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Growth, History, or Institutions? What Explains State Fragility in Sub-Saharan Africa

  • Bertocchi, Graziella

    ()

    (University of Modena and Reggio Emilia)

  • Guerzoni, Andrea

    ()

    (University of Modena and Reggio Emilia)

We explore the determinants of state fragility in sub-Saharan Africa. Controlling for a wide range of economic, demographic, geographic and istitutional regressors, we find that institutions, and in particular the civil liberties index and the number of revolutions, are the main determinants of fragility, even taking into account their potential endogeneity. Economic factors such as income growth and investment display a non robust impact after controlling for omitted variables and reverse causality. Colonial variables reflecting the history of the region display a marginal impact on fragility once institutions are accounted for.

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Paper provided by Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in its series IZA Discussion Papers with number 4817.

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Length: 31 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2010
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp4817
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  2. Graziella Bertocchi & Andrea Guerzoni, 2010. "The Fragile Definition of State Fragility," Department of Economics 0624, University of Modena and Reggio E., Faculty of Economics "Marco Biagi".
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  17. Carment, David & Prest, Stewart & Samy, Yiagadeesen, 2008. "Determinants of State Fragility and Implications for Aid Allocation: An Assessment Based on the Country Indicators for Foreign Policy Project," Working Paper Series RP2008/46, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
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