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Liability dollarization and fear of floating

  • Nguyen, Quoc Hung
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    This paper explores the idea that fear of floating can be justified as an optimal discretionary monetary policy in a dollarized emerging economy. Specifically, I consider a small open economy in which intermediate goods importers borrow in foreign currency and face a credit constraint. In this economy, exchange rate depreciation not only worsens importers' net-worth but also increases the financing amount in domestic currency, therefore exaggerating their borrowing finance premium. Besides, because of high exchange rate pass-through into import prices, fluctuations in the exchange rate also have strong impacts on domestic prices and production. These effects, together, magnify the macroeconomic consequences of the floating exchange rate policy in response to external shocks. The paper shows that the floating exchange rate regime is dominated by the fixed exchange rate regime in the role of cushioning shocks and in welfare terms.

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    File URL: http://ir.ide.go.jp/dspace/bitstream/2344/912/1/ARRIDE_Discussion_No.247_nguyen.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2010
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    Paper provided by Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization(JETRO) in its series IDE Discussion Papers with number 247.

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    Date of creation: Aug 2010
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    Publication status: Published in IDE Discussion Paper. No. 247. 2010.8
    Handle: RePEc:jet:dpaper:dpaper247
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