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Fiscal Consolidation in the Euro Area: How Much Can Structural Reforms Ease the Pain?

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  • Mr. Derek Anderson
  • Mr. Benjamin L Hunt
  • Stephen Snudden

Abstract

The IMF’s Global Integrated Monetary and Fiscal model (GIMF) is used to examine the scope for structural reforms in the euro area to offset the negative impact of fiscal consolidation required to put public debt back on a sustainable path. The results suggest that structural reforms in core countries could quite reasonably be expected to offset the near term negative impact on activity arising from the required fiscal consolidation that uses a plausible mix of instruments to achieve the permanent improvement in the deficit. However, for the periphery, where the required consolidation is roughly twice as large as that required in the core, the results suggest that it would take several years before structural reforms could return the level of output back to its pre-consolidation path.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Derek Anderson & Mr. Benjamin L Hunt & Stephen Snudden, 2013. "Fiscal Consolidation in the Euro Area: How Much Can Structural Reforms Ease the Pain?," IMF Working Papers 2013/211, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2013/211
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    Cited by:

    1. Voigts, Simon, 2016. "VAT multipliers and pass-through dynamics," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2016-026, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
    2. International Monetary Fund, 2014. "Finland: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2014/140, International Monetary Fund.
    3. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2016-026 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Miss Anna R Bordon & Mr. Christian H Ebeke & Ms. Kazuko Shirono, 2016. "When Do Structural Reforms Work? On the Role of the Business Cycle and Macroeconomic Policies," IMF Working Papers 2016/062, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Ruy Lama & Juan Pablo Medina, 2019. "Fiscal Deficits and Unemployment Dynamics: The Role of Productivity Gains and Wage Rigidities," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 34, pages 121-140, October.
    6. Mr. Ruy Lama & Juan Pablo Medina Guzman, 2015. "Fiscal Consolidation During Times of High Unemployment: The Role of Productivity Gains and Wage Restraint," IMF Working Papers 2015/262, International Monetary Fund.

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