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Volatility dependence across Asia-Pacific on-shore and off-shore U.S. dollar futures markets

Author

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  • Roberta Colavecchio

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  • Michael Funke

    ()

Abstract

This paper estimates switching autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (SWARCH) time series models for weekly returns of nine Asian forward exchange rates. We find two regimes with different volatility levels, whereby each regime displays considerable persistence. Our analysis provides evidence that the knock-on effects from China´s U.S. dollar future rates upon other Asian countries have been modest, in that little evidence exists for co-dependence of volatility regimes.

Suggested Citation

  • Roberta Colavecchio & Michael Funke, 2007. "Volatility dependence across Asia-Pacific on-shore and off-shore U.S. dollar futures markets," Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers 20708, Hamburg University, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:ham:qmwops:20708
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    File URL: http://www.uni-hamburg.de/fachbereiche-einrichtungen/fb03/iwwt/makro/PaperColavVolatility.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Siregar, Reza & Miyaki, Keita, 2013. "Regional Financial Arrangement: An Impetus for Regional Policy Cooperation," MPRA Paper 51050, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Pontines, Victor & Siregar, Reza Y., 2012. "Fear of appreciation in East and Southeast Asia: The role of the Chinese renminbi," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 324-334.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    China; renminbi; Asia; forward exchange rates; non-deliverable forward market; SWARCH models;

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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