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Inflation Targeting In Emerging Markets: The Global Experience

Author

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  • John B. Taylor

    (Stanford University
    Hoover Institution)

Abstract

This paper assesses the emerging market experience with inflation targeting in recent years. It places this experience in the broader context of global monetary policy. It shows that a shift away from rules based policy by many developed country central banks has adversely affected the inflation targeting performance of the emerging market countries. First, it has created direct economic spillovers, which have blurred the good effects of inflation targeting. Second, it has led to policy spillovers in which emerging market central banks have been driven to deviate from their inflation targeting rules. The implication of this research is that emerging market countries should stick to the type of inflation targeting they adopted a decade or more ago with macroprudential policy simply focused on getting the overall risk environment right.

Suggested Citation

  • John B. Taylor, 2014. "Inflation Targeting In Emerging Markets: The Global Experience," Economics Working Papers 14112, Hoover Institution, Stanford University.
    • Handle: RePEc:hoo:wpaper:14112
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. repec:rza:wpaper:752 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Reid, Monique & Siklos, Pierre & Plessis, Stan Du, 2021. "What drives household inflation expectations in South Africa? Demographics and anchoring under inflation targeting," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 45(3).
    3. Adler, Gustavo & Chang, Kyun Suk & Wang, Zijiao, 2021. "Patterns of foreign exchange intervention under inflation targeting," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 2(4).
    4. Adler, Gustavo & Lama, Ruy & Medina, Juan Pablo, 2019. "Foreign exchange intervention and inflation targeting: The role of credibility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 1-1.
    5. Enrique A. López-Enciso & Hernando Vargas-Herrera & Norberto Rodríguez-Niño, 2016. "La estrategia de inflación objetivo en Colombia. Una visión histórica," Borradores de Economia 952, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.

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