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On the Empirics of Foreign Aid and Growth

  • Carl-Johan Dalgaard

    (Institute of Economics, University of Copenhagen)

  • Henrik Hansen

    (Institute of Economics, University of Copenhagen)

  • Finn Tarp

    (Institute of Economics, University of Copenhagen)

This paper takes a fresh look at two issues in the aid effectiveness debate. We begin by providing theoretical foundations for the various claims made with regard to the effectiveness of aid in stimulating long-run productivity. When foreign aid is modelled as an exogenous transfer of income or capital in a standard OLG model, aid wil in general impact on productivity. Moreover in this setting, the “returns to aid” may depend on both policy and structural characteristics. Next we reexamine the case for policy-based conditionality. Our empirical analysis suggests that aid is generally effective, even in “bad” environments. However, the degree to which aid enhances growth depends on climate-related circumstances. In light of this finding we argue that the Collier-Dollar allocation rule should be seriously reconsidered by donor agencies.

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Paper provided by Economic Policy Research Unit (EPRU), University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics in its series EPRU Working Paper Series with number 03-13.

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Length: 28 pages
Date of creation: Dec 2001
Date of revision: Sep 2003
Handle: RePEc:kud:epruwp:03-13
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