve Ambler & Emanuela Cardia, 1994. "Indexation Lags and Heterodox Stabilization Programs," Cahiers de recherche CREFE / CREFE Working Papers 35, CREFE, Université du Québec à Montréal.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

    When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:mtl:montde:9621. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Sharon BREWER)

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

    If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis using RePEc data.