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The economic impact of the Green Certificate market through the Macro Multiplier approach

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  • Maurizio Ciaschini, Rosita Pretaroli, Francesca Severini, Claudio Socci

    (University of Macerata, Politechnical University of Marche)

Abstract

In the last decade, as many other European countries, the Italian Government adopted several reforms in order to increase the use of Renewable Energy Sources (RES). The liberalization of the electricity market that represent one of these reforms aims to reach environmental benefits from the substitution of fossil fuel with renewable sources.The Italian Green Certificate market was introduced in 2002 in order to accomplish this objective and represents a mechanism where a quota of renewable electricity is imposed to suppliers in proportion to their sales. The electricity industries are obliged to meet this condition by producing the quantity of renewable electricity by means of a change in their production process, otherwise they must buy a number of certificates corresponding to the quota. This mechanism changes the importance of the electricity industry first in promoting climate protection, than in terms of the impact in the economy as a whole. A policy aimed to develop the market of green certificates may lead to environmental improvement by switching the energy production process to renewable resources. But above all an increase in demand for green certificates, resultant from a reform on the quota of renewable electricity, can generate positive change in all components of the industrial production. For this purpose, the paper aims to quantify the economic impact of a reform on Green Certificate market for the Italian system by means of the Macro Multiplier (MM) approach. The analysis is performed through the Hybrid Input-Output (I-O) model that allows expressing the energy flows in physical terms (GWh) while all other flows are expressed in monetary terms (e). Moreover, through the singular value decomposition of the inverse matrix of the model, which reveals he set of key structures of the exogenous change of final demand, we identify the appropriate key structure ble to obtain both the expected positive total output change and the increase of electricity roduction from RES.

Suggested Citation

  • Maurizio Ciaschini, Rosita Pretaroli, Francesca Severini, Claudio Socci, 2010. "The economic impact of the Green Certificate market through the Macro Multiplier approach," Working Papers 26-2010, Macerata University, Department of Studies on Economic Development (DiSSE), revised May 2010.
    • Handle: RePEc:mcr:wpaper:wpaper00026
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Maurizio Ciaschini & Rosita Pretaroli & Francesca Severini & Claudio Socci, 2013. "Environmental tax and regional government consumption expenditure in a fiscal federalism system," ECONOMICS AND POLICY OF ENERGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2013(2), pages 129-152.
    2. Claudio Socci & Francesco Felici & Rosita Pretaroli & Francesca Severini & Renato Loiero, 2021. "The Multisector Applied Computable General Equilibrium Model for Italian Economy (MACGEM-IT)," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 7(1), pages 109-127, March.
    3. Yousaf Ali & Claudio Socci & Rosita Pretaroli & Francesca Severini, 2018. "Economic and environmental impact of transport sector on Europe economy," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 2(2), pages 361-397, August.
    4. Yousaf Ali & Maurizio Ciaschini & Claudio Socci & Rosita Pretaroli & Muhammad Sabir, 2019. "Identifying the sources of structural changes in CO2 emissions in Italy," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 36(2), pages 509-526, July.

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    JEL classification:

    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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