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Volatility dependence across Asia-Pacific onshore and offshore currency forwards markets

  • Michael Funke

    ()

  • Roberta Colavecchio

    ()

This paper estimates switching autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (SWARCH) time series models for weekly returns of nine Asian forward exchange rates. We find two regimes with different volatility levels, whereby each regime displays considerable persistence. Our analysis provides evidence that the knock-on effects from China’s currency forwards markets upon other Asian countries have been modest, in that little evidence exists for co-dependence of volatility regimes.

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File URL: http://www.uni-hamburg.de/fachbereiche-einrichtungen/fb03/iwwt/makro/chinaswarch09.pdf
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Paper provided by Hamburg University, Department of Economics in its series Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers with number 20903.

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Date of creation: Mar 2009
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Handle: RePEc:ham:qmwops:20903
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  1. Park, Jinwoo, 2001. "Information flows between non-deliverable forward (NDF) and spot markets: Evidence from Korean currency," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 363-377, August.
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  21. Guonan Ma & Corrinne Ho & Robert N McCauley, 2004. "The markets for non-deliverable forwards in Asian currencies," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, June.
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  23. Fung, Hung-Gay & LEUNG, Wai K. & Zhu, Jiang, 2004. "Nondeliverable forward market for Chinese RMB: A first look," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 348-352.
  24. Markus Haas, 2004. "A New Approach to Markov-Switching GARCH Models," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 2(4), pages 493-530.
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  26. Honglin Zhang, Kevin, 2005. "Why does so much FDI from Hong Kong and Taiwan go to Mainland China?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 293-307.
  27. Kazuko Shirono, 2009. "Yen Bloc or Yuan Bloc; An Analysis of Currency Arrangements in East Asia," IMF Working Papers 09/3, International Monetary Fund.
  28. Ang, Andrew & Bekaert, Geert, 2002. "Regime Switches in Interest Rates," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(2), pages 163-82, April.
  29. Ramchand, Latha & Susmel, Raul, 1998. "Volatility and cross correlation across major stock markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 5(4), pages 397-416, October.
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